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8 comment(s). Last comment by sosfinance 2016-08-08 15:26
Posted by ttgipoh > 2016-06-14 22:51 | Report Abuse
there is a motivator in the counter
Posted by Apollo Ang > 2016-06-15 14:21 | Report Abuse
kenanga recommend bj food at 2.10 now 1.70, ptaras 3.70 now 3.40,sapres 1.65 now 1.05 all dead within this few months
Posted by sosfinance > 2016-06-15 16:44 | Report Abuse
@Apollo, thanks for the warning.
Other research firms that cover OCK are RHB, Inter-Pac, Malacca Securities and CLSA.
1) I look at stocks from different perspective (sometime), I use their report as reference to check my own calculation
2) Market cap of OCK today is about RM650m at 82 sen, it has about net cash (include trade debt) of RM300m.
3) Actually, I like the tower company biz, the one in Myanmar (sustainable, good EBITDA @ 65%, high profit margin) which hopefully they will build up to 3,000 towers (920 towers to complete by end of 2016)
4) The private placements of RM64m lately used to purchase brownfield towers in Indochina (speculated to be in Vietnam)
5) Growth in LTE & network maintenance in Malaysia and Indonesia (18% market share in both countries).
Frankly, I am looking at a horizon of at least 2-3 years, as OCK is implementing (3), (4) and (5). I prefer the warrants due to leveraging on the mother, with 2-4times upside.
Disclaimer: It is just a theory, a stock theory (not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold).
Posted by dami > 2016-06-15 21:57 | Report Abuse
be careful of koon. sos is his parter.
Posted by Apollo Ang > 2016-06-15 23:28 | Report Abuse
kon usuly buy low liquidity stocks,so he can easily corner the stock. ock he won't buy cos the paid up capital is a lot and many retailers got
Posted by sosfinance > 2016-08-08 15:26 | Report Abuse
This is a medium term stock (3-5 years) as the initial years, earnings is coming in slowly (due to interest on loan and depreciation). The earnings will improve yearly as the loan is repaid gradually from the rental of towers. Another area that analysts missed or being conservative, is that the growth in tenancy ratio, which according to the management, it can grow as high as 1.8 times for Myanmar and to about 1.5 times for Vietnam brownfield project, which already giving about 1.25 times.
Growth comes from:
1) rental yield from more towers every year
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Myanmar 920 1420 1920 2420 2920
Tenancy 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.8
Vietnam - 1938 1938 1938 1983
Tenancy ratio - 1.27 1.32 1.37 1.42
Malaysia 133 150 160 170 180 (assume slow growth)
2015 2016
2) Solar (MW) 3.3 5.0 (Room to go up, depends on utility company)
3) maintenance of towers & upgrades
Indonesia growing double digits
Myanmar gradual growing as towers getting old
Vietnam growing after acquisition
4) Loan interest will be reducing as it is paid down
Loan for Myanmar project USD40.2m (7 years)
Loan for Vietnam project USD30m (7 years)
Existing Loan raised RM80m (information not available, RM40m is current)
No result.
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CS Tan
4.9 / 5.0
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Apollo Ang
3,181 posts
Posted by Apollo Ang > 2016-06-14 19:27 | Report Abuse
don't follow kenanga.....sms me buy all dead. also ock-wa already up a lot