Posted by Equityengineer > 2017-01-22 18:50 | Report Abuse

Argument:-
1) Its never about timing to buy house for own stay. Government wants everyone, especially young family have a place to stay. Till its achieve affordable housing scheme will always be there and popular tools among buyers,

2) Second house and more is for investment so its base on location and policies. Today the rental yield in Malaysia is barely even breakeven for property about 500K, Oversupply exists and the gap will take time to fill up.

Supporting:-
3) Today youngsters are different from those in 70-90's. More likely today, the youth is reluctant to buy a house as to have more flexibility in job hoping all they like, so this does offer some rental opportunity around big cities.

4) Does Malaysia property is would triple or ten fold is matter of population growth and opportunity. There is lots of growth in terms of population and opportunity here. If Malaysia move in forward then we can expect a boom in property again.

5) Definitely the price of most property would rise in 20 years, therefore it should be long term goal. Does 500k property would be selling 1 million in 20 years, 90 of chances i believe it will be. Why? Inflation. Property,housing in the core inflation movement. cost of goods may go up but if property is down the inflation would be reflected as negative. Most property would go up above the inflation rate of Malaysia about 2.2%-2.5%.

Would I buy:-

If I have no house I will buy if already have one, I still will wait unless my retirement plan is clear.

Posted by calvintaneng > 2017-01-22 21:12 | Report Abuse

This is an interesting topic.

Property prices over a long term period will appreciate.

I remember watching those Bandar Utama houses newly converted from rubber plantation in the late 80s. In 1990s these houses were worth Rm180K. After 27 yrs due to the opening of IKEA & ONE UTAMA prices here have crossed Rm1 million

If you go back even further in time to 1970 the same Bangsar Park were also converted from rubber estates. My neighbour bought a 2 storey house in Lorong Maarof, Bangsar Park for only Rm20,000. Today it is worth a cool 2 million each.

So inflation IS ALWAYS TRENDING UPWARD Though there are periods when property prices stagnate or go down during recession years like

1985 - 1987 (Collapse of tin & rubber prices)
1997 - 1998 (Asian Financial Crisis)
2007/8) US Subprime lending Crisis)

So anytime is a good time to invest in houses if you have long term holding power. More so if there is a crisis when property prices go at a discount.

These are some pointers regarding the macro view

1) Property Prices are Cyclical

But the Upcycle Years are Longer than the Down Cycle Years as a whole.

So try to buy during down cycle years.


2) Different Classes of Property Moves in Different Time Zones
In year 2006 just before the Subprime Crisis broke out in US there was a surge of Investors into the Singapore Real Estate Market. Prices of Landed Houses on Sentosa Island, condos in Orchard and The Sail in Marina Square & those in prime hot spots area skyrocketed upward!!

However, older condos in suburban districts & HDB flats did not participate in the boom. Only one Class of Property in Affluent zones were chased up, Up & UP. The rest were totally neglected.

And so all developers moved into High End Highly Expensive Real Estate to capture the higher & higher profits to the neglect of the masses.

Alas! Those who bought at the very peak in year 2007, just before the collapse triggered by the Lehman Brothers' debacle, are still holding huge paper losses! Many have finally CUT LOSS by millions. And some Loss tens of millions - mostly foreign investors nursing their wounds now.


3) Different Region and even different Countries have boom & bust markets

In year 1996 just before the Asian Financial Crisis my wife & I visited Perth for a holiday (21 years ago). To our surprise we saw Perth a literal paradise on earth. Vast clean ocean. Crispy clear skies. Cool clean air. However, Perth was in the throes of depression. A 6,000 sq ft Bungalow fell to a low of A$120,000 only.

A 4 rm HDB Flat in 1996 Bkt Batok is worth S$300,000 each. As the exchange rate in 1996 for Sing & Aussie Dolllar were at par value then - S$300K = A$300K

A daring Singaporean should have sold his HDB Flat & migrate to Perth. With the CASH Proceed he could have bought 2 Perth Bungalows with A$60,000 to tide him over till he gets a job there.

Today in Singapore these 4 rm HDB Flats are worth S$500,000. But the 2 Aussie Bungalows have appreciated to A$1.5 Million each. For both it is worth a cool A$3 millions or 600% more than. So there exist opportunities everywhere at all times for Real Estate Investments. We sould sell high flyers & plough into depressed bargain regions! To do so we must be willing to buy into crisis or bust & sell into boom & euphoria!


4) There exist a Class of Very Undervalue Assets in Booming Iskandar RIGHT NOW!!

What are they? And Where to Invest?

To be continued...


Stay tuned

By Calvin Tan Research

Posted by stockmanmy > 2017-01-22 21:20 | Report Abuse

must listen to calvin, the estate agent.

tough life under rain and sun.

Posted by John Lu > 2017-01-22 21:32 | Report Abuse

Haha...rank 151 sifu give holland tips again

Posted by calvintaneng > 2017-01-22 22:19 | Report Abuse

Calvin answers part 2

5) During the Asian Financial Crisis property prices fell throughout Malaysia. However, no where else property prices crashed like Johor. Even when KL, Selangor & Penang property values recovered – the secondary house prices in Iskandar, Johor continued to drop and drop for 12 long years (From 1997 to 2009)
So while house prices in Bangsar Park (2 storey) is now valued at Rm2 millions a similar property in Johor Downtown CBD like Taman Pelangi is still available for only Rm600,000 a unit or a nice 70% Discount!!
This is not fiction but reality of life.
Anyone who own a house in KL or Penang can exchange his Rm2 million house & buy 3 in Johor CBD with extra Rm200,000 PURE CASH that will tide him over till he gets a job here or in Singapore. Of if he chooses to he could have rent out 2 houses for income and stay in one house. Then retired for life.
Why the overlooked opportunity?
Because in Iskandar many have pursued high end high rise condos for high profits to the total neglect of building landed houses!!
And these Landed Houses are overlooked by the masses seeking for high end condos promoted by the euphoric growth zone of boom areas. Now that there is a glut of condos the media again wrongly portray a bust in Iskandar’s property boom, Far from it. There is absolutely no glut in the demand for Landed Single & Double storey houses in Iskandar!

These are the powerful factors that will propel Johor House Prices for the next 10 to 20 years in an upward trajectory!!

1) FDI BEING THE HIGHEST WILL CREATE MILLIONS OF JOBS
It was the FDI in Shenzhen that drew in 11 Million people from all over China into Shenzhen – causing property prices to overtake even Hong Kong & Beijing!
History will be repeated here in Booming Iskandar!

2) THE SINGAPORE FACTOR
With hundreds of thousands of Johoreans earning Sing Dollars the purchasing power of Johoreans will rise up to match those of KL & Selangor. Thus with more population growth and limited amount of landed properties prices are bound to go higher & higher.

3) THE UNDERVALUATION FACTOR
Many who worked in Singapore & live in Johor are from Selangor, Penang & even from KL.
As they noticed the huge price difference between those in JB and KL it is only a matter of time they do the switch. Just like Shenzhen houses were priced at only a fraction to Beijing in Year 1980 to 1990s. Today Shenzhen house prices have overtaken those of Shanghai & Beijing.

4) THE SINGAPOREAN FACTOR
With ever increasing cost of living in Singapore more & more retiring seniors will move to Johor. In Taman Perling one Malay Singaporean Retiree couple just paid 18 months of rental fees upfront for a single storey house with 3 rooms 2 baths for a monthly rent of Rm1,100 (About S$350). It can park 3 cars easily. In Singapore a room in HDB would cost S$600 or Rm1,800 a month.
So with train connectivity enhanced expect a flood of Singaporeans buying or renting these cheap Johor houses. And with so much disposal income the businesses of Johor will boom & boom for years to come. To these Singaporeans every item price for price wise – is 70% to 80% cheaper than In Singapore.

5) SUPER GROWTH THAT WILL LEAD TO A SUPER DYNAMIC STATE!

Rm170 BILLIONS FOR PENGERANG
Rm400 BILLIONS For FOREST CITY
EDUCITY
MEDICAL CITY
TOURISM HUB WITH LEGOLAND, HELLO SANRIO KITTY, JPO, DESARU 2 OCEAN PARKS. 2 SUNWAY PENDAS WORLD CLASS THEME PARKS & OTHERS
4 UP COMING MALLS : SOUTH KEY MEGA MALLS, PARADIGM MALLS, IKEA TEBRAU CITY (LARGEST IKEA IN ASIA), & CAPITAL CITY 21
ISLAMIC FINANCIAL DISTRICT IN MEDINI, IBRAHIM FINANCIAL DSTRICT IN JB CBD
HIGH SPEED RAIL (3 STATIONS IN JOHORE – Muar, Batu Pahat & Gerbang Nusajaya) & SPORE THOMPSON – JB MRT!

Whoever is discerning with a long term investment horizon should take this “Once in a Life Time Opportunity” & move to Iskandar now!

Posted by calvintaneng > 2017-01-22 22:26 | Report Abuse

Just like Singapore, Shenzhen & KL property boomed due to development

This is the time for Iskandar's Super Boom Time

See video!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cEVzwdvfLbk

Posted by John Lu > 2017-01-22 22:29 | Report Abuse

LOL...half past 6 rank 151 Calvin come out sing song again

Posted by John Lu > 2017-01-22 22:32 | Report Abuse

So Calvin, how is your mulpha?? U ask me buy at 48c 3 years ago

Posted by calvintaneng > 2017-01-22 22:43 | Report Abuse

Calvin stock picks are not for goreng but for investing longer term.

Calvin invests like this

If Calvin sees a share is undervalue Calvin will start buying. And if prices dip after buying Calvin will average down & buy more.

But to do this Calvin has to study very carefully the TRUE VALUE of a Stock. If the Stock is good, even though it might not perform for months, eventually the price will rise up because of its fundamental intrinsic value later.

See how Calvin made these chun chun calls over 3 years in i3 forum:

GO CHECK THESE OUT CAREFULLY:

1) Super Enterprize made 200%
2) Pohuat made 200% (All furniture stocks bull run Calvin called to buy)
3) Silk made 200%
4) JAKS (Jaks jump, jump, JUMPED from 40 cts to Rm1.20 (UP A NICE 200%)
5) MyEG made 100%
6) AJIYA made 100%
7) Supermax made 100%
8) JERASIA made 100%
9) IPMUDA made more than 100% & LIMIT UP!
10) Pm CORP made 100% (3 Times in 3 years)
11) PRESTAR (Pre Star buy it before it turns into a Star) Made 70%
12) ASB (Up 50%)
13) KHEESAN Made 80%
14) PADINI made 90%
15) TAWIN (Big win) Up 80%
16) Kimlun - The Golden Dragon made 60%
17) THE STORE (Up 25%)
18) NTPM - (King of Tissue) Up 40%
19) WANGZNG - King of Fortress (Up 40%)
20) MAHSING - The Singing Horse (Up 25%)
21) MAYBULK - The rebound of Baltic Dry Index (Up 90%)
22) CEPATWAWASAN - Cepat cepat beli (Up 40%)
23) NYLEX - Up 20%
24) Southern Steel (Up 30%)
25) KULIM (Taken private) Up 60%
26) TMakmur (Land of Prosperity. Taken private) Up 37%
27) KPSCB (Kaboom Power Surging) Up 45%
28) MASTEEL (Master of Long Steel) Made 60%
29) THPLANT (Up 15%)
30) BPLANT (Up 12%)
31) JTIASA (Giant Treasure) (Up 40%)
32) MHC PLANT (Up 15%)
33) CPO FUTURE (Up 15%)
34) INSAS (Up 11%)
35) WASEONG (Up 20%)
36) MFCB (My Father Comes Back) Made 40%
37) Cyclical 11MP Election stocks KKB (Kaboom Kaboom Booming) Up 35%
38) Cyclical 11MP Election stocks CMSB (Up15%)
39) RceCapital (The Best of Banking: Legalised Ah Long) Made 60%

LATEST ANNOUNCEMENTS:

THE STORE GOING TO BE TAKEN PRIVATE FOR 50% PROFIT OR MORE THAN 18% FOR EACH YEAR OF 3 YEARS!!

AND PRESTAR WILL BE ANOTHER 100% JACKPOT SOON!!

SO 4 STOCKS MADE 200% (Super Enterprize, Jaks, Silk & Pohuat)

6 STOCKS MADE 100% (Ipmuda, Supermax, Ajiya, Jerasia, Pm Corp & My EG)

4 STOCKS TAKEN PRIVATE FROM 37% to 200% GAIN
KULIM, TMAKMUR, THE STORE & SUPER ENTERPRIZE!

Posted by John Lu > 2017-01-22 22:46 | Report Abuse

LOL...lawak betul...haha

Posted by zhangliang > 2017-01-23 14:46 | Report Abuse

Thanks for sharing Tradeview bro. This CalvinTanEng rip off your article, copy and paste without attaching your link to the blog. Terrible human being.