Posted by ks55 > 2018-04-09 09:17 | Report Abuse

Don't trust him lah.
He is a market operator.
You still think he is a value investor?

Posted by calvintaneng > 2018-04-09 09:18 | Report Abuse

MAYDAY!
MAYDAY!!
mAYDAY!!!

MAYDAY FOR THOSE SORCHAI CAUGHT IN SENDAI

UNCLE KOON BY HOOK OR BY CROOK WILL NOW GORENG UP HENGYUAN FOR PRIDE AND FOR PERSONAL GLORY

HE MIGHT JUST DUMP ALL SENDAI TO SUPPORT HENGYUAN

SO YOU GUYS ARE DOOMED!!

BETTER SELL FAST FAST BEFORE HE UNLOAD!!!

Posted by calvintaneng > 2018-04-09 09:19 | Report Abuse

MAYDAY!
MAYDAY!!
mAYDAY!!!

MAYDAY FOR THOSE SORCHAI CAUGHT IN JAKS

UNCLE KOON BY HOOK OR BY CROOK WILL NOW GORENG UP HENGYUAN FOR PRIDE AND FOR PERSONAL GLORY

HE MIGHT JUST DUMP ALL JAKS TO SUPPORT HENGYUAN

SO YOU GUYS ARE DOOMED!!

BETTER SELL FAST FAST BEFORE HE UNLOAD!!!

Posted by smithy6264 > 2018-04-09 09:19 | Report Abuse

how he read other people comments when he disallowed other people to comment on his post?? by re-post like this??

Posted by ks55 > 2018-04-09 09:21 | Report Abuse

Operator will lose most when tsunami comes.
This time is Donald Duck tsunami.
He will never escape this time with 160m Jaks and 70m Sendai.
No way dumb dumb idiot will buy when he sells......resultant?
He will stuck there and most probably has to pass them to his cucu.......

Posted by qqq3 > 2018-04-09 09:31 | Report Abuse

the ones crying is not KYY......lol

Posted by qqq3 > 2018-04-09 09:35 | Report Abuse

and lets be honest, did KYY cheat anybody?

Posted by ks55 > 2018-04-09 09:36 | Report Abuse

PLP again?

Posted by ks55 > 2018-04-09 09:38 | Report Abuse

Stockmanmy loved to PLP
New stockmanmy also loves to PLP?

Posted by ks55 > 2018-04-09 09:38 | Report Abuse

I never dream of PLP market operator..........

Posted by ks55 > 2018-04-09 09:39 | Report Abuse

If really want to PLP, should have PLP John Soh very very long time ago.

Posted by calvintaneng > 2018-04-09 09:48 | Report Abuse

Ks55

ppp3 is one of Alibaba's 40 thieves lah!

Posted by qqq3 > 2018-04-09 09:58 | Report Abuse

lets be honest....did KYY cheat anybody?

Posted by qqq3 > 2018-04-09 09:59 | Report Abuse

people want to buy , keep mid/ long term....and tell you reasons he buy.....cannot meh?

Posted by CharlesT > 2018-04-09 10:00 | Report Abuse

A lot..

Posted by qqq3 > 2018-04-09 10:00 | Report Abuse

up almost $ 3 already.......any time I want to sell, I also can get almost $3.

Posted by calvintaneng > 2018-04-09 10:04 |

Post removed.Why?

Posted by CharlesT > 2018-04-09 10:11 | Report Abuse

This round Calvin lost his cool also...lol

Posted by Patron > 2018-04-09 10:17 | Report Abuse

Uncle , go and get Tan Eng in Singapore and sue him. Talk to your lawyer.

Posted by calvintaneng > 2018-04-09 10:18 | Report Abuse

ChalesT

No lah.
Calvin is cool as cucumber

Posted by supersaiyan3 > 2018-04-09 10:22 | Report Abuse

做馬！

Well, the gamblers/speculators will never change, or perhaps only a small percentage will ever change.

Posted by martinam > 2018-04-09 10:47 | Report Abuse

When KYY promote any stock, jump in and just wait. Yes, just hold on to it and count your profits!. Later, you see the share move rapidly down in high volume, sell it and take your profits and be happy. Simple formula. Don't have to worry about what is to happen to the stock (business), five, ten years down the road. Is there any guarantee that you'll be around then? Some analysts promote stocks which hardly move up at all and you don't know when they will do so. They will be more credible, if they show their money where their mouth is - like KYY. I for one don't think that I can wait for five, ten years as I may not be around by then.

Posted by qqq3 > 2018-04-09 10:51 | Report Abuse

calvin...people come here to make money...not to get lectured

Posted by qqq3 > 2018-04-09 10:53 | Report Abuse

do what you think is best.....but did KYY cheat anybody?

Posted by calvintaneng > 2018-04-09 10:56 | Report Abuse

Posted by martinam > Apr 9, 2018 10:47 AM | Report Abuse

When KYY promote any stock, jump in and just wait. Yes, just hold on to it and count your profits!. Later, you see the share move rapidly down in high volume, sell it and take your profits and be happy. Simple formula. Don't have to worry about what is to happen to the stock (business), five, ten years down the road. Is there any guarantee that you'll be around then? Some analysts promote stocks which hardly move up at all and you don't know when they will do so. They will be more credible, if they show their money where their mouth is - like KYY. I for one don't think that I can wait for five, ten years as I may not be around by then.


SEE KYY SAID HE HOLDING HENGYUAN FOR 3 YEARS TO GET 300%?

IS THAT A CREDIBLE STATEMENT?

AND ALL WHO BOUGHT WHY KYY BUY WILL SELL AT CORRECT TIMING?

WHAT IF SOME ARE TOO GREEDY AND GET CARRIED AWAY?

THEN LEFT HIGH AND DRY LIKE

XINQUAN ABOVE RM1.00
MUDAJAYA ABOVE RM2.70
JTIASA ABOVE RM2.60
FOCUS LUMBER AT RM3.00
LATITUDE AT ABOVE RM7.00?

JAKS ABOVE RM1.60
SENDAI ABOVE RM1.30

AND NOW ANOTHER FRENZIED PUNTING ON HENGYUAN?

Posted by martinam > 2018-04-09 11:27 | Report Abuse

Calvin, I am referring to the current situation. I am not interested in the past. As a fellow Christian, I wouldn't want to delve into someone's past actions. Neither do I want to delve in someone's present motives, which God only knows. I react to the present investment environment and act accordingly. If I start to moralise in my investment decisions, it will be the time to leave the share market altogether.

Posted by Stockgod8 > 2018-04-09 14:57 | Report Abuse

You can see from the timing of his article, he is recommending SENDAI at the top. What happened next few days? CRASH!
*Disclaimer : I didn't buy only sozai does.

Posted by Stockgod8 > 2018-04-09 14:58 | Report Abuse

And what about the article "XINQUAN is a good bet", yeah a good holland bet.

Posted by pussycats > 2018-04-09 18:07 | Report Abuse

A truly wise man will never self praise, bcos he knows there are a lot of wiser people who are wiser than him in this world. In this context, Calvin I support your argument that

THIS ONE ANOTHER POST BY A PERSON WITH LITTLE CONSCIENCE
they say, 'SELF PRAISE IS INTERNATIONAL DISGRACE'





>>>kyy said >>>Just like in the stock market, we must know whom we can trust. As far as I know I can trust Mr Ooi Teik Bee because he openly writes to tell every body what he is buying or selling. That is why I gave him more than Rm 10 million to invest for me.

Another person is KYY because I also like OTB, I openly write to tell you what I am buying or selling. As an English saying: I put money where my mouth is. I openly declare I have bought a lot of JAKS, Eversendai and Hengyuan.

Posted by Benjamin Poh > 2018-04-09 18:07 | Report Abuse

Business valuation is an art more than a science. It may be tempted to look at the historical balance sheets, P/Ls and cash flow statements for clues on the current valuation of a company. If you are accounting savvy, analysis of balance sheets, P/L and cash flow statements will likely help to you uncover some hidden value that may not be obvious to a lot of investors based on technical analysis or inferior analysts' reports to buy shares. But the limitations of accounting information is its historical in nature, some valuable assets not meeting accounting recognition criteria will not be reflected in accounts, good business model and management cannot be discovered through analysis of financial statements.

Nevertheless, financial statements analysis is the first starting point to check how healthy a company's financial position and performance currently and in the past.
As a value investor, I always start with objective analysis by checking the latest balance sheet for clue on company's cash and short term investment, liquidity, long-term debts position and any valuable assets e.g. real estates in prominent location not fully reflected in the balance sheets. Then, I look at the P/L position in the past to discern the normalized earnings of the company whether that normalized earnings consistent with the cash flow statements presented to ensure accounting earnings were actually translated into actual cash flow to the company concerned. Lastly, I will examine the subjective side of the business by evaluation the company's earning sources and business model to check whether the company can compete successfully within its industry. The subjective side of the business part is difficult to perform due to future uncertainties beyond our human ability to predict. That's why Warren Buffett always buy companies with simple business model within his circle of competence to understand so that he is more likely to know the future cash flow of a company to actually put a value on it.

Having said that, how to use the above value investing approach to value Hengyuan? First, the company latest quarterly report 31 Dec 2017, balance sheet showed cash in bank and FD holding about RM510 mil, current ratio is about 4, total current assets is RM2.8 bil more than cover its entire liabilities (both short and long term) of RM2 bil. Latest quarterly EPS was 61.18 cents (profit after taxation is about RM180 mil) with cash flow from operating activities after depreciation was about 311 mil. It does has a very healthy financial position and performance recently.

We can see its operating results started to improve in year 2015 till today with oil price hovers around USD60-70 today thanks to the OPEC production curb, the world commodities price is picking up with the growth in world economy but the likelihood of large fluctuation either move up or down substantially in oil price in the near future is dim as concerns over the volume of US shale oils supply, Federal Reserve tightening policy and US-China trade wars will cap its upward trends in future.

Hengyuan is a cyclical company which cash flows and earnings will be moving up during the times when commodities cycle is picking up, so one should expect its market price to go wild when the cycle is peak like the year 2008 and the recent year 2014. So it is hard to find normalized earnings and cash flow of Hengyuan in the past, it is about timing of buying the shares during commodities picking up time. Like what I said in the beginning, valuation is an art more than a science. I prefer to put a range of value on a company and see how much margin of safety I have if I were to buy a company's shares at market value today. Usually I require at least 30% margin of safety before I will invest in the shares.

If one is to review the balance sheet of the company, its NTA is RM5.9 per share, if using earnings base to value I will conservatively use the latest quarterly EPS 61.18 cents (EPS RM2.4 per year) as a guide for the year 2018 and using PE ratio 6 (due to small capital company), one can come to a value of RM14.40. IF one would to put a weighting of 20% on book value and 80% on earnings based value, then one can come to a valuation of Hengyuan at about RM12.70. Market price today is about RM9.2, margin of safety is about 40%. So it does provide a good margin of safety for the value investor to buy at the current market price.

The above is my personal impartial opinion, please check with your financial advisers before you invest in the shares.

Posted by calvintaneng > 2018-04-09 18:18 | Report Abuse

Benjamin Poh,

Thanks for your thorough input.

This is how i3 forumers should contribute.

Now Calvin thinks this is based on present objective calculations.

The future is unknown but we can conclude by deduction.

TNB moving to solar power.
Cars going EV
And production facilities need costly upgrade.
Competition from RAPID.
Limition of space for expansion in PD
And some questions?
Insiders are now China people. How trustworthy are they?
Why Rm2 profit only 2 sen divvy?

Will it be another red chip china operations?

So there is a discount. Just like Bj Corp with Nta over rm1.50 has a discount

Posted by Benjamin Poh > 2018-04-09 18:43 | Report Abuse

Dear Calvin,

Thanks for appreciation my contributions.

Alternative energy does threaten fossil fuel consumption in future, but it now only comprises very small portion of total energy consumed in the world. Changes to alternative energy use does take long time and affordability and technology issues in developing countries like Asia n Africa countries. Most importantly Political issues inside the big oil companies and government.

A PE of 6 does take into the discount of small company and liquidity issues. From the value investor perspective based on assets, profitability and cash flow positions, I remain positive on its current market price being attractive to hold unless oil price move substantially up or down in short term of which the probability is small in this environment.

Posted by Apple6Splus > 2018-04-09 19:10 | Report Abuse

Back to basic : if Oil Price is stable or moving upwards, just keep Hengyuan or Petron

Posted by Benjamin Poh > 2018-04-09 19:42 | Report Abuse

If oil price moves substantially up, this will increase refinery cost. But if it moves substantially down, demand will be depressed n revenue might not cover fixed cost of the plant. Hovering about RM60-65 Will be profitable.

Posted by calvintaneng > 2018-04-10 01:01 |

Post removed.Why?

Posted by Benjamin Poh > 2018-04-10 01:32 | Report Abuse

Calvin,

Your red flags do not seem convincing enough. These are all your personal views without much evidence to support when those events are going to happen in future and to what extent its impacts on oil price in the near future. Even if it might happen in the next 10-20 years, the stock market cannot and difficult to discount that happenings in the next 10-20 years.

Changes of external auditor will matter a lot not internal auditor as it is common to have several internal auditors in the audit committee. Don't hold personal bias against all china companies and people, as an investor u should look at the facts and figures, not to speculate what your belief unless you obtain illegal inside information about the company!

I do admit small capital companies tend to be manipulated by some syndicates, but today you can see even some oil companies e.g. Petronm, Petdag, pchem, petgas... their shared all went up, don't tell me all these companies are manipulated by syndicates!!!