Some truth here. Tariff no tariff only drive China open up more and boost domestic demands. World cont. With further tariff, duck probably is 1 term president most likely... Farmers n investors will ditch him. Hopefully market discounted this already. Proceed with tariff, duck kills himself.
the gangster wants unilateral agreement with China....Xi wants to protect world multilateralism ...extending the same terms of trade to every country in the world.....Xi wants to develop his One Road One Belt.
Xi is actually protecting and helping Malaysia.........
Why I say it doesn't matter, this is in terms of context of company fundamentals and share prices. Give you a simple example on one of your favorites, if you really like JAKS, the share price drop a lot ( the entire market drop a lot) is due to us/china sentiments. But if you believe the company is good you will know to wait until the quarterly results come out to make your decision.
This us/chn is only temporary and will not affect the business fundamentals of majority of your Malaysian bursa companies. Your oil is same price, your steel is same price. Your cement price. Your house cost the same. Your chicken rice cost the same.
Your share price dropping 10-20% without any earnings report? That is just a new discount Mr market gives you. If you have new funds, time to take advantage.
I know I have. Buying more PCHEM, GKent, YINSON, and probably buying more topglov and ql after reading the next quarterly report.
Again, us/chn trade war will not affect PCHEM, GKent, YINSON etc business at all.
Quarterly report out, perfect timing to spend my dividends and income on more discounted shares.
Dear all, A trade war matter because it will cause global slowdown in trade, slowdown in investment, spending cut, production cut, lay-off, world recession and market crash. But the good thing is bad time won’t last or bad policy won’t last as people will come to their sense and make a U turn again. So keep some spare cash to buy some quality stocks at a bargain price.
first order effect global manufacturing get hit by tariffs. follows by second order effect, global services and financial activities contracts...economy slumps...stagnation
How Trump can say 25% tariff on US 250 billion and Us325 billion imports can generate US100 billion or more is out of his mind, where there is no such imports from China anymore ..cannot rely on 2018 figures..
Mad Dung,expected to do it>No body not concern even bother min wages more tha Usd17 per hour.Dont think others are not clever to built a better world.Better stop importing not stupid tarrifs as bargain.No issue lar!
trade war........time to do some predictions.............
1. First anniversary of 509, KLCI still lower.........First anniversary of this thing , DJ will be substantially lower than today. KLCI is less certain....maybe short Wall Street long KLCI is a good trade.
2. No reversal from Trump......Trump is trapped into this war and he can only go forward, no reversal. Next year election year slogan for him is ...only Trump can win the war with China....the softies from the other side will lose the war.
3. This thing will be drawn out until after the 2020 elections.
4. Fundamentally Malaysia will be ok....Wall Street will be in trouble.....The real question is will Wall Street trouble spill into Malaysia and by how much.
and Shanghai Index? That is very very difficult to predict.....but the link between Shanghai Index and China economy is weak at best.................... and China government has a lot of tools.
Confidence is still high in America and the economy is doing well so the next month may not see panic selling in America but still a slow death for DJ over next 12 months.
DJ is being supported by tax cuts , strong economy and low interest rates, share buybacks and strong inflow of funds.....the likely scenario is a slow death.............
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
jackfruit
544 posts
Posted by jackfruit > 2019-05-09 18:45 | Report Abuse
If tariff rise on friday you can silang on malaysia furniture stocks.