This is a company that has never been able to deliver any meaningful profit for the past 10 years with FY17 being the only profitable year (but only recorded a miniscule profit of RM270k). 9m18 result was a loss of RM700k. To think that the company can suddenly turnaround in FY19 might be a bit of a wishful thinking on the part of the investors.
The company’s balance sheet however looks stable except for maybe the equity to shareholder represent only 57% of the share capital. If it falls under 25%, the company will be place under PN17 by Bursa. But this is unlikely to happen anytime soon (unless the company suddenly make high impairments to its assets). Cash reserve is at RM5.5mi with only debt of less than RM1mil. The NTA is at 8 sens per share which means at the current price the company is already trading at a PB valuation of 1.4x. I consider this to be high for a loss-making company.
If you are looking to diversify your portfolio outside of Sersol (due to its weak earnings outlook and the perceive high PB valuation) I would recommend you to look at MBMR.
MBMR is a direct proxy to Perodua via its 22.6% interest in the company. Valuation is cheap at only 6.9x PE (based on target FY18 profit of RM145mil. 9m profit is already RM106mil). PB is low at only 0.7x BV. 4Q18 results is expected to be higher than 3Q18 and last year's 4Q17.
For FY19 growth will be driven by the still high demand of new Myvi and the newly launched SUV Aruz and also the newly revamp Alza in 2H19. I am projecting a profit to shareholder of RM160 mil for FY19 which at the current price values MBMR at only 6.2x PE.
Please go through the analyst reports (https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/stk/pt/5983.jsp) and do your own analysis before making any decisions. Most analysts have a TP of above RM3 for the company with Hong Leong being the lowest at RM3.13 and Maybank the highest at RM4.50.
Hey! Today, R-Table will be covering SerSol Berhad by presenting 10 years financial results in a short, fun & interesting way. Click the link below to watch the video.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Rabbitmilk
118 posts
Posted by Rabbitmilk > 2017-11-02 12:39 | Report Abuse
Stock ini ok tak?