I reckon one need to narrow the term EV when it comes to investing. I was told by a supplier to EV manufacturers that in 5 years, all cars will be an EV. Theoretically you take the existing engine from a Proton and replace with a battery run one, we have a Proton EV! Many international funds are averse to EV manufacturers today. Instead they advise investing in companies involved in the manufacture of component for EVs. This is wide reaching as it would cover batteries, electronic control units, the semiconductor makers etc. In the context of Genetec, they supply automated production lines for battery cell and automotive components going into E-mobility application such as electronic control units (ECU), sensors, braking system etc. Am sure there are other players like Greatech etc But moving forward, the key word is “autonomous”. From a Malaysian context, which are the companies involved in the supply chain for self driving autonomous. Don’t underestimate the semiconductor players like MPI, Inari
PMBTECH had double its production from 36,000 mtpa to 72,000 mtpa up to now, up to its 2nd phase project expansion from 4 phase development of 64 hectares ..
ADVANTAGES OF PMBTECH SILICON
Logistic Cost Advantage : Strategically located between the East and the West, Malaysia is located at the straits of Malacca, home to Singapore Port & Port Klang, Malaysia, two of busiest port in the world where shipping rates are favourable.
Locally Sourced Raw Material : Malaysia has readily available raw material which ensures consistency in supply.
Abundant Green Power Supply : Blessed with high rainfall and an abundance of rivers, Sarawak provides affordable, renewable energy through hydropower developments .. 1st hydroelectric plant (HEP) at Batang Ai (108 MW) in 1985, with Bakun HEP in 2011 (2,400 MW), followed by Murum HEP in 2014 (944 MW). Baleh HEP is still under construction & expected to be commissioned by 2025. That will make total capacity 3,452 MW. source : sarawakenergy.com
CHINA SUPPLY OUTLOOK Silicon & Aluminium price on a tear
Both silicon & aluminium price soars to their 3-year high. While global solar energy demand drove the recovery from March lows, it was actually news about China changing their environmental policies that fuels the price trend.
China produces more than 50% / 60% of the world’s aluminium / silicon. As mentioned earlier, it takes a great environmental toll to produce these materials. Now that China pivots its environmental concern policies, coal-fired power plants will be discontinued hence potentially shrinking production rates and altering supply-demand balance outlook.
SILICON AS AN ESSENTIAL MATERIAL FOR SOLAR & EV ECONOMY
Solar – The basic component of a solar cell is pure silicon, which also has been used as an electrical component for decades.
Polysilicon (a purer form of silicon) is in acute shortage because of vigorous solar module demand. Over 90% of the current solar cell market is based on silicon currently.
Electronic Vehicles (EV) – Elon Musk announced that Tesla will use more Silicon to replace Cobalt in producing its batteries for its future generation models.
The strategy poise to make Tesla EV a lot more affordable and is seen to be adopted by other EV battery vendors.
AGGRESSIVE CAPACITY EXPANSION
PMBT is undergoing an aggressive expansion plan to meet the world’s silicon demand is impeccable.
Located in Samalaju Industrial Park in Bintulu, Sarawak, it had double production capacity from 36,000 mtpa (1st phase) to 72,000 mtpa (phase 2), current phase.
The co.’s corporate plan indicates that the plant size is of 64 hectares and is suitable for 4 phases of development.
TRADE WAR
Trade war distorts the global supply chain. PMBTECH stands to capture higher market share as a neutral Malaysian producer.
Meanwhile the company’s markets are mainly in Europe and America where there are trade barriers against the Chinese suppliers.
CATALYST
Solar and EV drives silicon demand
Production capacity expands by 2x in 2021
Tesla battery revolution drives more silicon for anode material
Trade war for higher market share 25/09/2021 10:23 PM
Actually one don't really know the real value of this counter, it can go up to even 100 n it can crash to the price where it started that is less than 2rm. That's the reason I say one need to be brave. Like gambling, if u win, win a lot but what if lose??
Run lor, tmr onwards will be flat, then will shoot up from Wednesday onwards…. We will wait and see, the same trend repeats itself so many times in genetec
Really want EV go buy TENAGA.................. got partnership with DHL.................... not some cinama con counter that give ESOS RM1.37, when the market price is RM40................................
Cimb-cgs already outlined clearly why Genetec deserves higher TP. If you haven’t read, please go read. Don’t trust these part time cyber troopers and haven’t even finished schooling
DickyMe4 "Stock [GENETEC]: GENETEC TECHNOLOGY BHD Announcement Date 23-Sep-2021 Listing Date 24-Sep-2021 New type/class? No Type ESOS Details Exercise options under Employees' Share Option Scheme No. of shares issued 37,000 Issue Price Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) 1.370 Par Value - 0.000 Total NOSH 51,486,700"
=============================================
ESOS @RM 1.370???? Market price : RM 39.50 (as shown at time of writing)
A bird in hand is worth two in the bush as the saying goes. U never know when the price will drop n once it drop, it can be very steep. It's always better to take profit while price still high.
Share is tightly control lah... Genetec NOSH is 54 million ...right?
if major shareholder still Genetec management or afflilated to current Genetec.. The current price now at Rm37 seem consolidating......before another BooM to rm40 in near future...
I do agree that the share price appears lofty; I have sold partially and whatever I am still holding is pure profit. I do not view low esos exercise price as a bad thing as esos is for all the staff who had contributed to the success of Genetec. From the AR, you will sew that most of the management team members had been with the company for 15-25 years. Also you need to ask yourself the sustainability of the business model. They are an important component of the supply chain for Tesla batteries production, and also have contracts for other e mobility component. So if you believe this is the era for EV batteries & autonomous EV , this is just the beginning for genetec.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
NaiveInvestor
52 posts
Posted by NaiveInvestor > 2021-09-26 11:03 | Report Abuse
I reckon one need to narrow the term EV when it comes to investing. I was told by a supplier to EV manufacturers that in 5 years, all cars will be an EV. Theoretically you take the existing engine from a Proton and replace with a battery run one, we have a Proton EV!
Many international funds are averse to EV manufacturers today. Instead they advise investing in companies involved in the manufacture of component for EVs. This is wide reaching as it would cover batteries, electronic control units, the semiconductor makers etc.
In the context of Genetec, they supply automated production lines for battery cell and automotive components going into E-mobility application such as electronic control units (ECU), sensors, braking system etc. Am sure there are other players like Greatech etc
But moving forward, the key word is “autonomous”. From a Malaysian context, which are the companies involved in the supply chain for self driving autonomous. Don’t underestimate the semiconductor players like MPI, Inari