The outlook for semiconductor equipment, according to TEL, looks strong. “We expect the overall WFE market to be at least the same size as CY2017 in CY2018. However, from our negotiations with customers, we sense that the levels could exceed our forecasts, particularly in relation to memory. The outlook for FY2019 is also looking favorable,” according to TEL. “By application type, in terms of memory, both DRAM and NAND are likely to be strong. Investment by logic foundries is currently being curtailed by factors such as sluggish growth in the number of mobile handsets, but they plan to undertake an investment in 7nm and for pilot lines of 5nm during CY2018, so we can expect investment to be at least the same as CY2017.”
1)“After all, the Penang-based group secures the bulk of its work in the fourth quarter and subsequently books in much of the billings in the SECOND and THIRD quarters.”
2)“Most of our orders are delivered to clients in the second quarter, followed by the third quarter,” explains CEO Sia Teik Keat.
:-Sia send a message to us saying 2nd and 3rd QR result will be superb, I’m a prudence guy so I take 75% out of 100machine in to account.
1)Looking ahead at the next procurement cycle, which will begin towards the fourth quarter, Sia is optimistic.
2)Sia is particularly looking forward to the introduction of 3D scanning sensors in smart devices. He estimates that the more sophisticated testing equipment will boost the value of new orders by 10% to 20%, at least.(29 Aug 2017)
Opportunity “In the next 12 months, there may be a need to utilise another 10,000 sq ft for a new assembly line,” he said.(14 Aug 2017) :-this indicate the company very confident their future prospect(CAPEX)
“MMSV is also keen on growing its visual inspection machines for semiconductor wafers. This is a new line of business for the group” :- as per Sia in the statement, he hopes this assembly line will make up 25% of total revenue.
Penang International Airport senior manager Ramzi Ahmad said four flights, which were supposed to land in Penang from 4.55pm on Saturday, were diverted to Langkawi or returned to Kuala Lumpur. http://www.beritadaily.com/penang-seeks-help-from-armed-forces/
Ooi said on the island, many factories at the Free Industrial Zone in Bayan Lepas were also experiencing a shortage of workers as a result of the floods
yes, semiconductor is bullish, last week attend a talk, the speaker mention that semiconductor is using in handphone, normal car(digital tech) and electric car..so the prospect is huge..... this improve my confidence in this area..
The FBM KLCI (+0.5%) closed firmly in the positive territory, on the back of bargain-hunting activities in Genting-related counters. Market breadth, however, continued to be negative as losers outrun winners on a ratio of 499-to-378 stocks. Meanwhile, semicon players like MPI (+26.0 sen), KESM (+20.0 sen) and Inari (+6.0 sen) advanced on Tuesday.
Price is not running ahead result, especially even before the last quarter excellent result. Downside is limited, that's why price can always be supported at around 1.77-1.80.
I expect this quarter will achieve higher yoy eps.
As for semiconductor stocks, downside risk is always limited even with bad QRs as they can expect resonable growth in the semiconductor industry. That's why I have bought semiconductor stocks.
Check Visdynamics, Unisem and MPI. Their last QRs were lower than expectation, but their stock prices did not drop much.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
geary
6,378 posts
Posted by geary > 2017-11-01 20:18 | Report Abuse
Future earnings n cash flow@Key...!!!
https://www.valuewalk.com/2017/08/nvidia-forecast-profits-andor-cash-flow-not-prices/