Last Commenr on TA was all support broken ! So can’t really rely on TA now. Honestly this is all pure luck...fundamentals tak boleh pakai for day trading...buy only if you can afford to wait as long as possible for profit. My two cents worth.
GLOVEs still in the very HOT highly demand more than supply when Vaccine ain't enough for the CoronaVirus pandemic spreads faster to infect more people and more deaths are coming..
I average down twice but the third times choose to cut lost. Sakit jantung already when the price drop down to 2.38...This evening when I check again cilaka glove counter rebounce back. Damn it.
chill guys..its most probably technical rebound..it is still a long journey before another bull run for established glove counters..more vaccine news to come before market comeback their sanity..this week everything is about penny stock, everyone is mad about penny stock
but still, its a very good hammer candle with volume..shud be a good news tomorrow but dont put your hope too much for bull run..more vaccine news afterwards..can't deney the fact that market keep on reacting to vaccine news & the intensity of the reaction keep increasing..thats why glove sector being forced to a selling mode..imo, until FDA approve some vaccine, we might not going to see glove bullrun for a time being
I agree with known, the super bull runs or bull runs may be over, just be satisfied with a smaller profit. But if you want to wait longer, I believe this will pay off in the future too. All the best guys!!!
Careplus in 2019 has a production capacity of 4.14b gloves per their 2019 AR: Careglove Global - 2.40 billion (100% share) Careplus (M) - 1.32 billion (50% share) Rubbercare Protection Products - 0.42 billion pieces (100% share)
They had an 85% capacity and out of these 2.4b were latex gloves(69%), 0.9b nitrile gloves(26%) and 0.2b surgical gloves(5%).
Latest 3rd quarter report states a production capacity of 4.62b gloves. Using the same breakdown, we can expect as a base case assumption of (69% x 4.6b latex gloves), (26% x 4.6b nitrile gloves) and (5% x 4.6b surgical gloves). Using an ASP of $60 for nitrile gloves/1k and $40 for latex and surgical gloves/1k, we can project Careplus will have a base case turnover of US$208m for the next 12 months.
3rd quarter turnover was RM122m vs expected RM213m(USD:MYR of 4.1/1). Can we expect the Q4 turnover to be per the projected figures and with a net profit margin of 35%, the net profit to be around RM74.6m? Certainly looks plausible.
RHB on the recent Rubberex report stated rising ASPs. For the base case, Rubberex is projected to have a net profit of RM255m by producing 2.5b nitrile gloves, sold at US$60 per 1000pcs.
With a RM300m net profit, this gives Careplus an EPS of around 54.5sen. A 10x PER will value Careplus at RM5.45 and at 15x earnings, RM8.18/share.
That was the base case. In the recent Qtr 3 report, Careplus stated they will be expanding production to 10.5b gloves by end of 2021. So the upside is huge if glove demand remains robust throughout 2021. Looks like this recent sell down is an opportunity to add a good growth stock to one's portfolio.
You are welcome JR. Just piecing all the info I have. The upcoming Jan quarter will shed more light as to whether the projected forecast is realistic.
Anyways, it is good to see the major shareholder adding more shares at RM3.05. This indirectly tells us that he too thinks Careplus is going to do a lot better in the coming quarters.
Company CEO & director Lim Kwee Shyan and his wife Ng Shu Si bought 400k shares of careplus.
According to the M+ app, this news was released at 5.21pm, after bursa closed. If this is the case, we can expect a huge leap tomorrow, possibly a gap up.
Topglove, SuperMax, Kossan, Harta, Comfort, Careplus, Ruberex, all these is a proven record real deal profit-making glove counters with real deal future plan..u bought any of these counters is a OK, & will give you a handsome reward for the long run..talk any bad things about Top Glove as u like, but Top Glove has produced a many millionaire investors who started investing in Top Glove 19 years ago with only RM10k & some even lower than that.focus only counter that give u a real deal
the only counter u guys need to be careful right now & afterwards are those 'kompang kuat' yet to run a factory penny glove counter, even AT, let alone Mah Sing
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Taeyeon09
212 posts
Posted by Taeyeon09 > 2020-11-17 15:42 | Report Abuse
Below 3 consider very cheap, sapu all