Hi raint, it is obvious that the entire 16.39 billion is a 50/50 split between mrcb/gkent joint venture. At this price, even if you add 6 billion in ordering revenue for gkent, a 5% earnings increase would be 300 million or 75 million split within the 4 years. Or back to the earnings of 2017/2018 without the water meter business.
Is paying 89.5 cents for that kind of visibility guaranteed payment not good enough for you? When investing in other more gruesome companies with no guaranteed order book, huge debt and poor management return on equity seems more acceptable.
You are paying a much much lower price to get the returns that many paid rm4 to get back in the day for less visible earnings.
For HSR, I would be the first one to say hope gkent does not get it as they will bite off more than they can chew. But how are are you gamuda will get the job and not GKENT?
I am very very sure GKENT has received the lrt3 job letter of award.
But everyone treats gkent as if it has lost the job instead of winning it.
But in any event,
Dear raint
How much do you think gkent will earn from lrt3 job? 50 million, 60 million, 70 million? If at 89.5 cents you can get 6 cents of dividends, what will you pay for gkent if you can get 10 cents earnings for the next 4-5 years? And when gkent water meters increase from 24 million to 48 million a year in earnings? When v110 meters are some in 26 regions under gkent brand and local production center in Asian countries to compete with US Honeywell brand competitors?
How much will you pay for GKENT when it is earning 100 million a year or 25 million a quarter?
What will gkent be worth to you then?
Still nothing? Well I have made my choice and have decided to double my exposure.
Greed is the greatest enemy of the intelligent investor. That and the inability to calculate risk. How risky is buying and punting on insas warrants?
Very risky.
What is risk?
Capital loss.
For those who buy and hold? We look to the business itself to generate our returns, instead of the stock ticker price. If you ask yourself how George Kent business will fare 4 years from now? I can give a few clear answers:
1. They will still be net cash with positive hundreds of millions. 2. Their water meter business will be double in 4 years. 3. Dividend yield will grow. 4. Earnings and revenues will definitely be more than 400 million revenue/60 million earnings.
>>>>>>>>
Posted by stockraider > Jan 8, 2020 9:09 AM | Report Abuse
NO LAH I WAS GREEDY & NOW IT IS A BIG POSSIBILITY OF TOTAL LOSS ON WB WITH ONLY 10% OF HOPE NOW...!!
HOPEFULLY INSAS MOTHER PERFORMANCE CAN COVER MY LOST...!!
Posted by Sslee > Jan 8, 2020 8:59 AM | Report Abuse
Hahahaha Stockraider, Managed to sell your INSAS-WB at 1 cent? 08/01/2020 3:23 PM
The question to ask if they will win another lrt3 project is inconsequential. No one knows. Anyone who tells you otherwise is a liar. What I can tell you about gkent is their specialties and capabilities. Very few remember that gkent is a specialty m&e contractor that has high skill level in treatment plants, meter production, and started their rail business as a system works integrator. That in itself whole not guaranteeing projects does guarantee a high potential.
Do note that mrt2 will handover in 2022, and gamuda as the turnkey contractor and gkent as the rail system works contractor.
That is another 1 billion tender won that everyone seems to forget about.
Warren Buffett Quote: "If the company does well, the stocks follow". If you want to talk NTA, just look at MYEG's NTA Price vs. Market Price. What does that tell you?
When looking at Gkent is all about old government vs. new. The old government, revenue is pretty good. Then the new government steps in and suddenly revenue decline. Well...don't look at lil old me, I don't play golf so I know very little. I just read the financial chart.
NEW future earnings pushes up share prices. When one has nothing to announce for almost 2 years, this is what happens. Even a small new water meter contract will push gk up from its oversold position.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
RainT
8,448 posts
Posted by RainT > 2020-01-08 14:42 | Report Abuse
after trade war phase 1 deal
now come out this war pulak
tak habis habis