Yesterday closing, there was a "give away" signal at 16:57:50. One institutional player buy 50,000 lots at 0.26 in 1 transaction. Just needed to think and figure out why? why?
If i buy now at 0.255, with the takeover price of 0.27. I should still be able to earn almost 6%. Isn't this a good deal? Is there a catch to it that i missed?
some funds which accumulated cheap <20sen maybe dont want to wait so long for the payout. they sell to buy other counters which can earn more during that period.
is there any supposedly winfall insurance payout(s) they might have received? historically, some carriers have hugely profited from such tragedies due to insurance. if true, could change the quarterly. just one view.
1. I am a bit mystified by the privatisation of MAS. Khazanah, I believe, is a Government company, or at least a Government controlled company. The CEO reports to the Prime Minister and usually acts on the direction of the Prime Minister.
2. The Prime Minister personifies the Government. If a company is fully acquired by a Government company, is it privatisation or nationalisation?
3. Yes, a company that is owned 100% by one entity, is not a public company. It is a private company. But if that person or entity is the Government, can it be said to be private?
4. I believe prior to this privatisation, Khazanah owned 70% of MAS shares. Its control over MAS must be almost absolute. None of the minority shareholders can really say ‘No’ to MAS even if they all act together. So Khazanah has been in full control of MAS all this time. And all this time MAS has been bleeding profusely. In 10 years it has lost 10 billion Ringgit in terms of capital injection.
5. So why should anyone believe that with 100% control Khazanah will not keep on losing.
6. In fact with no one to check and give concerned criticism as when there were minority shareholders, MAS can go very wrong indeed.
7. In true privatisation, fear of losing money on the part of a private owner would force him to scrutinise the management and check the balance sheets frequently. The Government as the owner would be less concerned. The Government is about spending money. Any shortages (or losses) can be overcome by increasing taxes or borrowing money. The way money is being spent nowadays doesn’t indicate the kind of careful financial management and scrutiny that MAS would require in order to turn around.
8. Once when a new CEO was appointed MAS registered some profit. But that was through selling assets. How much more assets can MAS sell?
9. Catering was given to a company with very long term contract and even as MAS loses money the contractors seems to be doing well. A Government company will not be able to terminate this unusual contract. It is too sensitive. Someone might advice against it.
10. People in glass houses should not throw stones. Right. I shouldn’t say all these. I had such a bad record as Prime Minister. But I was ready to resign. And I did. I did because I failed. But no one wants to follow my example.
11. I may be wrong but I think Khazanah’s 100% ownership of MAS will not be much different from its 70% ownership. We are going to see a lot of new people who will receive huge salaries, allowances and bonuses and not much else. That I believe is how Khazanah operates.
During Financial crises time, they have this so call "creative accounting"method which could mitigate the losses over a 5 to 10 years-periods of time and make the current p&l figure "Nice" looking :)
Gokula. to gain 1.5 cent in a month is quite attractive. What about if this exercise takes more than 6 months. Chances the proposal will get all parties approval but there are still chance it doesn't get enough vote from minority shareholder. It makes 1.5 cent not so attractive.Should buy lower than 25.5cents to be save
“I may be wrong but I think Khazanah’s 100 percent ownership of MAS will not be much different from its 70 percent ownership. We are going to see a lot of new people who will receive huge salaries, allowances and bonuses and not much else. That I believe is how Khazanah operates,” Mahathir said.
Khazanah is not buying the 30% minority shareholding. It is MAS making a repayment of 0.27 cents to the minority shareholders.Its Capital Reserves and Share Premium account will be cancelled and slashed for the purpose of this exercise. The Paid up shares will eventually be lesser by the minority shareholders portion. Khazanah owns MAS 100% thereafter. Creative accounting.
Valid points raised by Tun. This is nationalisation and not privatisation.
Look at today event where it can dropped to 0.250. What are the possibility that it mights drop to 0.245 or lower? Someone or buyer might create a panic sell because of how naive or greedy we are. JMHO
ryei, basically for such a small profit, your funds will be locked down until the payout. so better of disposing your shares. Maybe you could invest in something else.
If you have 15000 shares and below, just sell and run. If you have more then that It might be worth the wait. Besides after all you know your 0,27 is waiting. ah.... even if it is a lost. something might happen and it might go up to .30. Just saying it if you are a gambling man.
must read article.... hope some true private groups of companies would emerge to counter the offer price of 27sen by khazanah... or all these are just wayang, a higher offer price will be offered by others soon :)
In a true privatisation, Dr Mahathir pointed out that the fear of losing money on the part of the private owner would force him to scrutinise the management and check the balance sheets frequently.
“But the Government as the owner would be less concerned. The Government is about spending money. Any shortages (or losses) can be overcome by increasing taxes or borrowing money. The way money is being spent nowadays doesn’t indicate the kind of careful financial management and scrutiny that MAS would require in order to turn around,” he said.
In retrospect, he recalled that MAS had once appointed a new CEO some years ago and registered some profit via the sale of assets.
“How much more assets can MAS sell?” he questioned.
Another concern of Dr Mahathir was on the catering contract. “Catering was given to a company with a very long-term contract and even as MAS loses money, the contractors seem to be doing well,” he said.
buanaz: we look at the issues highlighted by madey , if the issues highlighted make sense, then we would support it.... as simple as ABC... for MAS, in my opinion ,he seems to make good suggestion this time ...
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
givemefive
165 posts
Posted by givemefive > 2014-08-12 09:48 | Report Abuse
Yesterday closing, there was a "give away" signal at 16:57:50. One institutional player buy 50,000 lots at 0.26 in 1 transaction. Just needed to think and figure out why? why?