Bill Gates is betting big on US farmland – should you? - MoneyWise theedgemarkets.com / theedgemarkets.com
November 29, 2021 11:01 am +08 Bill Gates Bill Gates
-A+A (Nov 27): Bill Gates is best known for revolutionizing personal computing, but lately he’s gotten back to the land, MoneyWise reported.
The Microsoft co-founder and his former wife, Melinda, are the top farmland owners in the country, having acquired more than 269,000 acres over the past decade.
Gates made a splash in 2017 when he bought $520 million worth of U.S. farmland from the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, and he’s continued to invest since.
Farmland returned an average of 11.0% per year between 1992 and 2020, according to research from FarmTogether, an investment platform that allows qualified investors to purchase stakes in U.S. farmland without buying a whole farm. In comparison, the S&P 500 returned only 8.0%.
When considered on a risk-adjusted basis, farmland outperforms the stock market by a wide margin.
It's even better than traditional real estate, better than bonds and gold, MoneyWise reported.
Basic Economics 101...less supply with minor increase in demand due to higher world population every year....food price will increase every year mah!
That means profit will increase for plantation mah!
Posted by Johnzhang > Nov 29, 2021 1:35 PM | Report Abuse
Agriculture is the future especially with ESG grievances and climate change issues. Farmland is going to be a lot more expensive and agriculture produce price will go higher .
see how glove move when there's news. sad, super high CPO yet going backward.. time to change ship lah.. jtiasa = giant treasure.. laugh 9 me... hahaha.
1. more wheat rice product will be consumed over vege/meats as its more stomach filling. And one of the most economical way to add taste to such is deep fried > Palm oil usage
2. More will substitute butter with magerine > Palm oil usage
3. More dairies will be consumed as they are high in calory and value for taste due to scale of manufacturing > Palm oil usage
4. Mass will need to work harder, and have less time for meal preparation or a proper meal, hence resort to take away. Deep fried Stir fried is a large category in takeaway, besides taste its also easier to consumed compare to soup based. > Palm oil usage
Is the spike in edible oil price since pandemic due to supply issue? or change of lifestyle? should be a mix, supply issue at the beginning, and follow by change of lifestyle and spike in cost of supple chain (especially transportation) .
Fact is, plantations has all reported very strong profits... that is fact.. Fact is, IB predictions for this year CPO price from last year all wrong.. that is fact.. Fact is, inflation is happening worldwide .. that is fact.. Fact is, essentials like palm oil do well in inflationary environment.. that is fact..
Despite higher cost pressure in 2022, oil palm plantation will still be laughing to the banks. Mind you that most big time CPO traders expect CPO to trade above $5,000 during Jan-Mac 2022 and between $4,000 to $5,000 during Apr-Dec 2022.
Cost of production (at estate level) during recent years (2017-2020) were $1,500 -$1,800 pmt CPO depending on the cost efficiency of each planter. Average CPO price over same period (2017-2020) was about $2,490 pmt as shown in the calculation below : 2017 $2,800 2018 $2,150 2019 $2,250 2020 $2,760 ----------------- Avg $2,490 ================= Therefore, average Gross Margin in past recent years enjoyed by planters were $990 to $690 pmt CPO. (ie average CPO price $2,490 minus cost of production $1,500 to $1,800).
Due to higher labour and fertilizer costs, the cost of production is expected to increase by max. $300 pmt CPO basis. The new cost of production for 2022 shall be $1,800 -$2,100 pmt CPO. Based on 2022's CPO price forecasted by big time CPO traders averaging $4,500 , the Gross Margin of the planters will be $2,700 to 2,400 pmt CPO.
2022's Gross Margin is 2.7 times to 3.5 times higher than the average of 2017-2020.
Correctloh...if u factor in increase in cost of 10%...the production cost of CPO is Rm 2750 m/t.
Current CPO future 12 mths average ( Average from future Jan 2022 to Dec 2022) pm 4250!
U still talking about very outstanding Gross Margin of about 36% compare to usual 10% mah!
Plantation will record sky high profit going fwd loh!
Btw...usual norm of cost of production is only around Rm 2200 per tonnes!
Posted by Johnzhang > Dec 10, 2021 11:33 AM | Report Abuse
Some Investors may be concern of the labour and fertilizer cost increase on plantation company’s performance in 2022. The IBs and media are very prone to look at only one side of the equation and they seriously lack professionalism.
My view is oil palm plantation will still be laughing to the banks next year. Mind you that most big time CPO traders expect CPO to trade above $5,000 during Jan-Mac 2022 and between $4,000 to $5,000 during Apr-Dec 2022.
Cost of production (at estate level) during recent years (2017-2020) were $1,500 -$1,800 pmt CPO depending on the cost efficiency of each planter. Average CPO price over same period (2017-2020) was about $2,490 pmt as shown in the calculation below : 2017 $2,800 2018 $2,150 2019 $2,250 2020 $2,760 ----------------- Avg $2,490 ================= Therefore, average Gross Margin in past recent years enjoyed by planters were $990 to $690 pmt CPO. (ie average CPO price $2,490 minus cost of production $1,500 to $1,800).
Due to higher labour and fertilizer costs, the cost of production is expected to increase by max. $300 pmt CPO basis. The new cost of production for 2022 shall be $1,800 -$2,100 pmt CPO. Based on 2022's CPO price forecasted by big time CPO traders averaging $4,500 , the Gross Margin of the planters will be $2,700 to 2,400 pmt CPO.
2022's Gross Margin is 2.7 times to 3.5 times higher than the average of 2017-2020.
up 14pts, no move. as of now, up 11pts, no move. at least up 1% also ok. up 1 cent also cannot. maybe is giant treasure, too heavy too move. better on diet... financial performance & bla bla bla.. bottomline, shares got move or not? from 0.78 drop to 0.58.. crazy!! no up till now.. this is fact, not sweet talk story... who's laughing to bank? basically, giant don't have attraction as claim by promoter..
glove up, palm will down.. promoter hiding at SOP, TAAN & TSH doing giant treasure promoting and say bad about glove.. obviously, bad faith... 6 months coming soon, see who is laughing at who...
kang kang, you must be junior. when promoter say all so good good & when result go reverse, nothing wrong to highlight. check & balance, understand? it involved other ppl hard earn money. you don't be selfish!!! if can't take it, keep quiet and invest quietly than making selfish noise & marketing...
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Sansing
1,028 posts
Posted by Sansing > 2021-11-29 09:42 | Report Abuse
Just close your eyes to buy while it is cheap now lol!