1. The power plant is real and had already started operation . From today onwards you will see Jaks will never report a negative income any more .
2. The company is moving in the right . The future expansion into solar , hydro and LNG energy is timely and a right investment choice.. This will contribute another consistent income and further strengthening of the strong recurring income of the company
3. Disposal or bringing to a halt of the loss making domestic business is ongoing. any good news , anytime from now or after the lock down recovery , will serve as a strong catalyst to push the shares price sky high
Aren't these not good enough reasons to boost my confident . And this confidence is not built on sand but supported by valid reasons.
shares trading is a game of confidence .but the confidence must be derived from facts and data
confidence is the key to success
if a Christian has no faith in Jesus , do you think he can meet Jesus in the heaven
if we have no faith in what we believe is true , can we enjoy the big fruit
yes... we can have better choice . who will guarantee your choice is profitable other than your lucks ?
people also talk about opportunity cost . but the question is what is your opportunities ? who guarantee your opportunity is profitable ? no one can provide you an answer. it is lucks because it is not guaranteed by fact and data !!!!
i am prepared and willing to hold for 2 years or my exit TP RM1.50 is met , whichever come first
reason
1. I must be responsible for my own hard earned money. I must provide a reasonable length of time for it to work for me
2. power plant income is predictable . under such circumstance DCF valuation is the best and the most appropriate methodology to derive the fair value of the company . DK , who is an accountant and also an expert in power had done or us . we know Jaks domestic business is losing money and it will drag on for sometime due to covid lockdown . so in his calculation of NPV he included a 5 years provision of RM 30M per year for the domestic loss and derived at a value of RM1.50
Now the lockdown is removed more than 80% of the people are vaccinated
Jaks has business in Vietnam and impacted by the Vietnam lockdown last 2 weeks. But today Gov in Vietnam just announced allowed the business to be back. I think Jaks should also benefit from the news. Hope to see the price back to the level before 0.60-0.70 at least for this counter.
then why Aseng exit plan is 2 years OR exit TP RM1.50 ,whichever is earlier ?
because
now it is the tussle between the (strong retailers) and (the short sellers + some retailers who can't wait longer) .
the retailers can not create much wonder to the stock price it is the Banker who can make the price shoot to the sky
I do not know when the Banker will come in Burt I know they will come .
that is why I say 2 years who knows if I am lucky , may be half a year I may have already achieved my TP RM1.50 ,
my dream
I will convert all my win into RM100 notes all new note (covid punya pasal) I know I will be very excite for the first few day after the victory difficult to sleep , then I will take out my RM100 notes count one bye one 1,2,3,........ then fall asleep happy happy everyday thereafter
Thousand gold is easy to get, but a master is hard to find. There are millions of tips everyday, but good stocks are hard to come by It’s all here now, so what more to ask ?
Posted by Rateofreturn75 > Oct 13, 2021 1:17 PM | Report Abuse
Jaks has business in Vietnam and impacted by the Vietnam lockdown last 2 weeks. But today Gov in Vietnam just announced allowed the business to be back. I think Jaks should also benefit from the news. Hope to see the price back to the level before 0.60-0.70 at least for this counter.
....................
whether it is covid lockdown or recession people still need energy to survive Jaks is a recession or lockdown proof stock the profit from the power plant is guaranteed by the Vietnamese government the profit is predictable and recurring A smart businessman will not let this strong financial edge to sit idle it is a good source of capital for the company future expansion to generate more earning
that is why you see the announcements and the news the company is venturing into solar , hydro and LNG businesses . this will further strengthen the strong recurring income of the company beside improving its rating in ESG grading .
may be you still do not understand what I am trying to convey to you .
put it in the layman language
if you have a friend working in the bank , ask him/her the question. who is easier to get a personal loan ? a government servant or a self-employed ?"
if it is that good , why the share price drop 1 cent today ?
reasons:
1. our only enemy is short selling 2. the opponent of the short seller is retailer 3. our knowledge effort had opened the eyes of many retailers in i3 4. the short seller quiet desperate to recover their losing game
That is why we do not see the price limit up a few times and the price limit down a few times
this is my 1 cent up and down story hope it sounds reasonable to you
another question you may ask me . I might as well answer it now before I go for jogging
" when is the Banker coming ?"
My answer: if I tell I know that, then I must be "tua-peh-gong" (Tuhan)
my best answer : I do not know but I know they will come very confident they will come they will certainly come
your problem : you do not believe you can't wait you want something like I tell you today and he see them in the market tomorrow you believe what the snake oil sifu said more than what Aseng said .
conclusion :
follow what what a wise man said , you will never go wrong follow a rich man do, you will not be poor
But we do not know who is wise or rich then follow what Chalie Munger said: " plant a durian seed today and you will be a rich man 7 years later" (pasar malam language)
serbatipu Write so long also useless, actually it depend on market sentiment to push up the price. 13/10/2021 10:19 PM ------------------------------------------------------------------
Price and knowledge are 2 different things Price is determined by the hot money flowing in or flowing out Knowledge tells you what is a good buy and helps you to make a right trading decision which has a better chance if success. Put it simple , if I do not educate you , then how do you know ABC. Why the price does not limit up after I had talked so much ? Why the price did not drop further even though there is short selling ? The scene is not difficult to read . It is only the retailers like you and me are fighting with the short sellers. Both about equal strength So it will take a longer time who will survive at the end Short seller can not survive long if the retailers do not survive half way because they are selling on borrowed shared which they can not borrow forever. They got to buy back now and then to reduce their financial cost Certainly there is a time they will quit the game . Then you will witness a dramatic switch of the scene everyone here who are still survive will cheer for their victory. I hope you are waiting patiently together with Aseng for that moment to arrive. 2 years or exit TP 1.50 But who know may be half a year it is done if we are lucky . So please do not turn your luck away to say evil or do evil that will invite bad karma. God bless.
Why should you scold Aseng ? It doesn't make you look a better person In fact you had created bad karma that bring bad luck Why should you blame Aseng who helps you to buy a good stock at a cheap price. We are here to make money also to make ourselves a better person If you believe in universal laws of karma, do you think your money is safe after you has said or done so many evil knowingly or unknowingly.
Bankers RSS position looks like Jaks is going Down another 50%...So bearish must have a reason....I believe it is strongly related to Vietnam Power Plant
As a standard, RSS position increases when price surge ( if Bankers are bearish on the stock).. Now RSS position increases as Jaks price is falling?????????
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Aseng
8,633 posts
Posted by Aseng > 2021-10-12 14:27 | Report Abuse
Why I am so confident what I am doing is right ?
1. The power plant is real and had already started operation . From today onwards you will see Jaks will never report a negative income any more .
2. The company is moving in the right . The future expansion into solar , hydro and LNG energy is timely and a right investment choice.. This will contribute another consistent income and further strengthening of the strong recurring income of the company
3. Disposal or bringing to a halt of the loss making domestic business is ongoing.
any good news , anytime from now or after the lock down recovery , will serve as a strong catalyst to push the shares price sky high
Aren't these not good enough reasons to boost my confident . And this confidence is not built on sand but supported by valid reasons.
shares trading is a game of confidence .but the confidence must be derived from facts and data
confidence is the key to success
if a Christian has no faith in Jesus , do you think he can meet Jesus in the heaven
if we have no faith in what we believe is true , can we enjoy the big fruit
yes... we can have better choice . who will guarantee your choice is profitable other than your lucks ?
people also talk about opportunity cost .
but the question is what is your opportunities ?
who guarantee your opportunity is profitable ?
no one can provide you an answer.
it is lucks because it is not guaranteed by fact and data !!!!