We Nylex minority shareholder will receive RM 0.40 cash plus abount RM0. 52 worth of Ancom share after the exercise and we are still keeping our Nylex share, so hold tight
gg i got spooked out already, bye guys its been a fun 6 months in this counter, thanks to everyone for convincing me to hold while i just started on this one, peace out
the sudden plunge this morning from the top is most likely orchestrated... but since its just "transferring" of assets and liabilities instead of exercising like delisting/takeover, I doubt there would be much impact on the share price. Thoughts anyone?
Me 100% support the proposal, per share will get capital repayment of RM0. 392 cash plus Ancom share of RM0. 52(@discounted price of RM1. 50)and I am still having my Nylex share
Price pressed down, I think is because the majority shareholder want us to happily accept the proposal in view of the current price is much lower than what they offerred.
My reading of the current price trend of Nylex is that those who bought on rumours sold on news, maybe due to the Minority Interests (MI) not getting the full RM1 in cash.
This is very absurd and it seems to be a great value buy right now.
Nylex MI will get the RM1 in the form of: 1) 39sen/share cash distribution 2) 9sen/share cash remaining in the listed co 3) 52sen/share of Ancom share **Ancom issued at RM1.50 so approximately 3 Nylex shares get 1 Ancom share
Cash alone (distributed + retained) is already 48sens. The closing price today of 86 sens means you are only paying 38sen for one third of Ancom = (38sen x 3) = RM1.14 per Ancom share. You do the math here.
Of course there may be a discount at this moment as the deal is still not voted by Nylex MI yet but the price should eventually converge to RM1 in the coming months.
No reason for MI not voting for it as without the deal Nylex would most likely be "stuck" without this value unlocking exercise.
Will continue to accumulate this stock as well as Ancom for the coming few months to vote for the deal.
Market giving Nylex shares a discount to the RM1 value now due to the board yet to announce acceptance of the offer. Once it is announced sometime estimated in June, then discount should narrow and share price should gradually rise to RM1 nearing the EGM.
Ancom just dipped below RM1.50 now which is a no-brainer buy as their Q4 should be better than Q3 + the ongoing inflation theme on commodities. MCO3.0 really caused panic selling across the board.
Wonderful disposal by the Ancom Group -Disposal of tank farm asset in Vietnam for USD6.25m tAfter 5-consecutive years of losses, this Viet subsi is disposing its assets for a GAIN of USD5m (RM20m+). This marks a new strategy of being asset-light and more agile in terms of cost control for a distribution company.
Assuming full-year FY21 results of PAT RM23m, this gain of RM10m (consol 50% of RM20m) means: !!! HALF the current year's profit !!! IN THE POCKET for next financial year!!
Well done to ANCOM for its ongoing restructuring efforts to drive up profits and shareholders returns.
Offer RM1 from parent Ancom, need to pass board, pass EGM then pass Bursa... year end only realize the RM1 value.
For now the discount from RM1 represents the discount for waiting until year end. Lucky I bought 81.5sen then ciao at 90sen, switch to mothership Ancom!
EPS DPS NTA Revenue P/L Quarter Q Date Financial Year Announced QoQ% YoY% Report 6.36 0.000 1.7400 353.31m 11.40m 4 2021-05-31 31 May, 2021 2021-07-29 130.7% 161% View 2.76 0.000 1.6700 289.06m 4.94m 3 2021-02-28 31 May, 2021 2021-04-28 10.1% 234.5% View
ANALYSIS ON QUARTER REPORTS Financial Quarter Announced Profit RM ( in million ) EPS (i) 30 July 2021 11.40 6.36 (i) 28 April 2021 4.94 2.76 ================================================== 9.12
Taking on 9.12 x 2 quarters = 18.24 x PER 10 = RM 1.82 - minus 30 % ( for safety margin ) Intrinsic value = RM 1.27
My reading of the current price trend of Nylex is that those who bought on rumours sold on news, maybe due to the Minority Interests (MI) not getting the full RM1 in cash.
This is very absurd and it seems to be a great value buy right now.
Nylex MI will get the RM1 in the form of: 1) 39sen/share cash distribution 2) 9sen/share cash remaining in the listed co 3) 52sen/share of Ancom share **Ancom issued at RM1.50 so approximately 3 Nylex shares get 1 Ancom share
Cash alone (distributed + retained) is already 48sens. The closing price today of 86 sens means you are only paying 38sen for one third of Ancom = (38sen x 3) = RM1.14 per Ancom share. You do the math here.
Of course there may be a discount at this moment as the deal is still not voted by Nylex MI yet but the price should eventually converge to RM1 in the coming months.
No reason for MI not voting for it as without the deal Nylex would most likely be "stuck" without this value unlocking exercise.
Will continue to accumulate this stock as well as Ancom for the coming few months to vote for the deal. 03/05/2021 9:36 PM
jwinter3 JustinLong... Great clarity indeed. Time for accumulation. 12/05/2021 9:21 AM
JustinLong Market giving Nylex shares a discount to the RM1 value now due to the board yet to announce acceptance of the offer. Once it is announced sometime estimated in June, then discount should narrow and share price should gradually rise to RM1 nearing the EGM.
Ancom just dipped below RM1.50 now which is a no-brainer buy as their Q4 should be better than Q3 + the ongoing inflation theme on commodities. MCO3.0 really caused panic selling across the board.
Perfect time to add position. 19/05/2021 10:34 PM
CALVIN ADDITIONAL COMMENTS:
NYLEX EARNS MORE AND GOT HIGH NAV THAN ANCOM
THE MATHS SHOW THAT THE BEST PROXY BUY TO ANCOM IS NYLEX
BY BUYING NYLEX AT 82 SEN THERE IS A LOCK IN DISCOUNT TO ANCOM BY 10% TO 15% LOWER ENTRY PRICE
If Ancom could rise above Rm2.00 to Rm3.00 as forecasted then buying Nylex at such discounted price is a no brainer
Latest Nylex quarterly earning EPS=6.36 cent which was increased 131% from the previous one with 2.76cent. Nylex NAV=RM1.74 But Ancom only offer RM1.00 to NYLEX minority shareholders(Nylex Mi) per share. Nylex MI have 89159530 shares of Nylex, (Note: the Nylex MI shares in Nylex will change according to trading)
Nylex MI will get the RM1 in the form of: 1) 39.26cent/share as cash distribution 2) 8.37cent/share cash or RM15,000,000 remaining in the Nylex as listed cash company. In other words, need to use this money to employ some staff to do something. WHY don't delisted the Nylex, this RM15,000,000 can be used to pay to Nylex Mi??? 3) 52.37cent/share of Ancom share in which assumes that Ancom is priced at RM1.50 per share. Ancom pays to Nylex Mi 31,129,508 Ancom new shares. Ancom new shares for Nylex Mi with value =31129508 x RM1.50 = RM46,694,262. For Nylex Mi, 2.8641 shares of NYLEX get 1 share of ANCOM only.
Nylex shareholder esp the minority shareholder, Nylex Mi should not accept offer of RM1.00 per share which is pretty too low from Ancom bcs of:
1) Significant improving Nylex business, latest quarterly EPS=6.36 cent. 2) Nylex NAV = RM1.74. Nylex minority shareholders,Nylex Mi lost 74cent per share!!! 3) Ancom latest quarterly EPS = 3.19 cent with NAV= RM1.49 only.
In conclusion, the offer for the Nylex Mi is really a bad offer. By right, the offered price of Nylex should be higher than the share price of Ancom because both EPS & NAV of NYLEX is better than Ancom. How come this simple logic Nylex directors don't understand? Nylex directors should work for all the shareholders of Nylex first.
If Nylex shareholders get 91 sen from Ancom from the sale of Nylex business plus 9 sen in cash left in Nylex, the base intrinsic value would be RM1 per Nylex share.
Nylex would remain listed so there should be a premium for the listed shell. Assume that premium to be another 10c / share. This brings Nylex to RM1.10.
Now that Ancom is trading at RM1.90 (a 40sen premium to the new Ancom shares issued to Nylex shareholders at RM1.50), that's roughly another 20 sen added to the value of Nylex shares ... bringing theoretical total to RM1.30.
All theoretical but still upside for Nylex shares!
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Solidrock
55 posts
Posted by Solidrock > 2021-04-30 09:46 | Report Abuse
I think it is golden opportunity to buy