The power plant is expected to make profit contribution to Mudajaya to the tune of some RM60~80mil per year upon the full commissioning of the power plant. This amount is equivalent to EPS of RM0.125/share. This is significant given that this contribution would continue for a period of 25 years.
ELECTRICITY TARIFF HIKE IN THE OFFING? WHAT’S NEW Just six months after the nation saw a tariff hike in electricity rates, consumers may see another rate rise. But given the mandate to restructure and reform the country’s power sector, the agency has proposed that the Government utilise some RM500m in savings derived from the renegotiations of the power purchase agreements (PPAs) with independent power producers (IPPs) to mitigate the potential impact on the people. MyPower Corp Bhd said it would recommend to the Cabinet to stay on course with the implementation of the fuel cost pass-through (FCPT) mechanism, whereby the tariff will be adjusted based on the international gas price every six months. The first adjustment is scheduled for next month, which could result in a tariff hike, as domestic gas prices are lower than international prices. (Source: The Star) COMMENT: Although any tariff hike from the FCPT mechanism will be earnings neutral to Tenaga as increases in tariff will be offset by identical increases in subsidised gas costs, we view this latest development positively as it provides greater confidence of the implementation of the Incentive-Based Regulation (IBR). TNB’s performance had in the past been hampered by its inability to pass on any increase in fuel cost pressures via a transparent FCPT mechanism. As such, this resulted in sharp fluctuations in its profitability and ROA, with ROA fluctuating between 1.3% and 6.1% over the past eight years. Assuming gas prices were to be raised by RM3/MMBTU, we estimate this to be equivalent to about 1sen/kwh or 2.5% increase in electricity tariff which we believe is unlikely to place a significant strain on consumers. Additionally, with savings of roughly RM500m in the stabilisation funds coupled with lower coal prices, the government may not even have to raise electricity tariff by 2.5% to offset a RM3/MMBTU increase in subsidised gas prices. Assuming if only half of the current savings from the stabilisation fund were to be utilised to help offset a portion of the RM3/MMBTU hike in gas prices, we estimate that Tenaga may only have to raise electricity tariff by 1.7% to offset a RM3/MMBTU increase in gas cost. This is significantly lower than the recent 15% increase in electricity tariff. We retain our BUY call on TNB and RM14.00 DCF-based target price. This stock offers a potential 16% upside and 2% net dividend yield, with a total return of 18%. Removal of fuel cost risks, especially via an automatic fuel cost pass through (FCPT) mechanism under the incentive-based regulation (IBR), could earn this stock an even higher valuation
Hooking up tuajaya with every Uma, Ah Lian, Siti there is no matter how remote and irrelevant will only succeed in making tuajaya looks very desperate and very pathetic : )
Next quarter profit will drop.. Because project decrease . About power plant .. It is still under processing .. German talk for so long . Wait for the end of the year .. Maybe the surprise will be there ..
sorry Jonny. I heard this over the news this morning on radio. MB given 1st approval for other highway but still subject to meet certain requirement. Kidex-NO.
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greddym3
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Posted by greddym3 > 2014-06-23 10:26 | Report Abuse
http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/business-news/295624-mudajaya-to-earn-up-to-rm80m-a-year-from-india.html