until today he is still shouting: high/massive debt whereas the net gearing ratio (after deducting the cash) is only around 4%.... wow... he calls this as "massive debt"...
and we all know that for mid to long term, Evergreen's business is going to improve, from gradually to substantially (as we did our homework and know what the company is doing, planning, etc)....
let this loser bark... while we happily collect when the price is still undervalued... cheers... the one who laughs last, laughs best....
this is a very fair and good article.. it also explains the difference between MDF and particleboard (that Evergreen is producing both MDF and particleboard)... and the different application between MDF and particleboard for furniture...
that is why Evergreen is in the right direction now... expanding into higher margin particleboard and RTA business... one very good point up there:
其中,长青纤维板要在PB市场取得成功相信毫无悬念,这是该公司庞大销售网和领导地位带来的立即优势
With its existing huge customer network (>40 countries, >600 customers), they have available sources to sell these particleboard and RTA to... they already have established supply chain management, sales and marketing in this field... so they are just tapping onto it... they do not need to start from scratch like those start-up companies... so they need much less time to get into this business (do not have to explore blindly which market/customers they should target, which one to approach, etc)... they are already familiar with.
so you know why CKCS (who currently owns HEVEA) is so afraid of the rise of Evergreen and the motive/agenda behind him of creating fake rumour/manipulated info to sabotage Evergreen...
Let me translate in brief: In terms of production capacity of the new particleboard line (around 250,000 meter cube), it is about 48% of total capacity of Hevea (Hevea is mainly on particleboard sales).
I have said this many times about how Evergreen can turn into net cash company soon after the much lower capex... but this is what the analyst said (again):
Well, paying 83c for a low profitability biz with low ROE does not do your money justice. Too many articles about the future of evergreen and too many projections. Seems too far-fetched for me.
James, how do you define low profitability? Which company / industry are you benchmarking against?
If you are benchmarking against a direct sales company like Zhulian, then yes, it has lower profit margin compared to this industry. But if you are benchmarking against industry like newspaper, etc, then Evergreen has much higher margin..
you should compare a MDF company (currently still major in MDF) profit margin with Evergreen... go check out thailand biggest MDF player (Vanachai Group) (actually Vanachai is still smaller than Evergreen, Evergreen is the largest in ASEAN).. u will know Evergreen profit margin is much better than Vanachai...
compare apple with apple, not apple with orange...
dun forget the RTA & particleboard business that will raise the overall margin later.
Evergreen is one of the most profitable MDF producer in this region (if you do enough homework, u will know).. this is partly due to the economies of scale / their high production volumes that can lower the overall cost... besides that, the management is good at controlling cost with internal rationalization plan....
I'm saying this as investors have a multitude of companies in bursa to chose to invest their money in. Why look at mdf and particles boards? You can do much more benefit to your pot of money in other industries.
I am not sure about others, I invested in Evergreen is because its future prospect is very optimistic, like what Dolly said, it is expanding its PB and RTA production line which shall gives higher margin without compromising the MDF business. It is very clear that without unforeseen circumstances, Evergrn revenue and profit will sore in 2nd half of 2017. If revenue and profit increased, so does the share price. higher the profit increases, higher the share price will goes.
jamesmc98765 Of course there are always some better stocks out there regardless of what stock you bought, unless you are hitting the jackpot with 200-500% return within 6 month EVERYTIME you buy stocks.
Higher the risk, higher the return. We need to diversify our portfolio to reduce the risk. Evergreen could be a medium risk defensive stock in our portfolio, it just that how much ratio of the pot of money we wanted invest in high, medium and low risk stocks.
The foreign currency only an extra advantage but not is I focus in. I more concern is the productivity and cost . The PB new plant will bring in new margin depend on productivity volume. I believe evergrn was undervalue and will have good performance on 2018. 2017 I think so so but now 0.82 share price quite attractive if you're long invertor and can hold 6 to 12 month. Only personal thinking lol , not a buy call...
I agree that forex is a not a core issue. In a few years back, when USD was trading around 1USD/RM3.3, evergreen was still making good money (except for 2013 that the above article had explained why it lost money). It is more on how they control cost and improve margin.
As a value investor, we should actually take out the effect of forex (regardless of forex gain or loss) and focus on the core operating business itself
From fundamental, cash of company is 136.87 mil , short term loan is 107 mil n long term loan 100mil . Current liabilities around 257 mil n current asset is 488mil . Is a healthy showing with company balance sheet . Shareholder funds is 1143.83 mil , quite strong at here . I'm look forward the new production line can be showing a good result for the next quarter earning here ..
I think what I'm saying here , HLB already already research , good luck for everyone r holding this counter . Because evergreen is king of this sector in Malaysia compare with hevea .
Susukacang market respone pre tell oledi ,this QR wil b soso ...coz government jst annouce stop export rubber wood .this QR still facing shortist in material,high production cost n new machine jst start giving revenue ...i guess better than last QR little bit coz last QR they claim flood in few place affect the material price n quantity.... no big surprise ,but heading bright side.
Chong jiunn Hau ,yes ,nov one wil b better coz government policy fully respone to Number.im guess middle east market demand wil b back coz recently stable in OIL price.. next year 2018 engine comfirm start except sumwhere got WAR or bubble in world share market expose....
SUSUkacang dont worry la...i guess wil b abit better than LAST QR coz flood crisis is over material supply logicaly back to normal ...but one more question is at tht period..middle east there got small conflict between arab country,dunno how deep effect to the sales.
i guess (blow water) if everything is nothing effect ,guess EPS wil b 1.3 to 1.6 impossible above 2.0 if above 2 ,i guess monday share price wil fly high first ...posibility only low %
Holyshit.....!!! I can't believe DollyChai2 aka ChongJiauJau is still promoting this DOGSHIT? If salesman promoters like them keep promoting this Evergreen Dogshit to the public....what do u think will happen when buyers later found out it is DogShits inside the boxes instead of yummy cakes??!! Oh yea.....maybe dogshits are considered delicious nowadays and the stench smell is actually unbearable until stockraider sold out with losses weeks ago!!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
CKCS
1,439 posts
Posted by CKCS > 2017-08-11 19:27 | Report Abuse
U dare to DELETE but dare not even respond why u deleted all BRAGGING COMMENTS. WHY AH??? CAN EXPLAIN????