It’s been reported in The Edge Malaysia weekly business news titled “Sarawak on the verge of raising stake in Affin Bank”
The article erred in regard that the Banking and Financial Institutions Act 1989 limit institutional shareholdings to 20%. BFIA 1989 has been repealed and superseded by Financial Services Act 2013.
I believe Sarawak will want to own more than just 20% - 30% shareholding . 20%-30% is “meaningless” for Sarawak’s ambition to have their own commercial bank. I think any offer from Sarawak will likely to trigger the mandatory general offer threshold. Else Bank of East Asia will be outraged . Since Boustead purchased insignificant amount of Affin shares last month, LTAT & BHB most likely will be persons acting in concert (PAC) under some SCA or SSA (agreement; LTAT/BHB retains some stake) or as reported in the news some sort of MoU. Under FSA, acquisition of more than 5% shareholdings requires consent from BNM and for controlling shareholding or 50% above, requires approval from Finance Minister and BNM .
The Sarawak Premier has said too many times that they want to have their own (state owned) commercial bank. Having 20%~ 30% will get you the most 2 board seats representation , if we gauge based on BEA previous investment in Affin. My prediction is Sarawak will go for more than 50% and offer a buyout.
I tend to see the same outcome as beluga on his prediction that Sarawak will not be content with just a 20% stake. I've always believed small banks like Affin are targets of M&A. More to come.
Long overdue for Affin's stock movement. MYR 3 should be the minimum, yet here we are. Congrats to my fellow Affin holders, especially those who held the stock for a very long time, and kept on accumulating.
Last time Sarawak squeezed LTAT for a discounted price of RM1.97 when the then market price was above RM2.00 and shortly later even received dividend of 7.77 sen.
The transaction values Affin Bank at 0.4 times its book value. The price is relatively cheap considering that banking transactions are usually done at a higher valuation of closer to one time book value.
Having said that, Affin Bank’s shares have historically traded at a discount to other financial groups listed on Bursa Malaysia. That is because of its major shareholders, LTAT and Boustead Holdings Bhd, and the close nexus the entities shared with the powers that be in Putrajaya prior to 2018.
Affin undergone detox. Bank of East Asia has 24% share holdings. Guoco Group is a substantial Shareholder. How will it play out for the Sarawak Government should it decide to acquire controlling stake in Affin?
Like other banks, the price at 3.50 is 0.75x PBV. Affin will see improved earnings with Affin AXA - the non profit contributing insurance arm hived off
In a filing with Bursa Malaysia today, the bank said it sold the shares, representing 4.95 per cent of the total issued shares, for a cash consideration of RM1.97 per share.
Sorry if it caused some confusion. Just i paragraph i cut from the 13th APRIL 2023 news on the price of the share Sarawak state bought during that period. Was thinking how much would Sarawak state willing to pay for a larger stake ? If it is real that Sarawak state want to acquire the controlling stake and from who ?
Sarawak wish to have a bank under its control but Federal government wouldn't allow that, otherwise every other state also wish to do so. At best Sarawak gets up to 20% stake in Affin which the current legislation allows. Sarawak wants to pay peanuts and of course LTAT wants as much as possible. Probably price will be somewhere between RM2.30 and RM2.40.
I think the price is not an issue. Can Sarawak get consent from the Finance Minister to hold a stake, a comfortable stake whereby Sarawak can determine how the bank operates.
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TheContrarian
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Posted by TheContrarian > 2024-01-08 12:09 | Report Abuse
Took second batch profit at 2.42.