Leesk, Based on TA, the current strong selling pressure on Parkson is known as "climatic sell-off". It is normally followed by a dead cat bounce at the Fibonacci retracement level when a stock is extremely oversold.
Goldenpointer, This type of strong selling pressure always happens in longterm downtrend stocks. Parkson's strong downtrend is a prime target for short-selling. Whenever the share price hits a record low, it will trigger more short-selling. So it is not advisable to catch a falling knife especially at the beginning of the selling. However, these short-sellers need to buy back in order to make a profit. The dead cat bounce will only happen when they do massive short-covering with high volume which will temporary push up the share price.
hng33, Don't waste your bullets to average down whenever the share price hits a lower low. Wait patiently for the price to come to you. Parkson is a strong downtrend stock only good for short, not long. Even if there is a dead cat bounce, it is not sustainable.
When people pessimistic, u shud optimistic base on fact and ur judgement on the company. Will parkson goes bankrupt in the worse case scenario? Will parkson bounce back when china economy is good? Judge Urself.
Jan 2012 - Dec 2012 : Drop from 5.90 to 4.90 === rm 1 drop Jan 2013 - Dec 2013 : Drop from 4.90 to 2.90 === rm 2 drop Jan 2014 - Jun 2014 : Drop from 2.90 to 2.34 == rm 0.56 drop
Near to 3 years full of bad luck. Where go anymore optimistic left ? Optimistic also become negative.
There is No good share nor bad share in the market, its all depend on the Right Timing... I think the right timing has arrived to us very soon at 2.200 I am ready to go... God bless me !
I think traders keep on selling.. No announcement in Bursa regarding major shareholder selldown.. Just my theory, perhaps the management purposely suppress the price so that they can buy back at cheaper price.. for whatever reason, raising cash, privatisation, taking major position..
less then 3wks loss 90cent from recent high( 3.20). really shit stocks. imagine to gain back 90cent from a share is not easy and not possible in 3wks time :( . can not smile d..
goal , goal , goal, ....................... ole, ole, ole down, down, down, ................... ole, ole ,ole Happy world cup, Brazil 1 , Parkson 0 Let support the killers , and cheer it down so that it provide more opportunities for poor retailers like us to buy.
The thing is, if waitbuntil next quarter result and the result is promising, we wont get the lowest price. But again, the current selldown might be spurred from insider knowledge ahead of the financial rsult.. stock market always works ahead of time.. The next financial result might have factored in...
The practice of buy low sell high (contrarian investing) applies only when the share price hits rock-bottom. The current downside price movement on Parkson is not showing any signs of bottoming out; it is still spiralling down.
beso, Esprit (0330.HK) is now traded @ HK$11.26, showing a +ve sign of bottoming out. The stock had peaked at HK$120+ and then collapsed to rock-bottom at HK$8+ (- > 90%) retesting the low of year 2002 (refer to below Esprit chart year 2002 to Jun 2014).. On a measured move, if Parkson were to go down the same as Esprit, the rock-bottom price would be > 50% of current price at RM 2.31.
There would be no best time or worst time to enter the shares market. You may think it's bottom out but it may even go down further. Same applies to the opposite trend whereby you think it may go up further but it comes down instead or it has already reached its peak but it still break its record high.
Hence, you got to be discipline and stick to your strategy and plan. Some may prefer to average it, some may wait and see, some may cut loss and look for other counters to invest, some as shared by zuolon, short sell.
But if you are selling your own shares, you don't really make actual profits in short sell. It s more to maintaining your position in the counter but am getting back part of your initial investment. You would still lose out in term of brokerage fees and stamp duty.
agentsmith, even if the results is positive by next quarter, the shares price has already been oversold for the past and by paying a little bit extra for it, it won't be too taxing. It s impossible to time for the lowest price. You follow your strategy and be discipline and adjust when it s required. Cash movement in investment is important too.
AdCool, Precise timing to buy and sell stocks is the main purpose of using TA as an effective tool to gauge the probability of a stock's direction (long-term as well as short-term), From a TA perspective, Parkson is definitely not a buy and hold stock at RM 2.31 for long-term investment, at this point of time; at best it is merely a short-term trading buy.
zuolun, TA may not make sense in some counters as human is way too emotional to make any rational / logical decisions based on Technical Analysis. When there s emotion involvement, the whole thing just wont make sense anymore. Share markets are full of emotions. :)
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
zuolun
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Posted by zuolun > 2014-06-10 15:04 | Report Abuse
Leesk, Based on TA, the current strong selling pressure on Parkson is known as "climatic sell-off". It is normally followed by a dead cat bounce at the Fibonacci retracement level when a stock is extremely oversold.