Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said investors should bet on higher prices in the next year as manufacturing picks up around the world, the first time the bank has recommended an overweight position for the asset class in more than four years.
I think your last quarter and Q2 projections are too optimistic. Historically, their last quarter is the lowest, other than in 2013, but for 2013, Q3 lost 22.3M. Secondly, provisions is provisions, you cannot just remove it.
I think Q1 2016 =24.6 Q2 2016 =-10.3 Q3 2016 =17.3 Q4 2016 =2.0 (its been loss for the last 2 years, lets very optimistically assume that due to high tin price, it will be a 3 m profit this year)
PE 8= RM2.70 PE 18 (Current PE) = RM6. This is only if final quarter breaks 2 year trend of loss, 3 year if you count 2013, where there was a major loss in 3rd quarter.
I think the current price is reflective, but given the amount of people who are going to goreng this stock, and bullish sentiment on resources, it will go up. Just leave early
Can someone tell me why MSC is such a good stock now, other than due to sentiment?
Think positive, no risk no gain, if the company can maintain Q3 result, which I think it is impossible since the Tin price has gone up more than 20% since Jun. What say you?
Jon Choivo, your assumption does not sound prudent or rationale at all, you just simply assuming this quarter will suffer loss due to last 2 years' same quarter's loss.
Please look at CSC Steel, they also suffered loss last year's quarter, so you assume this year's quarter also loss?
How about Airasia? They also suffered huge loss last year, so they have suffered loss this also, if based on your basis of assumption? This is BUSINESS, not monopoly.
MSC own tin mine in Malaysia & is world 2nd largest integrated producer of tin metal, increase in tin price will only bring more money to the company, NOT worse.
I love your point here: --------------------------------------------------------------- i3investor123 Imaging a trader own a rubber estate & selling rubber, will he get richer if the rubber price goes up? Or will he get poorer? 24/11/2016 11:54
I started to buy Mycron @ RM0.45 & CSCSteel @ RM1.45, laughing at the night when Mycron's result released where the impairment loss had push down the profits, making it ugly if compared to last year's quarter.
The price dropped on the next day of announcement QR, but I was buying like crazy, the rest now is history.
I trust this MSC will repeat the same movement since it is only at early stage of going up. More & more people will be attracted to come here IF the tin price continue to go up day by day.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
cheoky
2,823 posts
Posted by cheoky > 2016-11-23 16:31 | Report Abuse
icon nimble mind always go where the money is, salute him & paperlane.