QR out already .... Padini Holdings Bhd’s net profit more than halved to RM16.61 million in 3QFY20 from RM34.65 million last year, as its sales dropped due to the movement control order (MCO). Quarterly revenue fell 26.76% to RM347.32 million from RM474.19 million
Net profit halved is partly contributed by accounting adjustment too. If you look at the balance sheet, the total debt increases too with the increased lease liabilities due to accounting adjustment.
Take profit first guys, no point to wait for recover, just think about whether Malaysian or even Indonesian will continue to buy clothes from PADINI like last two year then you would have better insight about this stock
In short Wtk is a screaming buy with very positive catalyst loh..!!
We invest because of Catalysts !!!
Catalyst number 1: Directors swabble and force selling now over. Now they turned into buyers of Wtk shares. Company also does share buyback support like what Calvin saw in Supermax
Catalyst number 2: Political spat with India now over and they are buying palm oil from Malaysia once again
Catalyst number 3: FDI will increase use of both wood and plywood product for building of houses, condos and factories.
Catalyst number 4: The rise of coronavirus will increase usage of marking floor tape for distance spacing. Wtk sells to Billions people on earth. This unknown product springs to life by Covid 19!!! A huge windfall surprise
Catalyst 5: It's Cash Hoard is worth 77 a share and price is only 37 sen. Very very very safe stock unlike so many loaded with high debt
In short, Wtk has all the safety margin and great prospect going forward
And best of all the price is screaming out with Value
In a nutshell u cannot go wrong investing in WTK why ??
1. It has net cash of Rm 371m even more than topgloves 2. It has more prudent acquisition on its neighbour plantation increasing its ha size and most importantly enhancing its efficiency mah....!! 3. The palmoil price has started rising. 4. The timber price has stabilise & recovery 5. Its listed tape business under listed subsidiary CIC is doing well with covid19 social distancing. 6. Govt incentive on house buying will boost demand for plywood loh..!! 7. Most importantly the CEO of WTK has started buying a positive vote of confidence mah...!! 8. The company has been doing aggressive share buy back recently. 9. Wtk has declare a dividend of 1 sen giving a 3% pa dividend yield. 10. Its NTA is more than rm 2.00 loh....!!
Posted by stockraider > Jun 14, 2020 8:41 PM | Report Abuse X
Yes buy Wtk for its future cpo increasing output due to palm trees maturity plus increase hectarage and increase in price, and also please remember there is a palm oil mill too...which wtk can benefit efficiently too.
That means wtk benefits from increasing palm output plus increase in milling profit mah...!!
I'm an owner of a shop brand in many shopping mall. When covid19 hits we had to close all of our shops for quite a long time, I barely made it thanks to the support from my online business, which i started building long before i had a shop in shopping mall.
I was interested to invest in Padini, but knowing the damage that had been done due to Covid. In my opinion, don't buy it yet, not until it goes below 2. This is a popular stocks, and so there's a lot of people buying without analyzing the damage properly.
This is my points -
1) Padini ranked #2,303 in Malaysia site ranking. Let's compare it with Zalora, the biggest online fashion market in Malaysia, which stood at rank #70 in Malaysian site ranking. This means that Padini isn't that popular online. So don't expect the sales to be anywhere near sales generated from physical stores.
2) Recovery takes a long time, Covid is suspected to persist for many years, and this new norm include shoppers UNABLE TO TRY OUTFITS due to hygiene and safety (Covid). They can't crowd the store anymore, and shoppers at the mall are always less than 80% from normal crowd.
3) Padini are heavily invested in physical stores, regardless of their sales, they have to pay the rentals, staff salary and other expenses that kept rolling.
4) For two or three quarters Padini is expected to suffer losses instead of profit. Revenue are expected to drop around 50%.
5) Even with higher cash balance, assets, it is offset by large ongoing fixed expenses.
6) If there is a second wave of Covid, Padini is among the most susceptible to it.
7) Currently global market rally have been overstretch, this include malaysian market, if a pullbacks happen, Padini have a good chance to get pulled down as well.
8) Padini is investing in online business now as a desperate attempt to recover, but as someone who's been in online business for a long time, it would require a long time before Padini could get to top #1000 site in malaysia and not anytime soon.
Based on my opinion, Padini fair value should be around 1.5 - 2.0
lau9639 Please don’t attack each other. Back to the question, what happens to Netx now? Can Calvin or some other put some comments on the shares consolidation and rights issue? I believe most of the investors begin to worry, b4 that so many positive talks on this counter and telling it is a cash rich company. Now turn out to be hv to get shareholders to pump in more money!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
smarturban
58 posts
Posted by smarturban > 2020-05-27 22:52 | Report Abuse
those who buy call earlier. i guess already run off before annoucement. let see what price will be drop till