Mobilia is wooden base, profit better then panel base. Their market cap after listed = 92m only. Their turnover should around RM50m to RM60m per year. Their sales should compare with Spring Art and spring art market cap was 192m. But during this period , new IPO should able get a bit angpao profit but don't expect for 20% to 30% gain.
@bullrun hi long time no see, lately a bit busy, im just leaving in sitting in my acc, hold je, since i told u i hold long, all the best bro, late happy chinese new year wishes to all :D
Liihen Qtr result below market expectation, and liihen share price drop, market forcast Pohuat may encounter same issue when result release next month. Therefore both share price drop. My 2 cent.
LiiHen result out 18/Feb/2021, Revenue up but net profit down due to shipment issue and weak USD, Meanwhile ,cash flow for Liihen make market worry. But Cash in hand issue will not happen on Poh Huat because Poh huat a lot of cash in hand if compare with liihen.
Disappointed result for Liihen, revenue up but cost went up even faster
Shipping costs increased 3 times compared to last year, shipping fee is still at peak, short term no chance to go down. So cost will continue to be higher & lower margin will be for the next Q
@Flying fox, FYI , for most of furniture manufacturer , shipment cost was borne by buyer not seller. Therefore, shipment cost will not affect. From there report, higher material cost and labour cost affect their profit, YoY revenue drop was due to shipment unable to ship out due to container shortage. Anyway, market had react on both share price on Liihen and Pohuat.
Flying Fox, agreed but on short terms only. FYI , most of furniture industries order able to get full capacity order for whole year 2021. therefore ,if their capacity can be same as last qtr(EPS = 0.09). Whole 4 qtr EPS should be around 0.06 to 0.09. Total 4 qtr can be 0.22 - 0.28 , PE will be very low, therefore in long run maybe can hit 2.00 to 2.20.
that was why i was wondering last quarter, why no funding allocated for expansion plan instead? Long run 5 years down the road, management dont foresee growth in furniture market huh?
I think they factored in workers covid test cost and medical cost into production cost kot, such costs should be borne by company if not full but also partially?
anyways market reacted very little on pohuat for now, so if qr unsatisfying pohuat still gt room for fall, but ill be looking forward to accumulating another batch, still eyeing rm2ish TP in the mid term
the calculation is simple, if there is alrdy a good orderbook for next few quarters, then there should at least be some modest revenue and profit. Last quarter was 9.2 EPS.
Let's say next 4 quarters 5+6+5+7 (assuming next qr not good due to worker contracting covid, additional costs etc; middle 2 quarters average-ish; and year-end quarter slightly good as that is the trend every year) total EPS is 23cents. Let's say we maintain a PE of 9. PE * EPS = Price, so 0.23*9 = 2.07. If PE 8 1.84.
The pros of investing in boring stock. Easy calculation lol. Id say 1.7 is fair value at this point. Any price below 1.6 is undervalue. Mid-long term TP rm2+ no problem.
@zen_2k, this is calculation I invested in this counter. Meanwhile, I am in this industry and i know current trend. If eye for short term, current price was quite boring. If eye for longer terms(what i mean with 1year), it had room to growth
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
moneySIFU
5,862 posts
Posted by moneySIFU > 2021-02-02 23:15 | Report Abuse
Any price below 1.55 may be good to hold longer term?