MommyHomeMakers is fighting very hard to get cheap tickets for his bosses. Aiyah, tomorrow somebody can just throw them some , pity this MommyHomeMakers losing his kuku soon.
Moneymaker, why are you so ""chiong hei "" long winded one ? Keep repeating ASP will come down. Everbody know lah. Maybank latest report projected ASP for Harta { almost 95 %Nitrile} for year 2022 , 2023 , 2024 to be US 65 , US 44 and US 29 respectively. Take 2024 , the US 29 is still higher than my worst case.assumption of US 24.
@pjseow Moneymaker, why are you so ""chiong hei "" long winded one ? Keep repeating ASP will come down. Everbody know lah. Maybank latest report projected ASP for Harta { almost 95 %Nitrile} for year 2022 , 2023 , 2024 to be US 65 , US 44 and US 29 respectively. Take 2024 , the US 29 is still higher than my worst case.assumption of US 24. 04/07/2021 9:44 PM
Yup calculation wise observatory and pjseow alrdy established that current price is the fair post pandemic price post 2024 onwards. 3 years from now, provided there's no new surprises from Covid. If Delta lineage turns out to be the 2nd Covid black swan then the pandemic will get extended longer.
Tomorrow got chance to avg down 04/07/2021 10:05 PM
It's a real sad situation the MY Gov't do not understand the importance of MY gloves in saving lives around the world. Its a global essential products, not just in MY.
Toneefa, yes, the US 24 ASP assumption provided the baseline of RM 3.30 in Observatory valuation . The additional profit from the extra US 5 ( 29 - 24 ) will.give additional rm 600 million profit or 22 sen eps. Using PE of 15., it is another rm.3.30 . I still have not add the profit from the Supermx Distribution yet. My assumption on Supermx Distribution profit is.much higher than.Observatory. I have decided not to discuss our differences in this forum. I take it as my big bonus if I am correct.
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Yup calculation wise observatory and pjseow alrdy established that current price is the fair post pandemic price post 2024 onwards. 3 years from now, provided there's no new surprises from Covid. If Delta lineage turns out to be the 2nd Covid black swan then the pandemic will get extended longer.
@pjseow Toneefa, yes, the US 24 ASP assumption provided the baseline of RM 3.30 in Observatory valuation . The additional profit from the extra US 5 ( 29 - 24 ) will.give additional rm 600 million profit or 22 sen eps. Using PE of 15., it is another rm.3.30 . I still have not add the profit from the Supermx Distribution yet. My assumption on Supermx Distribution profit is.much higher than.Observatory. I have decided not to discuss our differences in this forum. I take it as my big bonus if I am correct. 04/07/2021 10:42 PM
Problem we have is shorties will continue to want to confuse the retailers with price manipulation to get cheaper tickets to cover their short position. pjseow, I too believe ur calculation that the post pandemic fair price should be higher.
US stockpiles 512m June 2021. Can last <7 days. Usual stockpile 4b
US and UK will face acute glove shortage if the delta variant hit them coming weeks. Furthermore Malaysia now is FMCO, 60% production. Limited supply to US and UK. When there is shortage ASP will increase as the world has limited supply of nitrile gloves.
If one is holding for longer term, there's nothing to worry about share prices coz the pandemic is still raging in many parts of the world n gloves n ppe are still very much needed
Are u sure prices will fall back to prepandemic levels. One bowl of curry Mee used to cost rm5 about 5 years ago, tell me is it still selling at the same price. How much more the asp of gloves during this pandemic when the virus still raging in many parts of the world.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Ahmadahmad88
842 posts
Posted by Ahmadahmad88 > 2021-07-04 21:02 | Report Abuse
Never tired hanting and scaring.