Posted by AlsvinChangan > Aug 17, 2021 10:07 PM | Report Abuse
Revenge of the bilis comming soon
when RSS reach its limit 4%
3% limit is about 108M shares, the actual limit could be 4%
3% of 2720m shares (total shares) is 81.6m
Top glove highest net short position 253m shares about 3.1% Kossan highest NS 2.1% Harta-1.75% supermax today -2.56% yesterday 2.61%. Shorties covered 1.48m yesterday. Using dump and cover tactics.
Currently Malaysia is the worst performing index in this region. Our MYR has slid to 4.24 against the USD and 0.65 against the Yuan. RHB projected the MYR may drop to a low 4.30 against the USD. Technically should be good for exporters { eg Glove makers and CPO exporters}
Ban rss Retailer diutamakan Better read and share before my acc delete
Plantermen Currently Malaysia is the worst performing index in this region. Our MYR has slid to 4.24 against the USD and 0.65 against the Yuan. RHB projected the MYR may drop to a low 4.30 against the USD. Technically should be good for exporters { eg Glove makers and CPO exporters} 18/08/2021 10:10 AM
My purpose of writing this article is to intentionally show the hypothetical scenario of gradual ASP growth of 10 % per year and 18 % capacity growth per year for 4 years will generate fantastic earnings growth which are better than the current top notch high growth companies which IB assign a high PE . My second intention is to show the total earnings of current scenario ( super high earning growth and then taper down ) is more than twice higher than the above hypothetical scenario although both scenario reach the same end point of ASP at US 32.2 ( between 30 to 35 post pandemic ) and capacity of 48.5 billions in 2023 .
With the comparison of the 2 scenarios , I make it obvious that there is no reason to give an unreasonable super low PE for the current scenario because .
1. Total earnings for current scenario is better than the hypothetical scenarios of continuos growth .
2. Both scenarios will continue t0 grow from 2023 onwards when ASP reach the stabilised US 32.2 in 2023 post pandemic period .
3. The company deserve a better PE of 15 with such growth rate and hence the target prices in 2023 . .
4. The 4 years total earnings of the hypothetical scenario is able to fund the capacity expansion from 25 billions to 48.5 billions per year .
5. The 4 years total earnings of the current scenarios can fund similar capacity expansions with surplus cash which can be distributed to shareholders as dividend or share buy backs .
I hope the above comparison will eliminate the fear or misconception that when ASP come down to US 30 to 35 , supermx value will go back to pre pandemic levels . Supermx had already make a total of 3.27 billion from 2020 till present .THis total is only RM 400 m short of the total for the hypothetical total earnings of 3.67 billions . With the coming QR of approximately 1 b , the total will surpass the hypothetical total earnings . Whatever extra earning is a bonus .
Supermx is really under valued at current prices .
Disclaimer : THe above is not a buy or sell call . It is for sharing for serious investors .
Last FM,just clear the desk is a banker His want bursa on par with dow jones Compare last year,many become millionaires as rss is ban But now,is one sided games Mak kiah forever poorer Ban rss
This is the standard and quality of comment coming from.someone who claimed to work for IB . Sigh.
--------------------------------------------- investmalaysia77 pjseow now begging IB to read his post. cannot tahan his paper loss d. kikiki 早知今天,何必当初 18/08/2021 9:20 AM
@pjseow , I hope the above comparison will eliminate the fear or misconception that when ASP come down to US 30 to 35 , supermx value will go back to pre pandemic levels . Supermx had already make a total of 3.27 billion from 2020 till present .THis total is only RM 400 m short of the total for the hypothetical total earnings of 3.67 billions . With the coming QR of approximately 1 b , the total will surpass the hypothetical total earnings . Whatever extra earning is a bonus . 18/08/2021 11:29 AM
Yup pjseow, excellent point. Ppl forget post pandemic will alrdy pass 4-5 years since prepandemic.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
dick20
309 posts
Posted by dick20 > 2021-08-18 08:22 | Report Abuse
At current levels, we should buy and there is a good chance for a profitable trade