Where are the sasooooZsai stockpickyU guru? The dr always call buy before serbadk fallen and said very strong fundamentals company won’t die. Now the company dying die to false acct news. Where are they? We need sttttuuuppppiiiddd GUru nowadays to see drama show to lie ppl.
The big 4 already expansion or future expansion had already using industry 4.0 automation. This will cut the manpower use in production lines by 6x. Reduce from 9.7 to 1.5 workers to produce 1 million gloves according Margma. This will further cost saving in production and this saving will be converted to additional profit.
How is glove demand ever going to go back to pre-pandemic level, when pandemic is quite obviously still raging & rampaging with newer & robuster covid variants still emerging all the time
that is just so obviously shorting cartel bullkrapping fearmongering
Global supply of rubber gloves is projected to reach 420 billion pieces this year, some 80 billion pieces short of the projected demand of 500 billion pieces, according to the Malaysian Rubber Glove Manufacturers Association (MARGMA)
whether you call it 'pandemic' or 'endemic', it's still basically just splitting hairs, just plain semantics for the jargon gymnasts, just simple branding & perception play
Even Glove ASP going back to pre Covid time, it is still USD 25 which is profitable and cash is King as Supermax has RM 1.30 per share, you are paying extra RM 1.00 for international Glove venture business...
Among the 3 research houses TP prices, the lowest from Kenanga is RM 2.35 and you are buying around RM 2.20 to 2.30, isn't a good bargain for such low PE company...
Supermax prices around RM 2.30 is a bargain, debt to cash only 0.07, current ratio is 2.62 times and current PE is 1.66 times, cash on hands around RM 1.30 per share...
Kenanga TP is based on 12x FY23 NP(530m) This is based on Rev 3160m / ASP 28 / Utilization 80% /Margin 25% Issue is with revenue projection - capacity is assumed at 34Bln - Why do they not assume the planned 48Bln in FY23
jgc , kenanga is actually using a margin of 17 % (16.6 % to be exact ) instead of 25%。 See page 3 of 7 of kenanga report.
PAT = 28 x 34 x 0.8 x 0.166 = 530 m
Kenanga should use 42 b capacity.instead of 34 . FY 2023 start from.mid of CY 2022 and end in mid CY 2023. The average of 36 bil and 48 bil will give 42 billions. Then
PAT = 28 x 42 x 0.8 x 4.2 x 0.25 = 988 m
Kenanga tgt PAT of 530 mil is too low. In fact the consensus PAT in.kenanga report itself is 878 m.
---------------------------- jgc147 Kenanga TP is based on 12x FY23 NP(530m) This is based on Rev 3160m / ASP 28 / Utilization 80% /Margin 25% Issue is with revenue projection - capacity is assumed at 34Bln - Why do they not assume the planned 48Bln in FY23 01/10/2021 7:37 PM
Even Kenanga joined hands with Shorties gangs to bring down the Share prices by giving very very low TP price of RM 2.35, it is still a excellent buy on price below RM 2.35, someone mentioned it will use the RM 1.30 cash per share to build hugh Glove factories in United States which in turn will bring more money back to Malaysia to reward the genuine shareholders...
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ToneeFa
2,529 posts
Posted by ToneeFa > 2021-10-01 15:39 | Report Abuse
WC niet. Looks like China glove wings will be clipped for the meantime. Msia glove shall continue to dominate globally.