We believe approximately 70% of JTB’s revenues are generated through export sales of tin manufacturing and F&B products while approximately 80% of JTB’s costs of goods sold are imported raw materials (i.e. tinplates and milk powder). Hence, JTB being a net importer will benefit from strengthening of Ringgit. Our sensitivity analysis finds that for every 5 sen appreciation in Ringgit against the dollar, JTB’s net core earnings increases by 3.0% YoY, ceteris paribus.
We raise our FY17 earnings projections by 8.0% to account for lower-thanexpected skimmed milk price and normalising tin manufacturing profit margin. We have also increased our earnings forecasts by 2.6% and 6.9% for FY18 and FY19 respectively premised on assumptions that: 1) ringgit will average to USDMYR4.10 in 2018 and 2019, as well as 2) commissioning of new plant in Mexico in 4Q18 with utilisation of 30% and 40% for FY18 and FY19 respectively.
TA
***We raise our FY17 earnings projections by 8.0%***
FY2016 PAT RM 36,084,000
To achieve 8% of increment,
FY17 Q1 PAT RM 10,319,000 FY17 Q2 PAT RM 6,884,000 FY17 Q3 PAT RM 8,079,000 FY17 Q4 PAT RM 13,688,000***
Management guided that the progress on the construction of an 80,000-tonnes capacity evaporated milk and condensed milk factory by its 40%-owned joint venture, i.e. Able Dairies Mexico, is expected to complete by 4Q18. JTB sees this venture as an opportunity to gain market share from its sole competitor, i.e. Nestle Mexico
TA
Wanna fight with NESTLE ka!!!!! So power meh? HIhihi.....
@LuckyG, Agree. You are right. As what you stated earlier, "ppl start to goreng consumer and healthy counter in china . which they call it whitehorse stock ".
Western Europe -International Market Prices of Skim Milk Powder Aug 2017 x USD 2125 Sep 2017 x USD 2004 Oct 2017 x USD 1825 Nov 2017 x USD 1763 Dec 2017 x USD 1700 Jan 2018 x USD 1650
Let talk about Nestle,F &N & Dlady who also milk powder manufacturer,why their price shut up almost 20%(represent investor so confident they wil earn more even previously they declare 2 quarter drop in NP 20-30%),if the coming quarter their Qtr report is good,then we can guess Johoretin also may declare good result due to all of them are strong ringgit beneficiarer
Vol traded is low today(not much contra selling). This means most players are not willing to sell at current price. Hope TA securities research house is right on its analysis...
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
LuckyG
1,698 posts
Posted by LuckyG > 2018-01-09 07:44 | Report Abuse
Even US trend switching from IT to under value good track record stock