This is a company that has never been able to deliver substantial enough profit to its shareholder for the past 10 years. In FY17 the company posted a net loss of RM3.4mil to its shareholder. In the 9m18 the losses were at RM2mil which is a bit better compared to last FY17. Expect 4Q to still deliver a net loss to investors.
Those who think that Euro Holdings can suddenly deliver a substantial enough profit for its shareholder in FY 19 might be having some wishful thinking. I would define a substantial profit to be around RM4mil to give the company a PE of 12x at least. Given the challenging market outlook for both the furniture (due to higher operating cost environment) and property industries, I would think that the best result that the company can achieve is a very small profit of less than RM1mil in FY19. The most likely outcome would still be net profit loss to the shareholders.
If you are looking to diversify your portfolio outside of Euro Holdings (due to its weak earnings outlook), I would recommend you to look at MBMR.
MBMR is a direct proxy to Perodua via its 22.6% interest in the company. Valuation is cheap at only 6.7x PE (based on target FY18 profit of RM145mil. 9m profit is already RM106mil). PB is low at only 0.7x BV. 4Q18 results is expected to be higher than 3Q18 and last year's 4Q17.
FY19 growth will be driven by the still high demand of the new Myvi and the newly launched SUV Aruz and also the newly revamp Alza in 2H19. The recent announcement of closure and potential disposal of the loss-making alloy wheel manufacturing business alone is expected to boost the company’s profit by an additional RM20mil. I am projecting a profit to shareholder of RM170 mil for FY19 which at the current price values MBMR at only 5.7x PE.
Please go through the analyst reports (https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/stk/pt/5983.jsp) and do your own analysis before making any decisions. There are 8 analysts in total covering the stock with most of them having a TP of above RM3 (all have a buy rating). The average TP for the 8 analysts is around RM3.50.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
saltedfish
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Posted by saltedfish > 2018-08-24 10:48 | Report Abuse
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