It is very obvious right sitia. PenguinDad said that the big giant he spoke to "recommend" to REJECT the 0.38 offer.
As a small fish in stock market, nothing much we can do, however remember there are few big fund that currently hold HOVID too if you look at their annual report. If those big funds also reject the 0.38 offer, then there is a big chances HOVID can't get 90% of their floating share and delist will be unsuccessful.
Just put your feet into HOVID management shoe, if they willing to buy HOVID share at 0.38, do you think HOVID only worth 0.38? It is definitely worth more than that right or else Mr. HO will never borrow money from financial institution to buy back our share.
so my direction is NOT to sell at 0.38. It is way too cheap for that. Even before the licence issue early of this year, HOVID was able to produce EPS that is able to sustain the share price at RM 0.40. Now with the new manufacturing facility and R&D centre completed end of this year, we should see at least 10-30% EPS grow. And their want to buy back from us at 0.38. You decide you want to sell or not.
my understanding is. If the offerer managed to get 90%+, then you have NO option, they will just send you the cheque or bank in you 0.38 and get the remainding 10% shared back and DELIST.
If they manage to get 70/75% (not sure the number), then the offerer can decide to go DELIST or maintain listing in Bursa. If maintain listing in Bursa, nothing different from now. If delist, then those share holders who are not selling at 0.38 will still the shareholder for HOVID, but you can't trade the stock in the market. If you want HOVID to buy back your share, you need to write them a letter. On the other hand, HOVID will need to send you quarter report by post/email quarterly to update you the company's progress (CANNOT get in bursa anymore).
My point of view is, HOVID surely want 100%, if not they need to send report to every shareholders again in the future to update them. If HOVID give dividend in the future, then you still entitle for that, just you can't get the update from Bursa.
The different is, if they delist and you still the shareholder, you get update from company directly but not bursa. And you can't sell your shared openly in the market.
There are cases where companies went delist and still gave even better dividend. Cause the major shareholder hold majority of the share now, he/she want more dividend. As a minority share holder in a DELIST company, you still get the dividend.
in short, if you think HOVID going to make lot of money (which I believe it will), then hold and don sell. 0.38 is an insult to me. Company like this could easily hit RM0.80 in few years.
kevin5059,thanks for the clarity of the information.
I understand if you really need to sell your shares at 38 cents, you need to go to the Securities do sign a form too. For this, you need to check with your Remisier/Trader.
For my understanding, the BIG SHAREHOLDERS ALWAYS WIN (No matter what). They have the veto power of deciding the fate.
"CONDITIONAL VOLUNTARY TAKE-OVER OFFER BY THE JOINT OFFERORS THROUGH CIMB INVESTMENT BANK BERHAD ("CIMB") TO ACQUIRE ALL THE REMAINING ORDINARY SHARESAND WARRANTS OF HOVID BERHAD ("HOVID") NOT ALREADY HELD BY THE JOINT OFFERORS FOR A CASH OFFER PRICE OF RM0.38 PER OFFER SHARE AND RM0.20 PER OFFERWARRANT ("OFFER")" I already received this msg...................
ikan bilis like us can't make any diff whether you decide to take up the offer or not...eventually the big one will have their say on this, we are just very much a follower.
For a conditional offer, the offerer must receive acceptance resulting in the offerer holding more than 50% in order for the offer to be successful. If the offerer is unable to receive acceptances resulting in the offered holding at least 50%, the offer will fail and the shares of those who have accepted the offer will be returned. In other words, accepting shareholders don't get paid and things maintain at status quo.
If the offered achieves acceptance of more than 50% but not able to reach the requisite threshold for delisting or compulsory acquisition, those who have accepted the offer will get paid for their acceptance as the offer is successful. However, as the threshold for deleting is not achieved, company will continue to be listed and those who have not accepted the offer will continue holding shares which are tradeable.
I would prefer to have HOVID to continue listing. Imagine if Mr. Ho willing to buy at 0.38, meaning the company is worth more than that. He knew it better than anyone else.
Assume that Cold Eyes holding 1.22%, and he is not selling. And Mr. Ho need to get 90% of the share to be able to trigger the compulsory take over. 10%-1.22%=8.78% left. As long as our small minority share holder not selling more than 8.78%. Then Mr. Ho have to make better offer.
90%强制收购是要扣除david ho已经持有的股份,所以冷眼的1.22%应该是在反对收购里占1.84%。 除了冷眼,在30大股东里,基金和个人持股多年的要达强制收购应该很渺茫。2017的annual report 出现morgan Stanley 持有warrant。morgan Stanley 在2015年财报当时是30大股东,后来卖出了,这次再次出现在30大持warrant。
Quote from MBFH privatisation case study" From The Star: KUALA LUMPUR: MBf Holdings Bhd (MBf) major shareholder, Tan Sri Dr Ninian Mogan Lourdenadin has raised his takeover offer price for the remaining shares and warrants following opposition from minority shareholders.
Ninian and parties acting in concert with him announced on Thursday the offer shares were revised from RM1.50 to RM1.70 and the warrants from 50 sen to 70 sen.
Most importantly, shareholders who had accepted the original offer would also benefit from the higher revised offer and they would receive the incremental increase within 10 days.
MBf said the revised offer would be kept open for acceptances until 5pm on April 3, which is the extended closing date.
At midday, MBf shares rallied 18 sen to RM1.70 and the warrants gained 16.5 sen to 66 sen. "
This is only the first deadline...if the required threshold not achieved as HSS only holds 34%, he will extend the offer date as the case of MBFH...an indication of whether threshhold achieved or not? will be the movement of Hovid share price and its volume...
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
PenguinDad
1,729 posts
Posted by PenguinDad > 2017-10-30 08:05 | Report Abuse
sitia, sometime insider information is very useful but if say everything i will be giving away totally.