People see value in this stock. Only people with vision can see. I see this above $1 next year. I see the director buying every month slowly and steadily. I see a share buy back scheme in its AGM agenda. I see some M&A coming. I see good profit coming with new contracts. I see lesser and lesser share in the market being bought by long term investors. I see a potential in this company. So please be patient. When it jumped it is hard to buy. So just stay invested and buy more if you got the pocket money to spare. Good to collect for long term.
Something will come soon within these 2 weeks....based on the buying pattern previously...need to wait for the wave....huge collection at 44.5 sen. If break 46.5 sen we will rock and roll.
Same pattern used to frighten people in Nihsin when the support 30 sen was breached...and it fell to 28 sen as many people panic sell but Nihsin went up back to 32.5 sen. Now AWC support 44.5 sen breached and ding dong between 44 and 44.5 sen. I don't think it can fall much but will rebound back to 47 sen soon. Today is a day where you can see everywhere is red. Even Systech and Priva, Wintoni all red. So it is not unusual for some panic sellers or contra players to forced sell. Just ignore it and buy on weakness. Love to collect now that the price is cheap. Sell some more.
@samer the first price to breakout is 46.5 sen. Support is currently at 44.5 sen. Volume low indicate selling is finish and we are going to go up soon. Just hold and be patient. When it go up, once break 46.5 sen we are going to 50 sen.
U.S. stocks closed higher on Thursday, with energy shares leading the advance as crude oil rebounded off a sharp decline,,,
Today I expect a massive rebound for the overall market as we have been in consolidation mode for the past few days! If AWC can break 46.5 today...we will fly....
Yesterday our PM came out to clarify and talk about the issues and criticism against him What I am saying is the issues surrounding Malaysia's 1MDB debts and all the issues on the political scene affected the market as a whole. When the PM come out to clarify and makes things clear, it will trigger a positive sign that Malaysia is still strong and our future is not as dim as it seem. So the overall market will rebound not like the past few days which see low volume and low interest. Now that the issues are cleared, I think market will jump high or rebound as a sign of support. Lets see if this is true. Remember last time when the oil drop like hell, the PM came out and speak and the market rebounded.
Table 6: Discount Cash Flow Model 1 Valuation on AWC 9 apr 2015
Table 6.1: Assumptions Current stock price $0.45 Share outstanding (Mil) 255,352 This year FCF (Avg last 5 years) $9,583 Next year's FCF (mil) $10,062 Growth for the next 5 and 10 years 5.0% 3% Teminal growth rate, g 3.00% Discount rate, R 10.0%
Table 6.2: DCFA PV of FCFF of core operations $154,000 Non-operating cash $43,363 Investment in Properties $1,905 Investment Securities $0 Debts ($3,000) PV of FCFE $196,268 Less minority interest ($59,273) 30.20% FCFE $136,995 Number of shares 255352 FCF per share $0.54 19% MOS 16%
Intrinsic Value of AWC is RM0.54. Potential gain of 19%
Today all the speculative counters go down the drain...AWC solid and still standing up. Bravo! So it pays to play stocks with strong fundamentals. You don't get heart attack and stress and you can sleep well. That is most important. You don't worry even when you go toilet but when you play those speculative counters you never know when they will drop like nobody business. We are currently building a base at 44.5 sen and will be moving up once sellers are finished. So far still got few selling at 44.5 sen but all selling was well absorbed by the smart investors here and it moved up another 0.5 sen today.
I really think AWC will be the next IFCAMSC in the making with such strong fundamentals. There are a lot of investors who invested in IFCAMSC also took some profits there and invested here. This AWC is really testing our patience as it move in a very tight range of 44 sen - 47 sen for some time. As more investors are accumulating at 44.5 sen, it is highly likely that the price will start to move upwards soon. We are waiting for some news or some big holders to acquire the share once again to kick start the buying momentum again as AWC was a bit idling so far. Good luck next week. Really waiting for a breakthru to 50 sen!!!!!!!!!!!!!
This week most of the penny stocks are lacklustres and doesn't fare well . Hopefully , if penny stocks take the lead next week , AWC have a higher chance to take the lead since last week , it keeps on maintaining the price from 0.44 -- 0.45 cts steadily and well supported ! Best still if the current TP rerate since the previous TP set by research house is below 0.40 cts which is not very encouraging :for the price to move higher !
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
bfstay
99 posts
Posted by bfstay > 2015-04-07 00:05 | Report Abuse
something to share:
http://winstocks.blogspot.com/2015/03/awc-7579-cash-90-of-market.html
http://winstocks.blogspot.com/2015/02/awc-7579-bursting-forward.html