We have screened on PUBLIC PACKAGES HOLDINGS BHD on 19 Oct that it has a potential up side the next trading day.
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2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1=5% Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years or 20%, whichever is less => For companies with Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years equals 0, => Growth Rate: 5%
4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2=4%
3. Years of Growth Stage: y1=10
5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2=10
6. Earnings Per Share: eps=RM0.12. #####
Public Packages Holdings Bhd's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:
DCF (Earnings Based) = Earnings Per Share * {[(1+g1)/(1+d) + (1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2 + ... + (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10] + (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10 * [(1+g2)/(1+d) + (1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2 + ... + (1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]} set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.12) = 0.9375 and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.12) = 0.928571428571
2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1=5% Growth Rate in the growth stage = average free cash flow growth rate in the past 10 years or 20%, whichever is less => For companies with Average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years equals 0..
4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2=4%
3. Years of Growth Stage: y1=10
5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2=10
6. Free Cash Flow Per Share: fcf=RM0.18. # DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the earnings per share is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.
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Public Packages Holdings Bhd's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as
DCF (FCF Based) = fcf * {[(1+g1)/(1+d) + (1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2 + ... + (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10] + (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10 * [(1+g2)/(1+d) + (1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2 + ... + (1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]} set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.12) = 0.9375 and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.12) = 0.928571428571###########
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
albukhary
3,045 posts
Posted by albukhary > 2015-04-12 23:04 | Report Abuse
When PPHB will move?