1. Operating margin 4.21% & Net profit margin 2.5%. Very thin margin. Indication they are in a very tough market & their products can be replaced by any other manufacturers anytime. They cannot command price as there is no barrier to entry.
2. ROE 2016 at 8.97%. Moderate.
3. The debt level have been increasing constantly since 2012 to 2016. Not a good sign.
4. The EPS CAGR 5 years = 19.11% but there was a great fluctuation spotted in EPS between 2012 to 2016.
Your golden egg still got a lots to improve before it will attract any funds. Funds got better option outside there. For instance, listed at SGX
To get in EG's biz, first of all ... u need to know what they are currently doing;
A.) (Prospect / Growth) 1. Biz by segment (Pcba & Box-built) 2. Plant utilisation 3. Potential contract ahead.
B.) Others domestic & macro front , i wont go into it .(But, i'll share to u my previous comments later )
C.) While as the Debt concern, i juz leave it to EG's finance control . There is no single 'default payment' since the new management take place 3 years ago.Yaa, 90% of the sum debt are Trade Finance. Why do i worry about ?
Lastly, there are more & more Foreign EMS player invested in Malaysia, WHY ? again u may go & search for it.
LAST WORD ! TO DISCOVER A GEM, THERE IS NO SUCH WAY JUZ BY AN QUICK SCAN. wether u going to overlooked them, or may probably read them wrongly :)
*** Now , will share my previous comment with u at below.
@musangfoxking, yes. In short, not the time yet. EG got a lot to proof & improve on their parameters. The funds would be more efficient to be parted somewhere else. No harm to be later but safer.
BEFORE ONE CAN UNDERSTOOD BOX BUILT, HE MIGHT NEED TO FIND OUT WHICH SECTOR FOR BOX BUILT ARE TO BE FITTED; SO, BY READING THE BELOW GIVEN LINK ,I THINK IT MAY HELP IN PAINTING AN OVERALL PICTURE.
Financial year 2015 [ 20% / $64mil No reference for Yoy growth ]
Financial year 2016 [ 35% / $128mil & Yoy growth by 200% ]
Financial year 2017 (Q4 is est.) [ 50% / $250mil & Yoy growth by 195% ]
Financial year 2018 ( i. $300mil Box built contract has secured for for 2018 & 19 so far, as announce in their Jun'17 p.r. ; ii. EGgs has started searching for their 3rd new strategic production plant )
[ 85% / $425mil & Yoy growth by 170% ]
Financial year 2019 [ 100% / $500mil & Yoy growth by 118% ]
*** Remarks *** Segment Net margin.................................................... i . Pcba : apprx. 1.9% ii. Box Built : apprx. 5.1%
By End2017 financial, EGgs probably will has follow segment profit.... i . Pcba : apprx. $14.39mil (53%) ii. Box Built : apprx. $12.80mil (47%)
[ $15MIL FROM THE RAISING FUND, EG TO ROBOTISE IT'S EXISTING FACILITIES & FURTHUR CURBING THE CURVE AT FASTEST SPEED, BIG LIKE ! ]
EG: Machinery upgrades to bring new sales of RM100m per year. EG Industries, which has secured shareholders' nod for its renounceable rights issue to raise up to RM63.9m for business expansion, says its planned upgrades of its machinery and equipment should generate additional sales of about RM100m a year. EG Industries said the approval was obtained at the group's EGM. The renounceable rights issue, which will be undertaken on the basis of one rights share for four existing EG Industries shares, is at an indicative issue price of 95 sen. (The Edge)
{ EG'S " FAIR PRICE BY 2H 2017 - 1H 2018 " } ************************************************** - Existing market cap is, $180 mil - Existing shares is, 211.3 mil
(Net profit by segments) :
______________ i. PCBA = $14.0 mil (assuming no growth yoy.) ______________ ii.Box Built = $21.7 mil (Segment Yoy growth by 170%)
--------------------------------------------
Total Net Profit = [ $35.7 mil ]
Price to Earning (P.E.) / Before Ex-right / After Ex-Right ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
1. X 10 (P.e.) : $1.69 / $1.33 2. X 12 (P.e.) : $2.03 / $1.59 * THIS IS THE ONE, I'M LOOKING AT $$$
@ Sifu VenFx, I would keep development of EG parameters under observation. Perhaps time could proof me wrong like what you said. For conservative people like me, I would not initiate but no harm to observe for knowledge gain. TQVM for your responses.
If u do work in manufacturing before, then you will know the path to VI is not easy.... especially client "D". Anyway, good luck for EG. They are the only one who know where they are now. Hopefully they really develop this client "D".
EG's " Box-Buit Segment " has been growth robustly ; If, everything work out as planned ...
Believing "Box-built" net profit to have a significantly ratio of 60% to toatal Eg's annual profit , While, the rest go to 'Pcba' by 2018 . Thus, a 35% of CAGR yearly Net Profit is very much achievable !
My [ TP for EG at $1.59 ] after multiply 12x P.e. in 2018 , shall be expecting :)
VenFx, it is interesting. EG initially as a pure PCBA company, has upgraded itself to do plastic injection molding. As a plastic injection company, Skpres now also wants to do PCBA.
Starting 1st July 2017, Malaysia has kicked-off the 2nd phase of de-tariffication (liberisation) of car insurance. Meaning to say, new car insurance is no longer rigidly offered based on the age of driver (and car), and engine capacity. New insurance will take into more risk factor.
As stated in the above website, the future of car insurance will move towards 'digital, predictive and usage-based.' This is where there will be a tracking device inside the car to track the information of the driver's driving behaviour and surrounding geographical condition, in exchange for a fairer insurance premium.
As a manufacturer and distributor for vehicle tracking company Tramigo. EG will surely benefit from this car insurance market transformation.
The concerns about receivables are superficial. If you study well the QR of VS and Skpres, all their receivables spikes as well, this is due to their rapid expansion.
Expansion brings in more sale, just like what is mentioned by the management of Geshen. When sales increase, the rise in receivables is inevitable.
Want t9 buy or sell also v difficult coz no vol at all. May b the punters have shy away from this counter. No more hope unless something extraordinary happens.
Stock Kingdom, you may want to find out in details about EG's debt.
Over 230mil, the trade finance is approximately 190mil. I personally don't see trade finance as "real debt" as it is a tool for exporters to settle business with client, the bigger the revenue, the trade finance increases (maybe this is the reason everyone is worrying). Hence, if take trade finance out of the picture, the real debt (term loan, hire purchase & trust) is only 40mil.
If you check their cash flow statement, cash from operating activity roughly 50mil last quarter, minus trade finance interest still have 30mil. With this earning power, i personally think it is undervalued now. After the right issue with money flow in, situation will be much better.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
yangstyle10forms
125 posts
Posted by yangstyle10forms > 2017-07-02 08:21 | Report Abuse
Greeting Sifu VenFx, a quick scan on EG through ft.com are not so favorable.
https://markets.ft.com/data/equities/tearsheet/financials?s=EG:KLS&subview=Overview
1. Operating margin 4.21% & Net profit margin 2.5%. Very thin margin. Indication they are in a very tough market & their products can be replaced by any other manufacturers anytime. They cannot command price as there is no barrier to entry.
2. ROE 2016 at 8.97%. Moderate.
3. The debt level have been increasing constantly since 2012 to 2016. Not a good sign.
4. The EPS CAGR 5 years = 19.11% but there was a great fluctuation spotted in EPS between 2012 to 2016.
Your golden egg still got a lots to improve before it will attract any funds. Funds got better option outside there. For instance, listed at SGX
1. Valuetronics Ltd
2. Avi Tech Electronics Ltd