ibex, just a piece of advice, don't chase after when it's skyrocketing, even if you did that, make sure you have cash to average down your entry price. Just my 2 cents, have a great friday.
Please use the facts and figures to determine if its good for investment. It's posted by Johnny Cash. Will it be still a penny stock in the months ahead, just ask yourself.
Posted by johnny cash > May 6, 2014 06:59 PM | Report Abuse INVESTMENT MERIT
Mitrajaya’s earnings have reached an inflection point after its core net profit (netting off the RM4.2m land disposal gain in Rawang) grew significantly by 40% to RM25.1m in FY13, driven its construction and property divisions. According to the management, its orderbook has reached its all-time high of RM1.2b (3.3x to FY13 revenue), 140% higher than that of its previous historical high of RM500m. As for its property division, there is RM80m locked-in sales, which will be recognised this year and about RM146m ready stock yet to be sold.
Based on our conservative analysis, we forecast Mitrajaya’s core earnings could at least report high double digit net profit growth of 52% and 31% in FY14 and FY15. This is substantially higher than that of our construction universe’ aggregate FY14- FY15 earnings growth forecast of 16%-9%.
Tenderbook of RM1.75b, targeting to win at least RM300m this year. Tenderbook includes: Petronas RAPID project (RM600m), building works for Ikano Cochrane (RM350m), infra projects for ECERDC (RM300m), building works for Bandar Setia Alam (RM300m), and building works for Putrajaya (RM200m). The management expects to win at least RM300m this year and that, we believe, will be coming mainly from building works in Putrajaya and other infra projects. Note that Mitrajaya has established a long-term relationship (10 years) with Putrajaya Holdings through its excellent project delivery track record. The latest project they secured with Putrajaya Holdings Bhd was the RM427m MACC Building last year. With this track record and background, we believe Mitrajaya is well-placed to win more contracts from Putrajaya.
Key catalyst for property division: Wangsa Maju. Mitrajaya will be launching a property project comprising 3-blocks of luxury condominiums in Wangsa Maju starting 4Q2014. Total GDV for the whole project is estimated at RM650m and it is located right opposite Wangsa Walk Mall and is only 150m away from Sri Rampai LRT station. Despite the property cooling measures, we believe this project will achieve strong take-up rates due to the strategic location. According to the management, 1st phase of the project will be around RM200m and we expect this project to contribute significantly from FY16 onwards.
Other businesses to support earnings growth. We understand Mitrajaya has other businesses, including (i) a 51% stake in Optimax Eye Specialist Sdn Bhd, one of the largest optical companies in Malaysia and (ii) 152 acres of bungalow vacant lots and 18-hole golf course in South Africa. The former contributes about close to RM1.0m last year while the latter contribute about RM5.0m last year mostly through land sales. We expect at least it could maintain the same quantum of last year’s profit through land sales. We believe these two divisions will likely continue to support its earnings growth in the foreseeable future.
Forecasts. We forecast its net profit to grow by 52% and 31% in FY14 and FY15 to RM38.3m and RM49.9m, respectively. The earnings growth is based on the following assumptions: (i) orderbook burn rate of 33%-35%, (ii) new contracts assumption of RM300m per annum, (iii) unbilled sales of around RM80m coupled with expected new sales of RM50m-RM115m in FY14-FY15.
Fairly valued at RM1.13, TRADING BUY. We reckon that this underresearched stock, Mitrajaya, is one of small-cap stocks with good growth prospect that worth considering given its visible earnings growth prospects.
At current price, Mitrajaya appears very cheap as it is only trading at Fwd-PER15 of 6.0x against its small-cap peers average Fwd-PER of 8x-10x. Benchmarked at 9x fwd-PER on FY15 earnings, Mitrajaya is fairly valued at RM1.13. TRADING BUY, as the stock offers 50% potential upside.
A major upward rerating will unfold if end of the month results is as good as the last quarter (Q4FY13). Keep it for another 3 to 6 months, I think you can get at least a 50% gain from the current price.
At current price, my most conservative estimate for this financial year FY14, EPS can be around 15, PE=78/15=5.2. It may be much better. If you think the PE for this type of company can be at least 10, the share price should double then. What is offered for sale now at 78c is selling cheap and a very good cheap deal for any buyer who looks forward.
Flappy bird, now we can fly together with the rest, kheng, hongsaw, joel, dragonking, lim, oliviakeong and the rest. Read the Star business news today, page9
STAR business news page 9 Need to revise my statement below. A orderbook of Rm1.2bil, a tenderbook of Rm1.6bil, a planned development of Rm2.0bil and anything additional that comes during the FY of Rmx.0bil PENNY STOCK
Firebird2 A orderbook Rm1.2bil and a tenderbook Rm1.6bil penny stock 09/05/2014 16:26
The value of its land bank appreciation is about 1 & 1/2 times of its present market capitalization based on the closing price of 78 sen. So, there should be substantial upside for this counter for a 6 to 9 months horizon. This has not taken into consideration of its land bank in South Africa. :-)
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
dragonking
3,496 posts
Posted by dragonking > 2014-05-08 19:07 | Report Abuse
lim brunei,,,last month i kena,,what buy all go down,,i go mandi bunga then ong ong huat huat. You can trylah