Bright Packaging started out strong and within minutes broke the 80 sen psychological level and reached the high of 82.5 sen. Profit taking activities immediately take control and less than an hour the share dropped back to below 80 sen. Volume continue to decrease and traders decided not to hold any positions over the weekends.
Next week we will see more interests in this counter as I am expecting earnings to be announced next Friday's closing. Bright should trade around 82-84 sen before the end of week.
More traders felt that the Warrants were overpriced but I believed that when the mother share is in-the-money so soon and the expiry date is so far away the risk is somewhat minimized. Also bear in mind that this company has a very low PE and potential for re-rating is very promising considering fund managers are holding close to 10% of the stock. Any dividends or good earnings announcements are good catalysts to attract more potential fund managers. Once fund managers are accumulating this stock the PE automatically re-rated to a double digit figure. We will see more activities on Bright-wb next week when the mother share's price hit the strike price of 82 sen.
How do you know if the warrants is overpriced or not? Basically you don't. You can have the stock price, strike price, expiry date but you don't know the volatility of this stock accurately. It is based on supply and demand. The way I look at it now demand will start exceeding supply as soon as the share hit the strike price. The delta and theta will start changing along with the price movements of the mother share. Having said that please understand that warrants are not meant for long-term investment. It is an opportunity for traders to take short-term position from the market volatility. So if you are a buy-and-hold investors stay out of warrants.
So folks Happy Investing! Buy at your own risk. 19/04/2014 20:13
Bright Packaging started out strong and within minutes broke the 80 sen psychological level and reached the high of 82.5 sen. Profit taking activities immediately take control and less than an hour the share dropped back to below 80 sen. Volume continue to decrease and traders decided not to hold any positions over the weekends.
Next week we will see more interests in this counter as I am expecting earnings to be announced next Friday's closing. Bright should trade around 82-84 sen before the end of week.
More traders felt that the Warrants were overpriced but I believed that when the mother share is in-the-money so soon and the expiry date is so far away the risk is somewhat minimized. Also bear in mind that this company has a very low PE and potential for re-rating is very promising considering fund managers are holding close to 10% of the stock. Any dividends or good earnings announcements are good catalysts to attract more potential fund managers. Once fund managers are accumulating this stock the PE automatically re-rated to a double digit figure. We will see more activities on Bright-wb next week when the mother share's price hit the strike price of 82 sen.
How do you know if the warrants is overpriced or not? Basically you don't. You can have the stock price, strike price, expiry date but you don't know the volatility of this stock accurately. It is based on supply and demand. The way I look at it now demand will start exceeding supply as soon as the share hit the strike price. The delta and theta will start changing along with the price movements of the mother share. Having said that please understand that warrants are not meant for long-term investment. It is an opportunity for traders to take short-term position from the market volatility. So if you are a buy-and-hold investors stay out of warrants.
So folks Happy Investing! Buy at your own risk. 19/04/2014 20:13
On behalf of the Board of Directors of Bright (“Board”), TA Securities Holdings Berhad (“TA Securities”) wishes to announce that the Company proposes to undertake the following:
proposed establish and implement a share issuance scheme of up to fifteen percent (15%) of the Company’s issued and paid-up share capital (excluding treasury shares, if any) at any one time during the duration of the scheme (“Proposed SIS”), for the Directors and employees of Bright and its subsidiaries (“Bright Group”) (excluding dormant subsidiaries) who fulfil the eligibility criteria;
proposed increase in the authorised share capital of Bright from RM100,000,000 comprising 200,000,000 Bright Shares to RM200,000,000 comprising 400,000,000 Bright Shares (“Proposed Increase in Authorised Share Capital”); and
proposed amendments to the Memorandum and Articles of Association of Bright as a consequence of the Proposed Increase in Authorised Share Capital (“Proposed Amendments”).
(Collectively referred to as the “Proposals”)
Please refer to the attachment for further details of the announcement.
many traders are trying to digest the recent announcement. I believe BULL will come in and take charge and close today at 76 sen after noting that there will have no impact on the earnings in the immediate term.
Operators are smart as they kill all the contras same day they push it up since thursday.now it may seem to be good buy but if it drops below 0.70 and put heavy volume at selling que..it will be stuck there for sometime..
The massive liquidity that was created last 2 days at high price 0.80 abv cannot just evaporate like tat if its a sound investor buying.my view is tat operators = major shareholders are dumping also buying back at lower price..
HC Lee i have the same view as you 6mths holding will give u maybe -10% return.But mkt out there has better potentials with higher returns and shorter term.maybe tats why selling suddenly came abt.
Bright-WA is holding well. This means the play is still on. The drop in the mother is to shake off weak holders. I think the mother will recover back to 0.78 sen soon. Good time to enter.
kris what u say maybe true only IF daily price up by +10 cents which signals all bearish movements are taken out.resistance currently stands at 0.825 minus 0.10cents = closing for today which is 0.725
If my predictions are right 2 days ahead following today will see greater selling pressure and force price back to below 0.69 levels.quarter profits of just merely less than 1mil will just be why price drop back.
Reason i sold was bcos thursday macd daily signal was negative evn though price up.also rsi already reach 80% abv levels which signal volume and price trend already at a peak.
Was tempted to buyback last friday but decided to wait a while and was lucky to see yoday trends was even worst with operator suppressing the price..if today is just t1 u will see greater price down ahead..
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
manutdchampion
425 posts
Posted by manutdchampion > 2014-04-18 14:17 | Report Abuse
what the TP for Bright?can reach rm1++?