1. What is growth How do you define 'growth'? That's 1st question. If a company grow revenue at 10%, that's growth, if 9.9%, not growth? or 6.7%? or 4.6%? Where's the cut off point? This lead to 2nd myth.
2. Growth stocks, good buy; no-growth stocks, don't buy. You should tell investors that holds Nestle, Dlady, or even PBB to sell their stocks because these stocks are no-growth. Look at PBB, at most 5% a year slow growth. If you think PBB can grow more than 10% a year, then you need come out of dream world. But why all these 3 are selling at such a high valuation (PE & P/B)? Isn't someone upstairs mention no growth stocks should sell below PE 10? Obviously, blind man explaining how elephant looks like.
3. PE 10 investors These are the ones that love to x10 to whatever EPS they love to estimate. But the strange thing is, if x10 works well, obviously he will make a lot money, and if everyone believe this works, there will be no stocks selling below PE 10. Conclusion, PE 10 is an illusion that those believe in it likes to trick themselves into thinking that's the 'right' price. If you ask them what's PE 10, they will say worth 10x. Why worth 10x? Not 9x, or 13x, then they will go back to myth no1. Blind man explaining elephant.
Haha......pls dun get mad. Many ppl not like you can understand the 3 financial reports and doing own valuation and making own "solid" decision basing on facts and data. Give your 2 cts if you can to help will be much appreciated. Final decision is theirs sell, hold or buy more.
Once said, if a good company with over price value, it is still a good company, but bad investment So u want to be proud of being a part of a good company with high cost bought shares, or u want to become a wise investor? Just a sharing, depends how u apply them in reality
not myth of growth.... i just invest from business perspective.... no matter how good is the company balance sheet... what net cash flow blah blah blah... it's useless unless the business is growing....just my view.
it is a myth because you don't have a clear understanding of valuation. And I already raise many example from Public bank to Dutch lady.
Invest from business perspective yet ignore net cash flow, if business is not build to deliver cash flow, which is the hallmark of valuation, then what is the purpose of a business?
Company A Year 1: Revenue $100, Profit $10 (10% margin). Reinvest 100% (or $10) Year 2: Revenue $110 (10% growth), Profit $11 (10% growth).
Company B Year 1: Revenue $100, Profit $10 (10%). Reinvest 0% (or nil) Year 2: Revenue $100 (0% growth), Profit $10 (0% growth)
So in example above, im sure you will love company A over B, and A worth more than B, but can that be true?
If you are an owner of A, year 1 net cash flow is $0, because you reinvest everything to buy machines, yes you get a 10% growth in year 2, but your return is still the same for both years. 10%!
If you are an owner of B, there is no growth for year 2, but year 1 you have cash flow of $10, you CHOOSE not to reinvest the capital and declare dividend, all $10 back to shareholders.
So when someone say growth is better, they forget that growth doesn't come from thin air. You need capital to grow. Where do you get capital? From profit of course. So if profit, or return is the same for A and B, which is 10%, why should A worth more than B?
A is only worth more than B WHEN the capital reinvested can generate a higher return, in this case above 10%.
If A decide to reinvest and earn 5% return instead of 10% like in year 1, is growth good?
People seems to forget focus lumber did not have any borrowings at all. This company will continue to earn money without any finance cost. Good cash flow, zero debts, cash rich. Now blame this company has no growth? If one can take the risks of buying heavy debt but prospect growth companies, why can't consider buying zero debts, no growth but steady profit companies?
Ricky Yeo it is a myth because you don't have a clear understanding of valuation. And I already raise many example from Public bank to Dutch lady.
Invest from business perspective yet ignore net cash flow, if business is not build to deliver cash flow, which is the hallmark of valuation, then what is the purpose of a business?
Ricky, may i know if you have an article about this? i am understand 50% on the ROE+reinvested(your comment above)... appreciated that.
FOCUS LUMBER BERHAD Particulars of Substantial Securities Holder
Name MR KOON YEW YIN Nationality/Country of incorporation Malaysia Descriptions (Class & nominal value) Ordinary Shares of RM0.50 each Date of cessation 24 Aug 2016
No of securities disposed 2,163,200 Price Transacted ($$) Circumstances by reason of which Securities Holder has interest Disposal of shares Nature of interest Direct
Date of notice 25 Aug 2016
Remarks : The Company received the Form 29C dated 25 August 2016 from Koon Yew Yin on 25 August 2016.
Announcement Info Company Name FOCUS LUMBER BERHAD Stock Name FLBHD Date Announced 25 Aug 2016 Category Notice of Person Ceasing Substantial Shareholders Pursuant to Form 29C Reference Number CS3-25082016-00001
I think next 2 quarters will be worse..sell and go , and I will buy more at RM1-RM1.20 to pull down my average price..need somebody's to make a panic sell during next 2 quarters
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Vanness
34 posts
Posted by Vanness > 2016-08-24 17:52 | Report Abuse
Sorry lo...