tksw sifu u remember xuwen sifu (last time chating in gadang forum) Few months ago I ask him, what to buy in 2017, he said go for ekovest. I did not follow his tips, very regret now!!!! hari hari tenggok ekovest Upupup...... I wanna Cry..cry.cry.... HuHuHu... :(
Valuing a business, from Buffett's letter to shareholders 1996. "Your goal as an investor should simply be to purchase at a rational price, a part interest in an easily-understandable business, whose Earnings are virtually certain to be materially higher in 5, 10 n 20 years from now." Thanks!
One of the stock picks of kcchongnz for 2017 i3investor contest. Ref price 1.60 Still a laggard compared to the other 4. From the past records, earnings up with the rate in USD. Forex gains. So, I expect coming results should be good.... fingers crossed :)
Haha! Maybe someone got inside news and bought jump start! Maybe also some others don't like the share go up and threw down 170... 169... haha! Just a wild guess ! :) Good fundamental company.... No worries! :)
Maybe people excited the egg going to hatch. So many buy. Than realise false alarm, maybe hatch next week and sell first. Now have to wait till actually hatch.
It's better to close the gap at 168. Now you buy 174 highest.... next week may be others will buy from you much much higher!! LOL!! Keep fingers crossed!!
Focus Lumber made a lot of money in FY2015 (January- December 2015), the plywood prices were at the bottom as shown in the charts. As ringgit depreciated over the year, the company made more money especially on the forex. In Calender year 2016, plywood prices went up till Aug 2016 but FL made less money because Ringgit strengthened against USD from beginning of the year, from around 4.4 to about 3.90-4.10 during the 1st half of 2016.. so less profits for the 1st and 2nd Q actually loss on forex in the 1st Q.... 3d Q, exchange rate at around 4.10 but 1 shipment of goods reach the US port late....LOL! The 4th Q revenue will include that late shipment and not to forget the USD shot up to 4.4-4.5 in Nov and Dec from 4.20 in Oct....
What the results of the 4Q be? Your guess should be as good as mine...:)
Looks positive! All eyes seem to be focusing on this stock!!! Wa....1,675,100 units done! Quarterly report soon arhh? Good news arhh?....any special dividend or bonus?
I don't think there will be a dividend, FLBHD normally announce dividend at the end of the year. They just did one in Dec '16.
FLBHD started trending downwards after the First Quarter '16 results was announced, where it gapped down on the next trading day. The result was not as good as previous quarterly results. In fact, it was one of the worst quarterly performance in 3 years. Last quarter (3rd Quarter '16), was even worst, given the delay in shipment. The stock gapped down again, this was the bottom and has been trending upwards since. One sifu teach me, never fight the trend, trend is your friend.
I expect this quarter results to be good. Given the previous missed shipment will be reported in this quarter. Additionally, the rise in price of plywood and favorable exchange rate. In the last 5 years, Sept, Oct, Nov & Dec 2016 had one of the highest plywood prices in terms of RM. Only drawback is hardwood, the raw material prices, has also been on the higher side. Can refer to chart and observation shared by Skliew on 17th Feb. With this I expect the net profit margins will still be in the high single digit % and will not be as good as in 2015.
Moving forward, they are buying new machinery that is able to cut plywood in different sizes, this will enable them to increase their sales into the US and capture new market.
FLBHD has an history of sharing it's profit with share-holders and consistently giving good dividends. With the prospect of increasing sales with new machinery, favorable exchange rates, improvement in it's main market with Trumponics; I see this as a mid to long term growth stock. One of those stocks where you can buy, forget about it and sleep peacefully at night. After some time, it would have given you good returns in terms of rise in share price and dividends. Point to note, dividend yields has been higher than bank FD rates.
The biggest risk I see is Trump putting high import duties for imported items in order to boost local US production. I do not see it happening very soon as it will take time for proper implementation and to ensure sufficient supply without disrupting the local US industries.
Before buying or selling please do your own research. I own FLBHD and would like to see the share price go up higher. :)
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
WaAdaLui
1,225 posts
Posted by WaAdaLui > 2017-02-17 10:47 | Report Abuse
Hello....... tksw sifu & keke sifu....