haha... our friend tksw is very funny.. i believe he is just "pretend pig eat tiger"... must be a great great fundamental sifu behind the scene... kekeke
US$ play and Trump play. With forecast increase in US infrastructure spending demand for plywood will increse. FLB sales mainly to the US. Keeping my fingers crossed this will give some growth and increase in share price in the future.
Aesop's quote. "A bird in the hand is worth two in the Bush". The first question is are there birds in the bush? The second question is how many birds are there in the bush? The third question is what is the actual rate of the risk free bond? These three questions will determine the valuation processes. But there is no precise intrinsic value, although it is all important, it is totally wrong to make a precise valuation. Good days!!!
I still dunno where are the birds come from. I just see plywood nia, I oso no see james bond. but even if there is a james bond, he always take risks, where got risk free?
Ha...ha...ha...!!! Just finish dinner n looking into this website. Well guys i am sure you all are very smart, don't literally think birds, that was written by Aesop 600 B.C, from Buffett's letter to shareholders. Think of what? $$$ of course!!! Valuing a company already tough nut to crack, if she has many subsidiaries, big company. 'Probability' has some business common sense. At the end of the days, it comes down to EPS, Cash Flow n Free Cash Flow stability n growth. Without all these whatever value will diminish, if they are negative earnings n cash flows. So fellow investing buddies, think of CASH!!!
Dun worry, big profit qr will release soon. Strong usdmyr as at 31dec16 plus shipping delay all enter in this quarter, buy before too late! I predict the qr result will release on monday based on historical trend. Goodluck guys.
We are all still learning n learning. Keep on reading more investing books n e-books. Nowadays no need to go Uni's or College to obtain a degree or certificate to certify u are competent. Self learning is good enough to qualify for a job, maybe not now in this parts of the continent, but it already happening in Europe n America. The world is accelerating so fast, changes so fast, everyone could not cope already. So many jobs will be obsolete very soon blue n white collars. In future the office or factory will have only one employee n a dog. The employee will feed the dog n the dog will guard the autonomous machine n algorithm computer. So there are so many probabilities. It is the same like valuing a company. I don't target the price, if the company has earnings stability n growth, plus strong cash flow n free cash flow, plus little to zero debt I will invest. Strong free cash flow will allow the company to pay good dividend because of little Capex. Investing take at least 3 to 5 years to realise real capital gains. No matter how smart you are, u cannot produce a baby in 9 months, by impregnated 9 women. So be patience n keep on learning, be humble n be respectful to others, even you hate them. Always think twice, because most of us are smart enough. Good luck!
The real happening was in year 2007, when the late Steve Jobs took out an iPhone from his jean pocket. All in one, super telephone, super media n super memory. Then it starts to accelerate at super speed. In future our career is not how smart you are, it is how emotional intelligence u are or EQ!!! Read the book 'How to win friends n influence people'. Social skills is crucial for future success. Thanks!!!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
probability
14,496 posts
Posted by probability > 2017-02-08 18:24 | Report Abuse
better we play play with the snake we know veli well ma...cobra at our palm oil estate is easier to handle than a black Mamba in Africa