Good deal at last, what important is the company can starts producing oil and income is definite immediately unlike Cliq or Hibiscus which still in talks and exploration.
Hooray !! Excitement in the penny stocks again. But wait….
How do we value sona from this announcement? Let’s do the maths.
Based on Santos latest report, annual production probably around 1200k bbl. After deduction on production cost, depreciation & depletion, and admin of around USD32 bbl, we have a gross of USD18 bbl if oil stays at USD50 bbl.
On pre-tax basis, 1200k x 18 x 4 ( USD/MYR ) =RM86.4m per year. At a PE of 12 = RM1036m or 73 sen/share, excluding cash reserves IF the deal goes through.
And if, the proposed infill drilling is successful, there will have additional upside.
Therefore, we have a base case of 1P of 70sen/share to a 2P $1.20/share and 3P $1.80/share? But bear in mind the following ..
Cool. Look like a good news and investor should excited about it if it will start generate regular and consistent income. Exciting to see what going to happen in next few weeks.
Hi Officejanitor, based on your calculation, its target price of RM1.80. That means it has more room for uptrend. Just wait and see whether your prediction will come true.
SONA PETROLEUM BERHAD ("SONA PETROLEUM" OR "COMPANY")
PROPOSED ACQUISITION OF 100% INTEREST IN THE STAG OILFIELD FOR A TOTAL CASH CONSIDERATION OF US$50.0 MILLION ("PROPOSED ACQUISITION")
We refer to the announcement dated 2 November 2015 in relation to the Proposed Acquisition.
On behalf of Sona Petroleum, CIMB Investment Bank Berhad wishes to announce that the Company has today submitted an application to the Australian Foreign Investment Review Board (“FIRB”) in relation to the Proposed Acquisition.
As set out in the announcement earlier today, certain investments into Australia by foreign investors (including Australian entities with direct or indirect foreign ownership) require prior notification to FIRB and a statement of no objection to the investment from the Australian Treasurer. Completion of the Proposed Acquisition is conditional on, amongst others, receipt of a notice of no objection from FIRB.
officejanitor Hooray !! Excitement in the penny stocks again. But wait….
How do we value sona from this announcement? Let’s do the maths.
Based on Santos latest report, annual production probably around 1200k bbl. After deduction on production cost, depreciation & depletion, and admin of around USD32 bbl, we have a gross of USD18 bbl if oil stays at USD50 bbl.
On pre-tax basis, 1200k x 18 x 4 ( USD/MYR ) =RM86.4m per year. At a PE of 12 = RM1036m or 73 sen/share, excluding cash reserves IF the deal goes through.
And if, the proposed infill drilling is successful, there will have additional upside.
Therefore, we have a base case of 1P of 70sen/share to a 2P $1.20/share and 3P $1.80/share? But bear in mind the following ..
gurus here pls confirm why reuters report santos stake in stag only $13mil? so quadrant stake $10mil? total value should be $23mil right? then why sona to pay $50mil?
Nov 2 Malaysia's Sona Petroleum Bhd has agreed to buy the Stag oil field off northwestern Australia from Santos Ltd and private firm Quadrant Energy for $50 million, Santos said on Monday.
Santos, scrambling to pay down A$8.8 billion ($6.3 billion)in net debt, had been looking to sell its two-thirds stake in the ageing field before it effectively put all its assets up for sale in August.
"Stag had delivered a strong production performance over the life of the field but it was now mature and no longer core to the company's strategy," said Joe Ariyaratnman, Santos' general manager for Western Australia and Northern Territory.
Wood Mackenzie had valued Santos' stake at $13 million.
Sona has agreed to take over environmental liabilities which kick in at the end of the field's life. ($1 = 1.4021 Australian dollars) (Reporting by Sonali Paul; Editing by Ed Davies)
Assuming l have purchased sona warrants at 0.30 sen and the exercise price is 0.35 sen, what will be the amount l have to pay to convert? Could someone help.
if your purchased price is is 0.30cts, conversion price is 35cts, that means u have to pay 35cts to convert to mother share
your total cost is 65cts
now the warrant at market price is 11 cts plus conversion price 35cts = total cost is 46cts
Posted by matilda > Nov 3, 2015 10:30 AM | Report Abuse
Assuming l have purchased sona warrants at 0.30 sen and the exercise price is 0.35 sen, what will be the amount l have to pay to convert? Could someone help.
another worrying news. i read that the field is ageing or at end of life. this article said production per day very low. and this offshore field so production cost very high. is it worth it to vote? or vote no then we get better return? is this why no one buying today?
Production has resumed at the Apache-operated Stag and Legendre oil fields off the coast of Western Australia. The fields were shut in Dec. 16 because of high seas brought on by a tropical low weather system.
The Legendre field has gross production of about 2,500 barrels of oil per day (1,950 barrels per day net). The Stag oil field has gross production of about 4,500 barrels of oil per day, or 1,400 barrels per day net.
menly, please analyze closely. firstly stag oilfield 1P (which is p90) is est to have access 13million barrels, and this is PROVEN OIL DEPOSITS. With the proposed infill well drillings, SONA will also gain access to another estimated 16 million barrels (2P/P50). Simple math, Output 4,500 barrels a day x 30 days x 12 months/ 13million = 8 years.
So only from starting straight after acquisition you already have these "assets" of proven oil deposits. Infill drilling after for the 2P section is a bonus. Add ontop 300million left over from IPO, add ontop again current bottom-ing out of oil prices (Iran supply production may push it down a little futher, malaysia's gov budget forecast 50$ still considered conservative and safe-ish) .
If your worried you can sell to me and buy into HIBISCUS instead haha
"Sona sees continuing value in the asset with potential for new development and exploration opportunities. It is the Malaysian company’s first move into Australia and the company says that in this single transaction it will be able to enter the production, development, and exploration phases of the upstream industry."
honestly a very sensible qualifying acquisition, its not only about the oil, infrastructure, exposure and also exploration for future prospects are also important. People who wanted great gains went to hibiscus and lost their pants. Slow and steady, building foundation is important.
With this purchase, SONA may still hold a lot of cash to look for other QA if any. Indeed, this is a very good move for this wise acquisition. Just wait, if every steps go smoothly. Believe this counter will attract a lot of fund Mgr's investment. It will definitely show a quantum leap price in near future.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
nice1
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Posted by nice1 > 2015-11-02 13:36 | Report Abuse
Vendor Santos need cash, this deal will go through