ktsk88: Thank you for your feedback. Appreciate it. The thing is I'm still at loss with SONA @ 50 cts perlots. Been holding it for more than year. I attended the AFM last year too, and I saw many sad faces during the meeting. Crude oil are expected to be $22 perbarrel at the lowest. Will the oil productions in cheaper costing areas will help in boosting the price of this stock to go out? Eventhough with countless of buying from foreign INV company at the moment, what does it indicating? Sona deemed to still making profit?
Goldman Sachs Sees Oil Bull Market Being Born in Today's Crash
Oil will turn into a new bull market before the year is out as the price rout shuts down sufficient production to erode the global glut, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
The crash in U.S. oil futures -- which sank back below $30 a barrel on Friday to a new 12-year low -- will send the nation’s shale-oil boom spinning into reverse in the second half of the year, the bank said in a report. As U.S. production slumps by 575,000 barrels a day, global oil markets will tip from surplus to deficit, Goldman predicts.
“The key theme for 2016 will be real fundamental adjustments that can re-balance markets to create the birth of a new bull market, which we still see happening in late 2016,” analysts Jeff Currie and Damien Courvalin wrote
The market will signal it’s ready to rally when the forward price curve, which currently shows a steep discount on immediate commodity supplies, starts to flatten out, the analysts said. The end of that discount would demonstrate that there’s enough demand to whittle down oil that’s piled up in storage tanks, they said.
“A flat curve near cash costs is historically the buy signal for passive investors and we believe the current bear market will end the same way,” Currie and Courvalin said. “Such a signal is what will shift us to being bullish commodities.”
Goldman, which has warned that the oil market might not re-balance unless prices fall to $20 a barrel, forcing production cuts among shale operators, said this remains a possibility. Still, the $20 scenario remains an outlier rather than their most-likely case, and would only be realized if oil storage space runs out. As that’s unlikely, the bank said it’s sticking with its forecast of $40 a barrel for the first half.
I think this one will make good money when oil price recover to usd40, yes usd 40 if cost of production is usd26, gross profit is usd14 pb
assuming daily production remain 4800 for 300 days per year (assuming 300 production day a year, maybe shorter?), then convert to RM4.30 then minus operations cost, around rm10m per year (last year around rm5M). the net profit is massive and IRR is more than 15% as there is no loan
acquisition and due diligence cost is one-off expenses
I thought there is good profit when oil price recover to usd40
that is PBT bfore Ausies taxes. LOL assuming tax is 50%, then return around 8 - 10%?
sona is definately going to make a profit when the QA is approved. From zero revenue and profit suddenly to a full oil and gas company with producing rev n profit.
FRom a empty shell company to a full online company. The share price will surely go up from 0.44 How much up we will not know. but I believe at least 10%
Surely 10% is enough to make your simple profits?
Furthermore the share price has been steading around 44-44.5 cents for god know how long. This is the bottom price dy. there is no other way except up. So why are you guys still dilly delaying about buying it or not?
if you cant take the risk then do not invest at all. simple conclusion
btw i own some mother shares and warrants so invest at you own risk
Warrants can only be converted to share upon completion of QA (qualifying acquisition). So if QA can't be completed within the stipulated 3 years period from listing date (30/7/13) on or before 30/7/16, warrants is as good as toilet papers by then
im quite sure you can convert the warrants anytime you want into the mother share, except that it takes 10 trading days to do so. so it cant be the reason
Pacific Alliance Investment Management Limited is a privately owned investment manager. The firm also provides advisory services to its clients. It manages investment funds for its clients. The firm invests in the public equity and fixed income markets of Asia. It also invests in alternative markets. The firm’s fixed income investments comprise of asset backed lending, distressed debt, and convertible bonds. It employs value strategy to make its investments. Pacific Alliance Investment Management Limited was founded in December 2002 and is based in Hong Kong with additional offices in Shanghai, China; Beijing, China; Hangzhou, China; Tianjin, China; and Hong Kong.
Sona already said to use the remaining 55% as expenses n extra stuff. This already means spending the whole money. Now I dunno about sc but I do know there's a new substantial shareholder in Sona. Pacific. U think these ppl are stupid to buy in Sona without some solid reason? Plus the money they spend are in millions compare to our pittance cash. If 2 funds actively keeps accumulating Sona shares since last year I think that's a good enuf reason to buy. They have more to lose than all of us. Worry too much u will miss the boat.
Hopefully can shoot up to rm1 like hibiscus! Then warrant holders will laugh all the way to the bank. But i honestly think will take time to go up to rm1. At least a year n the oil price recovers to about usd50 me thinks
Oil climbs further on short-covering, Brent at over $32
By Reuters / Reuters | January 25, 2016 : 9:05 AM MYT
SEOUL (Jan 25): Crude oil futures extended gains in early Asian trade on Monday on short-covering demand, with both Brent and U.S. crude near $32.50 a barrel.
Oil prices surged 10 percent on Friday, one of the biggest daily rallies ever, as bearish traders who had taken out record short positions scrambled to close them, betting the market's long rout may finally be over.
Brent had climbed 33 cents a barrel to $32.51 as of 0037 GMT after touching $32.69 a barrel earlier the session. It settled at $32.18 a barrel in the previous session.
U.S. crude rose 15 cents at $32.34 a barrel, compared with its session-high of $32.64 and previous settlement at $32.19.
"A change in investor sentiment was the key factor, with speculative short positions in WTI falling from historically high levels the previous week," ANZ said in a note on Monday.
"Low crude oil prices continue to negatively impact high cost U.S. oil producers. Indeed, recent Baker Hughes data suggested U.S. oil explorers idled more oil rigs this week."
A massive snowstorm on the U.S. East Coast helped stoke demand for oil for heating, helping push up crude prices. While New York and Philadelphia were getting back to business, Washington was not ready after an historic storm dumped more than 20 inches (51 cm) of snow on the city and nearly three feet (1 meter) in surrounding areas.
Asian stocks gained early on Monday, relieved after seeing Wall Street rally on the back of a sharp rise in crude oil prices. The dollar was steady at 118.75 yen after surging 0.9 percent on Friday, when it touched a two-week high of 118.88.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ruslimz
1,609 posts
Posted by ruslimz > 2016-01-12 22:08 | Report Abuse
now better avoid any thing doing with oil