Many ppl r just very impatient and wanting to make money fast without properly understanding Karex's biz model. They must first of all, need to understand tht growth in anything must take time. Therefore for Karex's value to increase, time is needed obviously. And to make money from investment in Karex, patience is needed.
Had one been patient and consistently been investing in Karex since its IPO until now, its returns on investment is almost 400%. Ask yrselves wat cud possibly beat it.
Thts why I hv emphasized earlier tht only thru Karex's bonus issuances since it went public since Nov 2013 can give us such compounding effects to grow our investment by such a staggering magnitude within a timeline of 3 yrs.
Just invest in Karex WITH CONFIDENCE and u w not regret it. U w definitely see d stark difference if u adopt value investing in Karex from today. Happy investing.
I'm giving my sharing of investing experience especially to those young investors as they hv a longer road to travel in life. Im not so lucky in my earlier days to hv someone to give me such sharing of experience.
Welcome, Tan & Appleby. I often see ppl writing stuffs here implying they can out-smart or beat d mkt. Let me remind them this: unless u r someone who can influence d mkt in a big way, u r considered a small fish. The best way for small fishes, including myself to invest our hard earned money is to adopt value investing. Value investing requires us to take a medium-to-long term view of a well-researched and quality stock. And, I'm pretty sure everyone knows tht Karex is indeed a quality stock. To those who think they can make money by getting in and out of d mkt frequently, they w eventually find out they r d real losers in d long run.
Always keep in mind: 1) Karex not only manufacture their own brand, but manufacture for their customer as well as competitor, the largest market player DUREX 2) Karex's production has increased 10billion, target to increase another 10 billion by end of 2016 3) Karex's recent acquisition of UK condom manufacturer Theyfit as part of business expansion 4) starting from Dec15, you can see Karex's condom on shelves at 7 eleven and AEON wellness 5) Bloomberg estimation on Karex revenue in 2016 & 2017 are 395.9M and 498.6M respectively (2015: 297.4M) 6) consistency in rewarding shareholders: 2014 stock dividend 50% & cash dividend 0.016667; 2015 stock dividend 50% & cash dividend 0.025 & recent stock dividend 50% 7) Karex - still the world largest condom manufacturer
Above mentioned are my researches on the stock, feel free to pm me for the references.
@FAkaki, I absolutely concur w u regarding this fantastic and consistent stock. I wish to correct yr statement in (2) earlier. The increase shud be just 1 billion for d respective years.
karex says its production increase from 4bl to 5b in the annual report 2015 (nov 2015 released). and expected 7b by end of 2017. global condom market 2015 is about 27b. (so karex market share is about 37%)
rough calculation 1 condom cost about 2-3sen (MYR). OEM about 3cent (UDS). so roughtly about 11.4 sen (if 1USD:3.80MYR)
hatyai plant is about 2.2b production pontian plant is about 2b production port klang plant is about 0.8b production so total about 5b
net profit margin is about 24.58% (2015) so 0.4190 x 24.58 = RM0.1030
2.62/0.1030 = 25.44 PER
i think wait and see. it is not cheap.
btw i didnt calculate the OBM. which is about RM3-4 per condom. the margin is like 99% no info about OBM and OEM ratio in the production line. (maybe i have not found yet)
If Malaysia wan becum high income nation, it must legalise prostitution business like Thailand. Government can collect more taxes from this businesses.
I bought some at 4.40, 4.20, 4.10, 3.70, 3.55 and 3.17....it doesn`t matter what price you buy, what matter is are you confident with this counter to hold long term or not....if u r not....better sell
if u plan to hold for 4 to 5 years, i suppose Tan Kah Fai doesnt need to sell. "IF" but, like my friends say, when economy is bad, ppl tend to stay at home, weather is hot, trigger point, but they cant have children. Same goes to Padini and Voir, their price cheaper, last time ppl buy charles & keith, uniqlo and H&M now they go Brands outlet, Padini outlets, Voir outlets too.
This is not the counter for short term investors. Bare in mind u will burn your pocket. Now ringgit is strengthening. If u have heart attack or high blood pressure better leave now...or else.........
Just bought in some Karex after cutting loss on other counter. Their profit margin was nice, low debt. I considered it as a company with moat. I will top up if the price go lower.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Smart Investor
429 posts
Posted by Smart Investor > 2016-04-16 13:15 | Report Abuse
Good direction..more ppl can invest now!