no disrespect to muslim. i just wonder is condom haram? i hear someone says muslim cant use condom. but my muslim friend says most of them dont care. get pregnant is allah decision, use condom is his decision. if allah want his wife pregnant ever he wear double condom his wife also can pregnant. i mean follow islamic rule can use or not
1 oem condom can earn about rm0.075 1 obm condom can earn about rm2 karex production is 5 billion and 7% is obm. so 4.65billion oem and 350million obm production so it about rm1 billion sale and if profit margin is about 24% then it is about rm258 million or rm0.2571
average pe of rubber industrial about 20.47 (i believe it is overvalued pe as last year latex price is dropping and goreng rubber industrial and export counter, but this year latex price is rebounce, ringgit is rebounce) forward pe 20 = rm5.142 margin of safety 50% = rm2.571
extra info latex price increase from RM3.28 (4/1/16) to RM4.90 (22/4/16). about 49.39% increased.
latex price increase from RM3.28 (4/1/16) to RM4.90 (22/4/16). about 49.39% increased.
and if extra competition comes because the industry had a few good years, the profits will be halved and the PE will be halved and the price will drop to $1.
dont worry guys , demand of condom is increasing in the world , easpecial in china, last year it cost 10billion , this year will increased up to 11billion , biggest brand in china is NOX 100% import from karex
world population is 7.2b <20 age 35% 20-64 age 58% >65 age 7% there is 49.75% male and 50.25% female mainly 20-64 age male using condom. some <20 and >65 use condom too, so make it 60% 7.2b x 60% x 49.75% = 2,149,200,000 if 50% male cant get papapa partner or prefer condom free papapa= 1,074,600,000
there is 13 times a year female can get pregnant in a year, each time about 3-5 days. so 13 x 5 = 65 times papapa need birth control **purely guess condom use, no research or any data given, if you got any related info/data please let me know, so we can be more accurate on condom use**
1,074,600,000 x 65 = 69,849,000,000
27b current market vs 70b potential market the condom market still have potential to double up.
@littlelolita according to kinsey institute, 18-29 year old have $ex an average of 112 times a year, 30-39 year old have $ex an average of 86 times a year, 40-49 yeas old have $ex an average of 69 times a year.
btw condom not only for birth control, it also prevent hiv. so number of $ex is more relevant.
Honestly, I don't even care about the price. Karex need to do expansion, spend more on CAPEX, improve business. We will talk about share price later. Their business is fantastic and they need to keep that up. If got right issue, for sure will subscribe. I urge the management to spend more, expand faster.
When we are young we bought this stock and when we are old we still holding this stock. Soon or later Karex will become old man stock or blue chip stock.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Appleby Loh
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Posted by Appleby Loh > 2016-04-21 23:24 | Report Abuse
Use 胡力杨method after bonus issue 3 days stock performance.