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1 person likes this.

2,171 comment(s). Last comment by Pheobi Yap 2016-03-21 16:10

traderman

7,854 posts

Posted by traderman > 2016-01-04 14:47 | Report Abuse

buy, klci to crash till 1600

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 14:48 | Report Abuse

Strong Megasale globally, haha!

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 14:50 | Report Abuse

Wow, Chinese stock crashed 7%, their trading stopped by regulation! Crazy megasale

Supergeng

388 posts

Posted by Supergeng > 2016-01-04 14:55 | Report Abuse

RED RED RED ~!!!

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 14:58 | Report Abuse

30 points dropped, but 5-10 cents only, CIMB #$%

tanbb

1,334 posts

Posted by tanbb > 2016-01-04 15:01 | Report Abuse

klci will back to 1400

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 15:04 | Report Abuse

Dow futures down 200 points, we can expect KLCI another 20 points drop tomorrow.

Supergeng

388 posts

Posted by Supergeng > 2016-01-04 15:08 | Report Abuse

tomorrow drop another 30 points, H5 hoseh liao...at least 0.075 !

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 15:11 | Report Abuse

My last year target was 0.12 for 2016, let's see if can reach 0.1 at least.

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 15:13 | Report Abuse

All put counter goreng huat

Supergeng

388 posts

Posted by Supergeng > 2016-01-04 15:16 | Report Abuse

yeahh...all H supporter huat til laugh and laugh and laugh... I wish cimb at least can move this counter to 0.1, don't make us disappointed pleaessseeee

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 15:16 | Report Abuse

popcorn, did you buy?

gohcm

81 posts

Posted by gohcm > 2016-01-04 15:19 | Report Abuse

maybe can visit previous low at 1500 again with this momentum.

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 15:20 | Report Abuse

if CIMB can push above 0.1, then I will put FD 150k in their account, haha.

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 15:22 | Report Abuse

Saudi's Oil cost is $9/bbl. At this price, is still high for them to gain market share. Price will slump after Iran join, this will push stocks to level we cannot imagine. Let's see how US will defend this agenda.

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 15:23 | Report Abuse

Dow futures slump above 200 points, joining global bear

Supergeng

388 posts

Posted by Supergeng > 2016-01-04 15:25 | Report Abuse

wahhhhh..........cashflow, seem like u hold a lot of H5 !!!!

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 15:29 | Report Abuse

No la, I have segregated my stakes in other counters too.

Supergeng

388 posts

Posted by Supergeng > 2016-01-04 15:31 | Report Abuse

cashflow, if u got buy HX, u must HUAT ga si !!

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 15:32 | Report Abuse

Supergeng, no I did not buy HX based on risk measure, but yes I saw it went pretty good.

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 15:36 | Report Abuse

All, first wave just over after Asian Big Boys withdraw equities in Malaysia. Europe and US yet to bomb another wave, so prepare this week for bearish mode.

goody99

1,814 posts

Posted by goody99 > 2016-01-04 15:38 | Report Abuse

I posted this before, and I would like to post it again.

There are technical reasons why your put warrants that you buy is not moving.

please go to this web site and study first:
https://www.malaysiawarrants.com.my/tools?sp=dwsearch

you need to choose the right ones. For a start, choose the put warrant with very very low exercise ratio. The index plunged almost 30 points today. It should be a good day for put warrants. Those that are moving are those with low exercise ratio

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 15:40 | Report Abuse

goody99, not really man. The bank still play however they like. Based on experience, small volume, less than 10 points, such high ratio put can jump 25 cents. Its con business and one has to swim in it.

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 15:49 | Report Abuse

Oil retreated, Dow futures down 220 points :)

goody99

1,814 posts

Posted by goody99 > 2016-01-04 15:52 | Report Abuse

Like I said, there are technical reasons how the warrants behave.

Intrinsic value of a warrant = (Current Index - Exercise Price) / Exercise Ratio

That means the lower the exercise ratio, the higher the value.

I noticed FBMKLCI-H5 and FBMKLCI-HZ were almost the same price this morning. Look what happens? Check how much exercise ratio of H5 and HZ.

It's not con business, its mathematics.

Supergeng

388 posts

Posted by Supergeng > 2016-01-04 15:59 | Report Abuse

Tomorrow will be big hit again ! I wanna scream out for my exciting !!!

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 15:59 | Report Abuse

goody, one can make easy money with mathematics calc only, but there are factors which retailers cannot control. The same mathematics does not explain some of the vigorous movement in past. By default, these warrants has its own formula but the banks can choose to interfere the movement with their funds too.

goody99

1,814 posts

Posted by goody99 > 2016-01-04 16:02 | Report Abuse

the other factor is demand and supply. If suddenly there is a big demand, it will increase the price of the warrant as well.

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 16:07 | Report Abuse

Yes. So depending on how demanding the buy value is, warrants can spike. People's perception kept changing during bear trend, and a put with short period of time offers risk and reward too.

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 16:08 | Report Abuse

Demand just came in!

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 16:15 | Report Abuse

Dow futures down 250 points! Looks like panic for US market tonight.

Supergeng

388 posts

Posted by Supergeng > 2016-01-04 16:16 | Report Abuse

DJ future drop nearly 300 points !!!

popcorn

1,625 posts

Posted by popcorn > 2016-01-04 16:17 | Report Abuse

keep buying.. dun stop..

goody99

1,814 posts

Posted by goody99 > 2016-01-04 16:17 | Report Abuse

I would suggest you just concentrate on the mathematics side, choose the right warrant and get rewarded. Good luck!

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 16:18 | Report Abuse

If China aggressive sell again tomorrow, KLCI can down another 2% - 30 points.

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 16:21 | Report Abuse

HK freaking awesome, almost 50% in 1 day, haha. Thumbs up to the BEAR team.

goody99

1,814 posts

Posted by goody99 > 2016-01-04 16:28 | Report Abuse

The Exercise Price for HK is 1735; H5 is 1500. Their exercise ratio is almost the same.

but H5 is too far away from the current index, that's why it does not move as much as HK. Again you can use the formula to verify this

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 16:32 | Report Abuse

Buy 1 free 1!

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 16:33 | Report Abuse

Dow futures slumped more than 300 points!!

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 16:36 | Report Abuse

goody99, yes and its a perception on how market could behave. If KLCI can down 30 points, it could also down 50 to 70 points in one of the trading day, getting closer to the exercise price. The closer, the juicy it gets.

goody99

1,814 posts

Posted by goody99 > 2016-01-04 16:42 | Report Abuse

exactly, that's why we should choose the one that is very close to the current index.

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 16:42 | Report Abuse

Tomorrow KLCI down another 30 to 40 points. Brace bears!

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 16:44 | Report Abuse

Europe also slump!

Supergeng

388 posts

Posted by Supergeng > 2016-01-04 17:01 | Report Abuse

HK move 10 bits but H5 just move 2 bits, a bit disappointed honestly..

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 17:04 | Report Abuse

H5 resistance higher and BB push on premium counters.

Supergeng

388 posts

Posted by Supergeng > 2016-01-04 17:10 | Report Abuse

cashflow, u can put 150k into cimb bank lo...HK shot up crazily !

goody99

1,814 posts

Posted by goody99 > 2016-01-04 17:27 | Report Abuse

Supergeng, they behave exactly as expected. Nothing unusual at all, to be honest.

FBMKLCI-H5 Exercise Price = 1,500.00, exercise ratio = 700
FBMKLCI-HK Exercise Price = 1,735.00, exercise ratio = 666

For HK, once the index drop below 1735, it has value;
For H5, once the index drop below 1500, it has value.

Last year the index ended at 1692.51, and it ended today at 1653.37

HK already has value at current index
H5 is so far away from current index, that's why it does not move as much

tanbb

1,334 posts

Posted by tanbb > 2016-01-04 20:42 | Report Abuse

no power..no vigra..

kenen

423 posts

Posted by kenen > 2016-01-04 21:14 | Report Abuse

When it can have power?

cashflow

3,642 posts

Posted by cashflow > 2016-01-04 22:19 | Report Abuse

Guys, take it easy, buy volume will keep increasing since the bear sentiment is strong.

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