although many other stock that is already way above NTA and still uptrending, but value investors strategy is not try to chase those stock, hunt for the discounted ones only
My opinion is different stock got different yardstick, for those fast growing one they are entitled higher PE than others.thats why PEG use in sector like electronic kind of stock.actually nta seldom use as a measure, no point if the boss keep the huge cash in bank and not distribute as dividend to shareholder, just like you can see but u can't touch.unless company liquisition, than it can be big influence.
for me currently at 0.61 the upside of this stock is just slightly above it's downside, due to it's NTA and not so clean debt condition, so I will still wait for price with better room of upside, if any how I missed it, sure will let it go, definitely not going to buy when it's is traded at PE10 above, many other better potential companies outside
@miscoh "no point if the boss keep the huge cash in bank and not distribute as dividend to shareholder"
at some point if the price is below NTA and the profit keep improving or at least maintain, eventually the price will start to move toward NTA, or even the boss can offer privatization, see MMCCORP.
that's why I am more emphasized in NTA than PE, NTA is the current worth of the company, but PE, espeicialy high PE is future expectation of this company but it's future value is already materialised in the current price, while the future is never guaranteed, in other words, there is limited room for growth, but huge room for discount
to be honest, I only start paying attention to this stock since it's latest QR release, realising that it's price is downtrending while there is improvement in the QR
I actually planned to move away from this stock already after it's price keep moving further up even after I took my day trade profit last friday, but now then I am back lurking for opportunity see if I can reenter
Since listing in 2016, PTRANS net profit has increased every year from 21.6m in 2016 to 53.7m in 2021 (analysts' estimate), which is 2.5 times higher than 2016. This is a compound growth in net profit of about 20% per annum. Company fundamentals has improved substantially since listing in 2016 - good future growth prospects (increase in the number of transport terminals under management and 2 are in the pipeline to be bulit) - profit margin improved from 24%(2016) 38%(2021) - Dividend payout from 19% (2016) to 38% (2021) - net asset per share from RM0.23 (2016) to RM0.76 (2021) - Debt to equity has decreased from 93% just before listing to 43%.
Share price was between RM0.46 (lowest) and RM0.80 in 2016 - 2017(corrected for the latest number of issued shares). If the same PE range is assumed for valuation, PTRANS should be trading at RM1.15 (0.46*2.5) to RM2.0(0.8*2.5).
Base on the above, the share should be worth at least RM 1.0 which will still gives a dividend yoeld of 3.2% p.a. (note: analysts' TP is RM1.15).
that is too much valuation into the future, who actually gonna buy when the price actually reached RM1? as the upside is very limited at the price, so it is unlikely that it will actually archieve that price at first
imo, the current profit is moderately good, so the fair intrinsic value should be at it's NTA, around RM0.76, anything below is discount. but at current price, there is still room for further discount, so it is 40 (downside) 60 (upside) to me
but of course, market is unpredictable, that much only we can be done at valuation part, just don't be too optimise, there are plenty of other choice out there, which is far more undervalued
I do not know why so many analysts or retailers start to use NTA as a valuation-base. I used to heard of PER being popularly used, perhaps ... P/B too. But NTA? Why every tom-dick now talking about the NTA of companies when we are trading/investing? Who started the NTA game?
Even for property counters, they talked about HIGH NTA value ... therefore, it is under-valued. Anything to justify that the stock is under-valued?
I do hope someone will come out and tell newbies that we do not use NTA to place whether a stock is under-valued or not. It is very misleading. Why those analysts want to mislead the trading public, I don't know.
But ... I want to let those newbies to know ... do not just follow those NTA valuation blindly. Try to understand what NTA is.
Earnings (EPS) is much more important and should be emphasized.
If invest in stock base on NTA or PE, you will never buy all the consistent growing company even their price drop 50 %.
See below of Price/NTA Coca-cola= 56/5.2 Face Book= 363/49 Microsoft= 304/19 Tesla= 706/25 Nestle= 133/3.2 Public Bank= 4.05/2.36 MyEG= 1.96/0.34 VITROX= 19.4/14.4 Inari= 3.52/0.41 Penta= 5.33/0.75 PANAMY= 32.3/13.3
I don't understand why some savvy person so emphasized to use NTA to value a company is under value or over value?
Book value should not be seen in isolation.
When we talk on NTA. It all depends upon what type of company we are talking about. Companies with a lot of fixed assets (say manufacturing companies) have a high book value. In contrast, labour-intensive companies may have a lower book value. One needs to differentiate while applying this methodology.
Many companies create revaluation reserves to inflate book value. Many also raise equity at a substantial premium.
At times, due to its cyclical nature, the whole industry may be going through tough times. Such companies, as a result, may trade at a discount to their book value.
Also, in industries such as information technology, where the requirement for capital is low, the book value tends to be low. This does not mean that they do not offer value.
Ideally, while deciding to invest in a company, the investor needs to ascertain if the companies exhibit solid fundamentals, strong earnings power, and the potential for continued growth. Not just emphasized on NTA or just use NTA to lookout for stocks.
of course, ability to generate profit is also important, but not without NTA as it's basic for price valuation
let's say 2 company has the same EPS (equal ability to generate profit and future prospect as well), but one is above NTA, the other is below NTA, of course we should choose the below NTA one when both are traded at the same price
nevetheless, people tend to overlook the company future prospect, applying those to the current trade price, making it has no room of improvement when the future really came by, let alone the future is never promised
imo, is better to only buy the *currently* performing and undervalued companies
people also tend to forgot that the major shareholder can anytime offer privatization when the company is traded below it's net value. mmccorp and amcorp are the recent examples
Don't think NAPS is relevant in market share price. Future growth rate, profit margins, return of shareholder equity, debt to equity, .... are important. If net asset is high but ROE is low, it is no good. Nestle's NTA is less than RM3.0 but its share price is RM133. The ROE is about 100%. i.e. for every dollar of share holders' money, the Company is making a dollar per annum.
nestle? lmao, DY 1.73%, worse than FD, at RM133, how much capital gain do you expect?
I really can't understand why people are still buying into nestle at RM133
nestle already performing at it's peak for years, what room of improvement you expect?
the price is too much into the future already, which is never promised. look at airasia, before the pandemic, people look good at it's future prospect, but what now? even at negative NTA people still buying into it's debt, looking for a comeback that is never promised.
regardless, it is good for us anyway some people are investing unreasonably... lmao..
Im a noob, for me NTA = if company decide to close down & liquidate all asset & settle all liability, that is the final value of each share.
IMHO those saying bad thing each day mean they are interested in this stock, but felt it is too high at the current moment. They want to buy as low as possible for short term trade. Or else why here? Too much time? Lol
@oretama indeed, this stock is good and improved, will be willing to enter given a little more discount, can be for short or mid term depends if hit price target or not prior next QR
should always hunt for the lowest possible price for better entry position, nothing to lose if missed the boat, still many other undervalue companies out there, wait for the best chance to enter only
@dvbarbarian SURIA, high NTA, debt clean, improved EPS, good future prospect
MMCCORP privatization at RM2, current price still got room for good profit, low risk of privatization fail
UOADEV 9% DY
MRCB political play, yet to archieve expected price with UMNO risen back to power
KHIND recents EPS improved a lot, chasing up with panamy in retail section, panamy already overpriced and latest EPS also decreased a lot recently probably due to competitive from khind / fiamma / pensoni
TRC PE 5.1 DY 6%
most important of all, All mentioned above are still significantly below NTA
my current portfolio are made up of only all those, now planning to reenter ptrans at anticipated discount price only, not many other companies I am impressed with the recent batch of QR releases
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
SincereStock
2,360 posts
Posted by SincereStock > 2021-08-24 08:27 | Report Abuse
although many other stock that is already way above NTA and still uptrending, but value investors strategy is not try to chase those stock, hunt for the discounted ones only