This is a good example of why i dont trade. No luck for me and i dont have the time to monitor. It was trading 1.60-180 for a long time, but you would have miss this rally the past few days. This alone should be more than your trading gain
The dramatic drop in crude oil prices has turned everything on its head - the US petrochemical cost advantage in particular.
“The ethane advantage US producers had is gone. Lower oil means lower naphtha and lower European production costs, so the once advantaged US is not advantaged anymore,” said O’Connor.
This presents a problem for US polyethylene (PE) producers in particular who have ramped up capacity with worldscale cracker projects for the export market.
“It all depends on what the price of crude oil is long term,” said Sheehan. “Crude oil would have to get back above $50/bbl for some of these large projects to make sense economically and I’m not optimistic about a return to $50 anytime soon.”
“On capacity additions in the US, a lot of them are being slowed down or postponed… We’re seeing this across the board - not just in the ethylene chain… Many companies are announcing that they’re reviewing and assessing their capital spending plans for 2020 and if the crisis were to continue in 2021, we would probably see the same thing next year,” he added.
In the meantime, with the plunge in oil and naphtha feedstock prices, integrated PE production in Europe is seeing renewed profitability, completely flipping the US advantage.
European spot high density PE (HDPE) margins using naphtha feedstock have rocketed to $1,069/tonne as of 27 March, according to ICIS Petrochemical Analytics. That compares to $574/tonne for US HDPE using ethane feed. Asia HDPE margins using naphtha were $565/tonne, running neck and neck with the US now after being negative through much of November and December 2019.
Around 5.5mi shares transacted at RM2.42 before closing ......that’s RM13.4mil. That’s why price jump up almost 10sen. Wonder Who placed such a big order?
You can’t make much money purely based on good fundamentals alone. You need catalyst to ignites it and the tail winds to follow through. Just like Gloves stocks now but I had achieved my target I moved on until dead chicken said worse over for LCtitan in his blog. And the catalyst for this stock is what I have posted and others had said earlier on in this forum. The tail wind happened to be inclusion into MSCI. They are many other stocks also included but they lack the catalyst I mentioned. Ride this through 3-4 is within sight.
You have to treat old stock as a loss and you begin new every day. If you don't, everyone will get sentimental and be tempted to average when you have higher costs. This is normally the worst decision and even im guilty of it.
What is lost is lost. You can only make it back via other means. Most stocks are technically dead coz of the economy. If you bought property, construction, building materials, oil&gas, etc the come back will be a long time waiting. Either you accept the lost or just leave it there coz it wont be coming back anytime soon
dont use good money to chase after bad money. always remember that in the market for you win someone has to lose. we have to think of how to make money from the funds coz they always kill all the retailers
@BornToSpeculate, Yes,I bought Lotte Titan, Suria, Salute, Genting, Airasia, etc still hold now..
Don't know future, I am not afraid of lossing. My concept is simple, better buy rather than regret because I missed the opportunity in Year 1999 and Year 2009. ..
No pain no gain, this is the reality.
In the worst case scenario, i afford to loss all the investment in AirAsia and Genting, but the owners of these companies will be one of the saddest persons in the world if their co go bankrupt...
@borntospeculate, is absolutely correct! Don’t put in good money continuously into bad situations stocks, they are not bad stocks but their situation there are in is very unfortunate. So I would unwind the position to put into something like LCtitan now so that the limited resources can be use Toto regenerate positive return or else we forever tied to that bad situation.
The beauty about stocks investing is that you can unwind your position and move on to change to new exciting situation. Cant imagine if you are the owner of Genting and AirAsia, you cant do anything other than to pray the situation turn better. But we can turn by taking advantage of the new situation.
Post a Comment
People who like this
New Topic
You should check in on some of those fields below.
Title
Category
Comment
Confirmation
Click Confirm to delete this Forum Thread and all the associated comments.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
perseushermes
330 posts
Posted by perseushermes > 2020-05-29 00:56 | Report Abuse
KLC - joker.....can meh?