Sold some of LC Titan today at 2.40 just now. Going into E&O 45sen since property counters are moving fast & got 3sen dividend. Any idea any property counter still not yet move?
Anyone heard the news that lctitan sign the contract to supply pp to China on April to may 2020 and the company is allocating 60% capacity to export to China with the price 5 time of the normal market price?
jinghee you need insider info for that. mgmt wont disclose such detail info especially pricing. And why would China party pay 5 times unless its buyer thinks the price of the commodity will jump by more than 5 times in the near term so they want to lock in now.
Do what you think its right. Just remember these are the same shallow analyst that told you to sell PCHEM on result and lower target to 5+ or lower and it has gone the other way.
They say EV/EBITDA for LCTITAN is half the industry average due to volatility. The only other comparison is PCHEM. LCTITAN actually made a consistent 130M+ PBT for 3 consecutive quarters except the recent loss whereas PCHEM has been reporting very volatile drop in earnings you can check for yourself.
These are all kindergarten analyst which normally had an unconvincing buy or sell recommendation. What we need is some non public info that was disclosed during analyst briefing about how the company is actually doing instead of info we can google and find out ourselves.
Again, they dont talk about ASP prices going up. They dont even quote what naptha cost USD they used in their analyst
like glove stock is very bullish, previously they also said that it is overheat and still not able make the price lower, so they use margin cut strategy, after that they can collect the shares at lower price as you see last 2 to 3 days the institution is net buying.
317 USD is still very acceptable compared to what it was last year and not forgetting selling prices have gone up.
I personally dont think that oil prices will go back to 65 usd in the short term. From the current of 40 usd, it should be more less volatile and more stable keeping in mind that global demand is still low even with all the cuts
now dump monday pump don't miss this golden opportunity even though feedstock is getting a little expensive it is still the best stock to buy at this level can look forward to a higher dividend next year
throughout my trading experienced, i make the most money from the stocks where Anal-ysts downgraded the stocks. i still remember i make 3 times from AAsia when they downgraded it and sold when they are super bullish! see Gloves stocks now, they re Super Bullish. see the outcome later.
Simon is right. Especially when there is a big loss and the analyst dont even correct explain the loss i.e. whether it is non cash, due to conservative accounting principle they took more provisions or impairment etc.
last quarter for LCTITAN the bulk of it was non-cash i earlier shared the post. i can reshare here. Analyst have to be careful with their words. Above the analyst core net loss earnings / loss were 140m instead of quoting cashflow
Ill try to explain this briefly. If you read the cashflow statement :-
Loss of -205m
+ main non cash items depreciation 134.6m write down inventory 81.3m impairment from associate 35.1m
So you end up with a small operating loss actually of 28.5m after the rest of items. Which means the bulk of the losses are accounting losses, not cash burn.
After working capital changes, net cash after operations is 270m ( similiar to previous period ).
Did anyone notice that cash and bank balances already increased despite the loss to 4.03b from 3.91b ?
So now you know why there are big buyers when others are just shouting on the side line
Jolly given the current environment Lctitan is still the best bet don't throw away a gem and buy back a stone when you have exited just keep the cash coz other stocks are no better really
Andy, worst case scenario the net cash per share of this is 1.71 per share roughly with their 4b cash at bank. CIMB moron recommendation is target of 1.62 even below this price.
So he/she thinks LCTITAN ( even though 2 players in Malaysia ) is such a lousy business and we should even take a discount on cash per share. You just look at objectively whether that make sense to you.
Agree with you Simon some analysts even from reputable research houses are very irresponsible eg giving a strong buy call for gloves makers attaching a TP of 20.50 for Top gloves etc not knowing the tremendous risk involved
As previously I said heard some news from friends who is in this plastic lines (not from other group that goreng stock), he is purely businessman and not goreng share kaki, he got the info that during April to May LCTITAN supply their plant capacity 60% of PP to China with normal price 4x to mask production companies. Anyone have friends who is in this line can try dig more info. Not surprisingly in 2Q it can make profit more than RM1.5b. Coming 3Q profit may not as good as as 2Q without big contract. But I believe the demand for PP is consistant with the syringe demand going up because of pandemic, mask demand is also consistent. And butadiene to supply glove company also have the demand increase.
Jolly covid19 will come to pass no longer than 6 months or a vaccine would be available by then what are the gloves for after that maybe Suisse can eat them haha btw the barrier to entry for gloves making is low if it is such a lucrative business lot of people will come in
Nepo, LCT could have contracted or locked in long term naphtha supplies at the lower prices when it was 200s per ton earlier? At least for 2Q feedstock supply. Probably so.
with the rise in naphtha past few days(estimate to impact them after mid July or August), they have ample time to increase product prices. Especially products sold to those customers used in PPE production.
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jackson88 how to check Lotte Chemical price? Looks like undervalue.