@ monetary, nobody know and nobody can answer. need to patiently wait for the downtrend ended, monitor the short term SMA crossover back long term SMA. The crossover point will be the buying point before it rally.
Definition : The golden cross is a technical chart pattern indicating the potential for a major rally. The golden cross appears on a chart when a stock's short-term moving average crosses above its long-term moving average.
So today's closing price 1.04 < SMA 200 = 1.064. A downtrend is confirmed.
If you are still holding stock, any technical rebound is good opportunity to sell. During a downtrend, it will still up/down, thru & forte but it will gradually close lower low until a trend reversal.
SMA 3 = 1.09 SMA 5 = 1.094
Once SMA 3 & SMA 5 crossover SMA 200, expect will see a more significant price drop, now the delta is only 0.026 & 0.03.
The last time Revenue stock on downtrend started July 23rd, 2019 and the golden crossover was Oct 11th, 2019, the entire downtrend last for about 3 months. From Oct 11th (lowest 0.91) to Jan 2nd (highest 1.53), it surge for 68% within 3 months.
It looks like each cycle (uptrend or downtrend) for Revenue is about 3 months.
This round if we consider Feb 18th (from the peak of 1.45) was the start for downtrend, take the same time-frame as reference, the golden crossover may happen by May, whereby the outbreak expected to be over due to Summer season.
Based on the experience from SARS, once the outbreak over, worldwide stock markets will be booming from bottom.
Oil price and political issues shall also be settled by then.
Patience, Discipline, Free capital available is the key to make profits.
Officially DJ already in bear market start from this week. It will last at least months before in turn back to bull market.
DJ will up & down +/-1000 points and it will become a norm for such extreme fluctuation.
It will benefit day trader / contra player / IDSS for such extreme movement daily.
If you are still holding stock, any technical rebound due to external positive factors, sell first, as during downtrend, it will only trend down lower low overtime.
DJ will up & down in its extreme, do not too optimistic for one day up as it had officially entered bear market since last week with uncertainty for the impact of the outbreak. FED cut the rate to zero only create more fear.
1) Any technical rebound, sell. 2) Do not hold stock during downtrend. 3) Only buy & hold when the downtrend ended and reverse to uptrend.
I am actually the one who learn a lot by sharing in this forum.
those sifu asked u to buy is because they want to sell.
I am holding zero Revenue stock after sold 1.4/1.41 last mth, only analyze TA for self-learning and will only buy back at golden crossover, so no conflict of interest.
Covid-19 make economy slown down fundamental company will metamorphism and company with high debt will the time to collapse.Expect local and foreign funds money would not flow in big cap and mid cap stock because everybody scare buy high losses money . In this few month expect Funds manager money would flow out in bigcap and midcap stocks and will short selling midcap stocks for make money so now no prospects cannot buy and hold. market stock RM10 drop to RM5, RM5.00 drop to RM 2.00 , followed RM2.00 drop RM1.00, followed RM1.00 drop to 50 cent, followed 50 cent drop to 20cent ,followed 20 cent drop to 10cent ,followed 10 cent drop to bottom. High debt company cannot hold ,high prices stock cannot hold , market never sleep money never sleep just buy bottom low prices with cash rich company . This is a opportunity markets smarts money no longer will flows in cheaper stocks market will goreng lows price stock at bottom.
@ Flintstones, once SMA 200 broken, it will be a free fall. Need to patiently wait for downtrend ended, reverse to uptrend, then only enter at the point of golden crossover. Nobody know what price will be the crossover. Need to monitor and it may takes months.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Trouble Huat
1,199 posts
Posted by Trouble Huat > 2020-03-13 09:56 | Report Abuse
Noted