Posted by Keyman188 > 2019-07-02 15:15 | Report Abuse

US market any time pull back at least 10% correction level then rebound 3% ~ 5% for short period

Later pull back again

Now US market at Auto-Pilot mechanism trading

Any time no signal super fast pull back

Posted by Keyman188 > 2019-07-02 15:21 | Report Abuse

80% of the stock market is now on autopilot (Published Sat, Jun 29 2019 8:30 AM EDT)

Passive investments control about 60% of the equity assets, while quantitative funds -- those relying on trend-following models instead of fundamental research -- now account for 20% of the market share, according to estimates from J.P. Morgan.

Passive funds have attracted $39 billion of inflows so far this year, whereas active funds lost a whopping $90 billion in 2019, the bank said.


https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/28/80percent-of-the-stock-market-is-now-on-autopilot.html?&qsearchterm=passive%20fund

Posted by Keyman188 > 2019-07-02 15:24 | Report Abuse

Passive investing automatically tracking indexes now controls nearly half the US stock market (Published Tue, Mar 19 2019 1:42 PM EDTUpdated Tue, Mar 19 2019 5:56 PM EDT)

Passive management now accounts for 45 percent of all assets for U.S. stock-based funds.

That’s up from just around 25 percent a decade ago.

Investors have turned to ETFs and passive mutual funds in large part because of their lowest cost.


https://www.cnbc.com/2019/03/19/passive-investing-now-controls-nearly-half-the-us-stock-market.html?&qsearchterm=passive%20fund

Posted by Keyman188 > 2019-07-03 08:29 | Report Abuse

‘Dr. Doom’ economist Nouriel Roubini sees trade war tipping global economy into a recession (Published Tue, Jul 2 2019 9:02 AM EDTUpdated Tue, Jul 2 2019 12:46 PM EDT)

“The consequences of this trade and tech war and cold war [are] the beginning of de-globalizaion ... and the decoupling of the global economy. We’ll have to redo the global tech supply chain. And eventually by next year, if this escalates, it will be a global recession,” Roubini says.

Roubini, head of Roubini Macro Associates, was the economist who famously called the housing bubble.

Roubini is pessimistic that the world’s two largest economies will work out a long-term agreement anytime soon.



https://www.cnbc.com/2019/07/02/dr-doom-economist-nouriel-roubini-sees-trade-war-tipping-global-economy-into-recession.html?&qsearchterm=roubini

Posted by Keyman188 > 2019-07-03 08:31 | Report Abuse

Time to Super Alert

Posted by Keyman188 > 2019-07-03 08:48 | Report Abuse

U.S. Stocks Hit Record on Trade Truce; Bonds Drop: Markets Wrap ( July 1, 2019, 5:21 AM GMT+8 Updated on July 2, 2019, 4:03 AM GMT+8 )

U.S. stocks rallied to all-time highs after a trade truce with China, though finished well off highs of the day as measures of manufacturing activity showed growth slowing in the world’s largest economy. Treasuries fell with gold

The S&P 500 ended at a record for the first time in 10 days, led by a surge in chipmakers after President Donald Trump agreed to ease a ban on American companies supplying Chinese tech giant Huawei. The Nasdaq 100 hit a two-month high. Industrial shares underperformed, as a U.S. manufacturing gauge showed orders stalled last month.

“The rally on this news will probably be short-lived and then we’ll go back to worrying about very weak growth data,” Ed Campbell, portfolio manager and managing director at QMA, said in an interview.

The U.S. data came after a series of weak factory reports from major economies around world reaffirmed speculation that global central banks will remain on track with easier monetary policy. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed even as futures traders still priced in almost 75 basis points of rate cuts this year by the Federal Reserve. Gold slid 1.4%.

Crude advanced toward $60 a barrel, after major producers agreed to extend output cuts. Stocks in Shanghai and Tokyo led Asian gains, while markets in Hong Kong were closed for a holiday as a new wave of unrest hit the city.

Traders seem cautiously optimistic in the wake of the G-20 gathering, though the move to delay further tariffs and resume talks doesn’t offer much clarity on the critical issues. Investors have also been assessing global growth as a series of major purchasing manager readings on Monday morning showed declines. U.S. factory data are also due today.

In Europe, the euro trimmed a decline and European bonds were mixed as data showed manufacturers in the region remained firmly stuck in a slump last month, and as leaders failed again to agree who will fill key European Union roles, including the presidency of the central bank. Italian bonds surged, reflecting optimism that the European Commission won’t penalize the nation this summer over its budget deficit. The pound weakened as a U.K. factory gauge contracted.

Elsewhere, the lira rallied after Trump indicated he may reassess his threats to sanction Turkey if it goes ahead with a Russian missile purchase. Swiss stocks rose as much as 1.3% as never-before-tested provisions to safeguard liquidity kicked in following a showdown with the European Union. Gold dropped the most in a year.


https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-06-30/yuan-climbs-dollar-dips-on-trade-truce-yen-falls-markets-wrap

Posted by Keyman188 > 2019-07-03 08:49 | Report Abuse

All expecting FED will aggressively cut interest rate, global market already over priced in for recently rally

Posted by Keyman188 > 2019-07-05 22:43 | Report Abuse

Unexpected S&P 500 stopped at 2995 @ 03/07/2019

Posted by Keyman188 > 2019-07-05 22:46 | Report Abuse

See you next week @ 2800 ~ 2850

Posted by Keyman188 > 2019-07-05 22:50 | Report Abuse

Market already put a lot of hope on Fed Rate Cut....

All priced in for rate cut & trade deal.....

I always remain myself

---------Don't hope too much in violence market, the hope will become your killer----------------------

Posted by Keyman188 > 2019-07-05 23:08 | Report Abuse

‘Not What the Market Wants:’ Payroll Data Is Too Hot for Comfort (By Elena Popinaand Vildana Hajric July 5, 2019, 9:06 PM GMT+8)

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-07-05/-not-what-the-market-wants-payroll-data-is-too-hot-for-comfort?srnd=premium-asia

## Can examine the market experts how to assess current market sentiment