Maintain BUY (TP: RM0.33). Reservoir Link Energy (RL) 1HFY24 core PATAMI of RM2.1mn was below both our and consensus’ estimate at 19% and 20% respectively. 2QFY24 core earnings declined 49% QoQ to RM0.7mn dragged by lower revenue from RE solar segment as well as lower margin in O&G segment. We cut our forecast by 19%-22% for FY24-FY26F as we take into account higher finance cost. We expect RE solar activities to be more vibrant in FY25 with the expected roll-out of CGPP projects in 2HCY24. Overall, we still think that the stock offers relatively cheaper exposure to encouraging demand for solar project. Maintain RL as a BUY with a lower TP of RM0.33 which implies 10x FY25F P/E.
Key highlights. Revenue declined 34% QoQ to RM44mn mainly dragged by slower RE segment which fell 39% to RM29mn. Growth in RE activities were stalled as many LSS4 projects were coming to tailend stages. However, GP margin for RE segment expanded by 500bps to 16% (1Q24: 11%) as it incurred higher cost during commencement of project in 1Q24. On O&G segment, revenue was down by 18% to RM17mn as it was affected by seasonal demand. GP margin was lower at 14% (1Q24: 19%) due to the deployment of third-party equipment during project execution.
Earnings Revision. We cut our forecast by 19%-22% for FY24-FY26F (Table 4) as we pencilled in higher finance cost assumption.
Outlook. RL orderbook stands at RM210mn (1Q24: RM175mn) underpinned by orderbook replenishment in O&G segment. Management guided that companies that participate in Corporate Green Power Programme (CGPP) projects had only done submission to participate in New Enhanced Dispatch Arrangement (NEDA) recently. Thus, the roll-out of CGPP projects may only gain traction in 2HCY24. On the other hand, the company expects to realise the listing of Founder Energy on Nasdaq by mid-CY24.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....