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TSH–Fundamental Analysis (12 May 2014) - L. C. Chong

Tan KW
Publish date: Mon, 12 May 2014, 05:16 PM
Tan KW
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Posted by L. C. Chong on May 12, 2014

This study is created specifically for educational purposes only where I will use it on a special occasion later. I may not update analysis of this stock in the future.

TSH Analysis:-

Excel – http://1drv.ms/1mQK1hz

My View:-

- Fair values:
  – EY% – Buy below 2.19, sell above 3.75 (MOS: 11.97%)
  – In my opinion, TSH still got a little bit of upside.
- The CPO price moves in a cyclical manner.
- Analysts posted positive outlook on TSH because
  a) strong FFB production growth of 13%-15%
  b) young age profile of 6-7 years old for the majority of its planted area
- However, due to increasingly impairment costs, I am not sure efficiency of TSH management and operations. Unlike its peers, TSH leverage level is also higher.
- This stock doesn’t fit my taste.

Latest Financial – Q4 2013 Financial Report (25 Feb 2014) http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/1547169

At the time of writing, I did not own shares of TSH.

 

http://lcchong.wordpress.com/2014/05/12/tshfundamental-analysis-12-may-2014/

 

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ksng0307

Hi LC, i can't find any formula in your excel spreadsheet, can share? Thanks

2014-05-12 19:51

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