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Is there value in the RM? - M.A. Wind

Tan KW
Publish date: Wed, 04 Jan 2017, 01:36 PM
Tan KW
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Good.

Wednesday, 4 January 2017 

 
Malaysia Market Strategy from UBS: "2017 - A glass half full or half empty?".

Lots of negative stuff regarding 2016 ("a year to forget"):

  • KLCI down for 3rd year in a row
  • Earnings growth down for 4th year in a row (because of this shares still do not look cheap, on average, value probably more to be found in selected small and medium cap shares)
  • Slowing domestic demand, ongoing political concerns, etc
 
The RM is at an all-time low level against the USD, but there might be value there, according to this graph:
 
 
 
 
I am not exactly an expert on "REER" (Real Effective Exchange Rate"), but if the above picture is an objective evaluation of the current situation, then the RM looks definetely cheap. However, buyer beware, things can stay cheap for a long time.
 
 

http://cgmalaysia.blogspot.my/2017/01/is-there-value-in-rm.html

Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 6 of 6 comments

Jonathan Keung

you need a drastic change in the ringgit perception or the Malaysia Governmnet governace. public empathy towards the running of the publc administration is clouding the ringgit true value.

2017-01-04 13:46

speakup

are u saying najib must resign?

2017-01-04 13:48

speakup

http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/368061

FANTASTIC NEWS!!!! we are on our way to become Zimbabwe of Asia!
No wonder our bursa market super bullish today because of this good news!

CI is up 7 points thannks to US$1 = RM4.5!
let's hope for US$1 = RM10, then our CI will be 2000 points!

2017-01-04 14:01

choop818

Please don't force politics on us. 1 + 1 sometimes doesn't equate 2.

2017-01-04 14:10

speakup

one day when US$1 = RM1000, it would be cheaper to use RM notes as toilet paper

2017-01-04 15:29

Jonathan Keung

if ? the ringgit fall to >5.00 against the USD. the burden will be on the people not the politician(s). everything related to imports will be mark up.

2017-01-04 15:40

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