MQTrader Stock Discussion

MQ Trader Analysis – SAPNRG (5218) – Volatility vs Opportunity?

MQTrader Jesse
Publish date: Wed, 30 Jan 2019, 05:26 PM

SAPNRG (5218)

Sapura Energy Bhd is an integrated oil and gas services and solutions provider. Its operating segments are Engineering and Construction, Drilling, Energy and Corporate. 

Sapura Energy Fundamental Analysis

Figure 1: Quarter Revenue of SAPNRG

Figure 2: Quarter profit of SAPNRG

Figure 1 and Figure 2 shows that SAPNRG fails to convert sales to profit, as losses have been created continuously since 4Q17.

Figure 3: Quarter PE ratio of SAPNRG

Figure 4: Quarter ROE of SAPNRG

SAPNRG’s quarter profits and PE ratio exhibit the similar trend showing that the share price of SAPNRG is at its fair value. As a result of the losses created since 4Q17, SAPNRG’s PE ratio and ROE indicate negative values.

MQ Fundamental Rating

Based on the analysis above, it is a fundamentally poor stock, as it fails most of the fundamental tests. Normally, we will not pick stocks with fundamental rating which is less than 2.5 for long term investment.

 

Overall technical chart

Sapura Energy has faced long term down-trend since 2016 - challenges remain strong for oil & gas sector as the brent crude oil price remain volatile.  

MQ Technical Rating

EMA 5 Crossover Daily Chart

EMA 5 Crossover Hourly Chart

ADX and OBV of SAPNRG

SAPNRG has been experiencing a long-term bearish trend for a year and it is still undergoing down-trending price movement, as MQ technical rating is indicating 2.2/5.0 at the moment. Based on MQ Trader criteria, a stock with bullish trend should achieve MQ technical rating that is higher than 3.0/5.0.

Sell signals are detected by most of the MQ Trader trading strategies confirming the selling momentum on SAPNRG’s shares as shown in EMA 5 Crossover charts above.  Furthermore, technical indicators such as ADX and OBV are showing negative results due to greater selling pressure over buying pressure.

MQ Trader View

One of the main reason that causes SAPNRG’s recent down-trending share price movement is the under-subscription of its right shares. The under-subscription rate of 18.5% results in the 1.8bil ordinary shares to be held by the underwriters Maybank Investment Bank, CIMB Investment Bank and RHB Investment Bank. Provided Sapura’s average daily trading volume is 116mil over the past 1 year, the underwriters will require a few months to dispose these shares. Thus, it is expected that the selling pressure will be greater than buying pressure during this period.

Conclusion

According to the analysis above, we will save our capital for better opportunities instead of holding or buying the share that are in downtrend, especially for those without good fundamentals. At the meantime, we will monitor the momentum of fundamentally strong counters (Fundamental rating > 2.5) with mid-term bullish up-trending chart patterns.

MQ Trader Analysis Tool

To view SAPNRG’s fundamental analysis on MQ Trader: https://klse.i3investor.com/mqtrader/sf/analysis/fa/5218

To view SAPNRG’s technical analysis on MQ Trader: https://klse.i3investor.com/mqtrader/sf/analysis/stkta/5218

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Disclaimer

This article does not represent a BUY or SELL recommendation on the stock covered. Traders and Investors are encouraged to do their own analysis on stocks instead of blindly following any Trading calls raised by various parties in the Internet. We may or may not hold position in the stock covered, or initiate new position in the stock within the next 7 days.

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2 people like this. Showing 2 of 2 comments

VenFx

Preparing for 0.235
I wantvto enter my 2nd bacth.

2019-01-30 23:14

kenie

Problem malaysia oil gas company.
https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/muze/

2019-01-31 09:55

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