Stock Pick Year 2014 - OTB

Stock Pick Year 2014 - OTB - LATITUD

 

Dear valued members,            
             
You should be realistic about your goals.             
             
"In this business if you're good, you're right six times out of ten. You're never going to be right nine times out of ten." Peter 
Lynch             
             
Disclaimer: Please be informed that the following mentioned stocks / symbols are solely for the purpose of education only; it is 
neither a trading advice nor an invitation to trade. For trading advice, please speak to your dealer representative or remisier or 
financial adviser. Please buy at your own risk. Final decision is yours        
             
Latitud            
             
My trading plan             
I like the technical chart of this stock because there is a gap up on 28/11/2013.    
Major resistance is 2.10 then 3.18.            
Major support is 1.58, and 1.35.             
Target price = 3.85             
Margin of safety = 60% (1.55)            
Potential profit gain = 149% (1.55)            
Cut loss at 1.35 = 23%             
Risk reward ratio at 1.35 cut loss = 1 : 4.9.             
             
Feng Shui element = Wood            
             
Buy Latitud at 1.76 (5/12/2013).             
             
Latitude IV Calculation            
        Fundamental Rating  
Total Net Profit Years   10/10   87.50%  
         
Total Positive Operating Cash flow Years   10/10        
        Current Price  
Total Dividend Payout Years   10/10   1.55  
             
Total Positive free Cash flow Year   5/10        
    35/40        
      Growth %      
10 Years Average Turn Over                    411,872 28.94%      
Current 4 Quarters                    531,061        
             
10 Years Average Net Profit                       15,227 96.70%      
Current 4 Quarters                       29,952        
             
    2012 2013 2014(Q1) Growth  
EPS (Cent)   10.12 25.07 30.81 22.90%     
PE Ratio   15.32 6.18 5.03 18.63%  
NTA   2.16 2.39 2.57 7.53%  
Net Profit                         9,840            24,366          29,952 22.93%  
Equity                     209,675         232,061       249,842 7.66%  
ROE   4.693 10.5 11.99 14.18%  
Dividend   0 0 0    
Free cash flow   20,256 49,667      
             
Price CAGR % (Buy and Hold)            
Average Return History   -3.94%        
3 yrs Return   11.88% 17%      
             
Method 1            
EPS   0.31        
g, %   15.00        
Y   7.00        
IV= (EPS*(8.5+1.5g)*4.4)/Y   6.00        
Current price   1.55        
Margin of Safety   74.18%        
Potential gain   287.33%        
             
Method 2            
Discounted Cash Flows Calculator            
Discount rate    12.00%        
EPS   0.31        
Earning expected to grow (annually)   15.00        
for the next (? Years)   3.0        
before leveling off to an annual growth    3.00        
Calculate Stock Value per share   4.82        
Current price   1.55        
Margin of Safety   67.84%        
Potential gain   210.97%        
             
Method 3            
ROE   11.99%        
Rr, %   8.00%        
NTA   2.57        
IV= ROE/ Rr*NTA   3.85 Target price      
Current Price   1.55        
Margin of Safety   59.76%        
Potential gain   148.50%        
             
Method 4            
(22.5*EPS*Book value per share)^0.5            
EPS   0.31        
Total equity   249842        
Number of shares   97208        
(22.5*EPS*Total Equity/share)^0.5   4.22        
Current price   1.55        
Margin of Safety   63.28%        
Potential gain   172.32%        
             
Thank you.            
Ooi Teik Bee            

 

 

 

 

 

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3 people like this. Showing 7 of 9 comments

Ooi Teik Bee

Mr Tan,
In the EPS row, please delete 147.73.
Thank you.
Ooi

2013-12-06 22:34

JXRepcoBuffet

Target RM3.80? Would that be too high?

2013-12-06 22:44

inwest88

# OoiTB - price now is 1.76. Resistance is 3.18, is it too high from current price ?

2013-12-07 11:28

Ooi Teik Bee

2.10 is also a resistance. After 2.10, it is 3.18.
Mr Tan,
Please amend it.
Thank you.

2013-12-07 11:36

heavyth

correction time...

2013-12-30 15:16

heavyth

Can buy now...???

2013-12-31 11:12

heavyth

why price drop from 2.50 to 2.08..???

2013-12-31 20:24

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