Probability is a measure of 'likeliness' that an event will occur - there are no 100% certainty.
Followers
22
Following
2
Blog Posts
14
Threads
14,496
Blogs
Threads
Portfolio
Follower
Following
2020-11-21 16:12 | Report Abuse
Here's the Coronavirus Vaccine Maker That's Most Likely to Blow Past Pfizer and Moderna
https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/11/20/coronavirus-vaccine-maker-past-pfizer-moderna/
Nov 20, 2020
J&J's coronavirus vaccine candidate, though, requires only one dose.
This could give J&J a significant competitive advantage over its rivals. A single-dose vaccine would have a lower cost than a two-dose regimen. People would also be more likely to want to receive a vaccine that they only have to take once.
Johnson & Johnson also won't have the ultra-cold storage requirements that Pfizer's vaccine has. Its COVID-19 vaccine can remain stable for up to two years at around minus four degrees Fahrenheit and for up to three months at temperatures between around 35 degrees and 46 degrees Fahrenheit.
In addition, J&J beats Moderna when it comes to production capacity. Moderna has stated that it will be able to make around 500 million doses of mRNA-1273 next year, although the biotech says that it could "possibly" up that to 1 billion doses. J&J is on track to produce more than 1 billion doses per year.
2020-11-21 16:12 | Report Abuse
Here's the Coronavirus Vaccine Maker That's Most Likely to Blow Past Pfizer and Moderna
https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/11/20/coronavirus-vaccine-maker-past-pfizer-moderna/
Nov 20, 2020
J&J's coronavirus vaccine candidate, though, requires only one dose.
This could give J&J a significant competitive advantage over its rivals. A single-dose vaccine would have a lower cost than a two-dose regimen. People would also be more likely to want to receive a vaccine that they only have to take once.
Johnson & Johnson also won't have the ultra-cold storage requirements that Pfizer's vaccine has. Its COVID-19 vaccine can remain stable for up to two years at around minus four degrees Fahrenheit and for up to three months at temperatures between around 35 degrees and 46 degrees Fahrenheit.
In addition, J&J beats Moderna when it comes to production capacity. Moderna has stated that it will be able to make around 500 million doses of mRNA-1273 next year, although the biotech says that it could "possibly" up that to 1 billion doses. J&J is on track to produce more than 1 billion doses per year.
2020-11-21 16:11 | Report Abuse
Here's the Coronavirus Vaccine Maker That's Most Likely to Blow Past Pfizer and Moderna
https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/11/20/coronavirus-vaccine-maker-past-pfizer-moderna/
Nov 20, 2020
J&J's coronavirus vaccine candidate, though, requires only one dose.
This could give J&J a significant competitive advantage over its rivals. A single-dose vaccine would have a lower cost than a two-dose regimen. People would also be more likely to want to receive a vaccine that they only have to take once.
Johnson & Johnson also won't have the ultra-cold storage requirements that Pfizer's vaccine has. Its COVID-19 vaccine can remain stable for up to two years at around minus four degrees Fahrenheit and for up to three months at temperatures between around 35 degrees and 46 degrees Fahrenheit.
In addition, J&J beats Moderna when it comes to production capacity. Moderna has stated that it will be able to make around 500 million doses of mRNA-1273 next year, although the biotech says that it could "possibly" up that to 1 billion doses. J&J is on track to produce more than 1 billion doses per year.
2020-11-21 16:10 | Report Abuse
Here's the Coronavirus Vaccine Maker That's Most Likely to Blow Past Pfizer and Moderna
https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/11/20/coronavirus-vaccine-maker-past-pfizer-moderna/
Nov 20, 2020
J&J's coronavirus vaccine candidate, though, requires only one dose.
This could give J&J a significant competitive advantage over its rivals. A single-dose vaccine would have a lower cost than a two-dose regimen. People would also be more likely to want to receive a vaccine that they only have to take once.
Johnson & Johnson also won't have the ultra-cold storage requirements that Pfizer's vaccine has. Its COVID-19 vaccine can remain stable for up to two years at around minus four degrees Fahrenheit and for up to three months at temperatures between around 35 degrees and 46 degrees Fahrenheit.
In addition, J&J beats Moderna when it comes to production capacity. Moderna has stated that it will be able to make around 500 million doses of mRNA-1273 next year, although the biotech says that it could "possibly" up that to 1 billion doses. J&J is on track to produce more than 1 billion doses per year.
2020-11-21 15:26 | Report Abuse
many people still dont get the meaning of 95% effective vaccine.
with current desperation from all businesses worldwide, vaccination worldwide will be done within months
every single business - you name it...will want to help to get this done as quick as possible, people cant wait for travel and holidays for life to return to normal
its done deal - max 12 months and the economy will be booming with added boost from pent up demand
its not easy to find an investment that gives 10% return in a year
you need to see the future in advance and take a strong bet
2020-11-21 14:40 | Report Abuse
many people still dont get the meaning of 95% effective vaccine.
with current desperation from all businesses worldwide, vaccination worldwide will be done within months
every single business - you name it...will want to help to get this done as quick as possible, people cant wait for travel and holidays for life to return to normal
its done deal - max 12 months and the economy will be booming with added boost from pent up demand
its not easy to find an investment that gives 10% return in a year
you need to see the future in advance and take a strong bet
2020-11-21 14:39 | Report Abuse
many people still dont get the meaning of 95% effective vaccine.
with current desperation from all businesses worldwide, vaccination worldwide will be done within months
every single business - you name it...will want to help to get this done as quick as possible, people cant wait for travel and holidays for life to return to normal
its done deal - max 12 months and the economy will be booming with added boost from pent up demand
its not easy to find an investment that gives 10% return in a year
you need to see the future in advance and take a strong bet
2020-11-21 14:38 | Report Abuse
many people still dont get the meaning of 95% effective vaccine.
with current desperation from all businesses worldwide, vaccination worldwide will be done within months
every single business - you name it...will want to help to get this done as quick as possible, people cant wait for travel and holidays for life to return to normal
its done deal - max 12 months and the economy will be booming with added boost from pent up demand
its not easy to find an investment that gives 10% return in a year
you need to see the future in advance and take a strong bet
2020-11-21 14:38 | Report Abuse
many people still dont get the meaning of 95% effective vaccine.
with current desperation from all businesses worldwide, vaccination worldwide will be done within months
every single business - you name it...will want to help to get this done as quick as possible, people cant wait for travel and holidays for life to return to normal
its done deal - max 12 months and the economy will be booming with added boost from pent up demand
its not easy to find an investment that gives 10% return in a year
you need to see the future in advance and take a strong bet
2020-11-18 21:28 | Report Abuse
yes Tkeng, lets see....
2020-11-17 11:09 | Report Abuse
this is pandemic recovery stocks...market should realize anytime soon..
2020-11-17 11:05 | Report Abuse
yup...plenty of oil supply will maintain oil price low..however with the vaccine, demand should pick up on lctitan products...increasing the margin
ironically O&G stocks already climbing up fast with vaccine news
and yet LC titan seems confused where to go
Posted by Tkeng > Nov 17, 2020 8:14 AM | Report Abuse
@probability... Margin squeeze,... 4.1% profit on sales qr3. Still had feedstock in their inventory when naptha was high... Oil prices going to remain low for a long time. Margins may improve even with lesser volume, no?
17/11/2020 7:53 AM
2020-11-16 23:55 | Report Abuse
keyword - "will be dependent on the pandemic recovery trajectory"
2020-11-16 23:54 | Report Abuse
prospects
..........
The results of our operations for the financial year ending 31 December 2020 are expected to be primarily influenced by the following factors
(a) The demand and supply balance of petrochemical products in the market;
(b) Our ability to maximise production outputs and operational efficiency;
(c) Petrochemical product demand moves in tandem with overall global GDP growth, driven by consumption and population growth; and
(d) Feedstock prices which is correlated to crude oil prices.
The International Monetary Fund in its latest report has noted a less severe economic contraction for 2020 than it initially expected. This is following the better-than-expected 2nd quarter economic recession in major developed and emerging economies, led by strong recovery in the Chinese economy. The softened impact was also supported by the massive fiscal countermeasures and accommodative monetary policies implemented by all major economies in the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Nevertheless, the recovery outlook remains fragile with high degree of uncertainties for now, as it will be dependent on the pandemic recovery trajectory.
2020-11-16 23:49 | Report Abuse
Group revenue decreased by 23% (or RM 1,485.4 million) from RM 6,464.1 million to RM 4,978.7 million due to decrease in average product selling price and sales volume. The COVID-19 pandemic have affected regional economy resulting in poor business sentiment and weakened demand. Regional businesses display sign of recovery with recent
improvement seen in average product selling price and sales volume. Apart from the virus outbreak, reduction in production quantity resulting from the major statutory plant turnaround conducted in 1H 2020 has also caused the decrease in sales volume.
2020-11-01 11:12 | Report Abuse
OMG...kltower...very powerful image...
i can also see ah Thai sitting inside!
2020-11-01 11:09 | Report Abuse
recent high in cases is 575 k per day worldwide....
vaccine to bring down the cases? Wait till 2024...
Posted by freetospeak > Nov 1, 2020 10:19 AM | Report Abuse
how about if asp not coming down when supermax got 48 bilcaps oledi...
4 bil pat per qtr...u scared or not...
What!!! haven consider 15 bil us caps...
If consider ...5 bil PAT per qtr???
Super max pe 1 at 2022 at current price ?
2020-10-31 19:49 | Report Abuse
if gloves stock dips...the whole market will...no choice..best catalyst is interest rate reduction...and think its inevitable
2020-10-31 19:46 | Report Abuse
plenty of money to take out from financial sector...it had barely dipped
2020-10-31 19:45 | Report Abuse
hope for interest rate cut...and fund taking out money from other stocks and add more on gloves..
2020-10-31 19:41 | Report Abuse
and the winter is just starting...all other economic activity is going for a halt...i expect oil price to crash below 30USD/brl again...
2020-10-31 19:40 | Report Abuse
i think its consolidating...or more like digesting how far these pandemic will go before another breakout in the share price..
If you notice the ASP on latest month from Supermax analyst briefing..it had exceeded 220USD/k gloves
2020-10-31 19:27 | Report Abuse
this i agree...ASP decline is the trigger point..
Posted by CharlesT > Oct 31, 2020 7:26 PM | Report Abuse
The peak of asp likely to be in next q i think..or at most one more q..
When u c profit stops to increase then u know what to do
2020-10-31 19:26 | Report Abuse
may be at least till next winter ...these spot orders will be there looks like...
further since order already booked till end 2021...whatever they produce cannot increase the inventory of the gloves worlwide..and ots indeed depleting very fast
2020-10-31 19:24 | Report Abuse
true also...but there is just no other place to park money feels like...unless you keep it as cash...
2020-10-31 19:22 | Report Abuse
sifu charles...this time may be can really extend to 2022 look like...looking how they are investing on additional capacity...
any gut feeling..insight what could be the next theme play?
O&G seems too early to go in..
2020-10-30 22:09 | Report Abuse
Wawasan 2020...1 Malaysia....duduk rumah main saham
2020-10-24 13:31 | Report Abuse
https://www.lottechem.my/upload/webBoard/LB15/LB15_a_2020730132919.pdf
page 9/13 says a thousand word...stay calm & focused
2020-10-13 23:57 | Report Abuse
https://www.investing.com/equities/mercator-wa
Mercator stock price: 680, + 12.96 PC
2020-10-13 23:56 | Report Abuse
https://www.investing.com/equities/mercator-wa
Mercator stock price: 680, + 12.96 PC
2020-10-12 12:37 | Report Abuse
ok, those are good picks also...but didnt notice as much as lctitan using i3's conventional explosive earnings forecast as most sifus do...with fast reaction time
hope for the best
Posted by Choivo Capital > Oct 12, 2020 11:04 AM | Report Abuse
Probability.
Timecom, Opensys, RCECAP leh?
2020-10-10 13:52 | Report Abuse
If coming qtr results hit 300m....need to upgrade Jon to junior sifu already....
it will be his first pick which truly delivers
its a big crucial test for Jon now
2020-09-19 22:59 | Report Abuse
all IB will be revising their TP soon
Posted by pjseow > Sep 19, 2020 10:51 PM | Report Abuse
RHB is the only analyst used DCF to compute tgt price which is 9.50. The question of what PE.and which year earning to use.to compute tgt price should not arise since all future earnings.from 2021 till infinity are considered . We can only question their profit assumptions , discount and growth rates after.2023. In my opinion, the assumption of 2023 earning.at.4.478 billion is on the high side and the terminal growth.rate of 1 % is too low . The discount.rate of 7 %
is fair .
2020-09-10 17:26 | Report Abuse
I respect CGS-CIMB the most. Once lose credibility, not easy to retain back - pariah prem the writer for MacQ
2020-09-07 12:41 | Report Abuse
https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/ptres/56901.jsp
Petronas’ 2Q20 core loss stood at-RM0.7bn (1Q20: +RM8.5bn, 2Q19: +RM14.5bn), brought 1H20 core profit to RM7.8bn (-73% YoY). The weak results were primarily due to lower crude oil prices. 1H20 capex spending of RM14.8bn only constituted 37% of its planned capex target of c.RM40bn in FY20. While Brent crude and LNG prices have recovered from its lows, demand for crude and LNG is still severely impacted by Covid-19. We believe that Brent Crude prices would need to average above USD55 for at least 1 year in order for Petronas to revert to its pre -Covid-19 capex spending level of about c.RM50bn.
Reiterate NEUTRAL view on the sector, our top pick for the sector is Armada (BUY; TP: RM0.60) as its FPSO earnings are expected to remain strong, while its current valuations are still undemanding. We are keeping our average oil prices forecast unchanged at USD44/bbl in 2020.
2020-09-04 11:18 | Report Abuse
very good work fightingdragon!
2020-09-04 10:53 | Report Abuse
dont wait till it turns green...
2020-09-03 22:09 | Report Abuse
thanks for the info pjseow
2020-09-03 20:23 | Report Abuse
Brent was trading below $30/brl in April - June qtr.....even hitting below $20/brl!....and yet BA delivered excellent performance.
This stock no longer has any link with oil price......except those clueless speculators who got in linking to it...
These are sustainable earnings unlike any other stock you can find in Bursa under Covid pandemic......
could very well be the cheapest stock in bursa in terms of Cash flow vs Market cap
never ever let go
.................
2020-09-03 19:38 | Report Abuse
valid point there ageetkumar
Posted by ageetkumar > Sep 2, 2020 3:27 PM | Report Abuse
Armada has around 25 Offshore vessels and a couple of pipe lay / construction vessel. The brand new cost of each OSV is around USD 15 mil. Take 100 mil for 2 construction vsls. That will make around USD 700mil of MYR 2.8 Bn as new. Armad has in the last last couple of years declared impairment in excess on MYR 2 Bn. So these assets should be sitting in their books at close to scrap or zero value. I can't see how they can have any further impairments unless some kind of accounting gimmick / fraud is at play here
2020-09-03 19:27 | Report Abuse
FPSO MARKET IS EXPECTED TO GROW AT A ROBUST RATE OF 11.80%
September 2, 2020
https://primefeed.in/news/4896744/fpso-market-is-expected-to-grow-at-
a-robust-rate-of-11-80/
The global floating production storage and offloading FPSO market is competitive and segmented. Transparency Market Research Market (TMR) report states that there are a few major players in the industry who are relentlessly developing new and innovative designs to penetrate the global market during the forecast period. These prominent players are focused on introducing new strategies like collaborations and partnerships to provide new in the global market.
Some of the prominent players operating in the global FPSO vessel market include MODEC, Inc., BW Offshore, BUMI ARMADA BERHAD, Blue Water Energy Services, and SBM Offshore N.V.
Growing demand for alternative sources of oil due to continual depletion of existing oil reserves drives the global FPSO market. The global FPSO market is expected to grow at a robust rate of 11.80% during the forecast period 2016 to 2026. Additionally, the revenue in the global FPSO market is projected to reach up to US$8.30 bn by the end of 2026.
2020-09-03 17:09 | Report Abuse
oil price drop is a precious opportunity to accumulate...
since only the uninformed would sell
Stock: [ARMADA]: BUMI ARMADA BERHAD
2020-11-21 16:15 | Report Abuse
Here's the Coronavirus Vaccine Maker That's Most Likely to Blow Past Pfizer and Moderna
https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/11/20/coronavirus-vaccine-maker-past-pfizer-moderna/
Nov 20, 2020
J&J's coronavirus vaccine candidate, though, requires only one dose.
This could give J&J a significant competitive advantage over its rivals. A single-dose vaccine would have a lower cost than a two-dose regimen. People would also be more likely to want to receive a vaccine that they only have to take once.
Johnson & Johnson also won't have the ultra-cold storage requirements that Pfizer's vaccine has. Its COVID-19 vaccine can remain stable for up to two years at around minus four degrees Fahrenheit and for up to three months at temperatures between around 35 degrees and 46 degrees Fahrenheit.
In addition, J&J beats Moderna when it comes to production capacity. Moderna has stated that it will be able to make around 500 million doses of mRNA-1273 next year, although the biotech says that it could "possibly" up that to 1 billion doses. J&J is on track to produce more than 1 billion doses per year.